HURRICANE BARRY - Discussion Thread - (REMNANTS)

Could this become an Allison type storm for NOLA?

ICON is nearing a cat 1(ish) at landfall? What is the ICON derived from? Is it relevant?

After initially being close to the coast, GFS looks further south and west

GFS goes into Galveston

92L is now at 40/80%.  Looking at where they say it is I would expect this to be entering the GOM by this evening.


200 AM EDT Tue Jul 9 2019



For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:



A trough of low pressure located over southwestern Georgia is

producing disorganized showers. This disturbance is expected to

move southward or southwestward during the next day or so, and a

broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the northeastern

Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday. Once the disturbance is over water,

environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for

development and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end

of the week while the system moves westward across the northern Gulf

of Mexico. Regardless of whether or not a tropical cyclone

develops, this system has the potential to produce heavy rainfall

along portions of the northern and eastern U.S. Gulf Coast later

this week. For more information about the rainfall threat, please

see products issued by your local weather forecast office and the

NOAA Weather Prediction Center. Interests along the Gulf Coast from

the Upper Texas coast to the western Florida peninsula should

monitor the progress of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

The Gfs goes to Texas but shows the storm so lopsided and immediately turns it NNE that sw LA gets all the rain