Post by hurricaner on Jul 23, 2020 14:51:38 GMT -6
No still not Hanna, but tropical storm warnings have been posted and now is expected to get to 60mph before landfall.
Tropical Depression Eight Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082020 400 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2020
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS COAST... ...HEAVY RAINS LIKELY OVER PARTS OF TEXAS BY THIS WEEKEND...
SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
LOCATION...26.1N 90.7W ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM ESE OF PORT OCONNOR TEXAS ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM ESE OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
Last Edit: Jul 23, 2020 14:52:08 GMT -6 by hurricaner
I don't know, y'all- it looks kinda disheveled and sheared to me. I don't see anything resembling a COC. I'm looking at the satellite image on the NHC site.
I use the NASA Global Hydrology site for my sat pictures. I like the zoom n animation feature. And yes, the COC is still not organized but getting there steadily. This storm has a really good upper environment overall. Some of the others on the net have said that where it is this time of year and it’s eventual W bend may actually enhance development. A few are throwing out RI. Always possible.
Post by gulfbreeze on Jul 23, 2020 15:24:52 GMT -6
Definitely more windy within the last hour here in SW LA.
Not a professional forecast by any means and should not be viewed as such - just my opinion. Audrey'57, Carla'61 Hilda'64, Betsy'65, Edith'71, Carmen'74, Danny'85, Juan'85, Andrew'92, Iniki'92 (while on vacation in Kauai), Lili'02, Rita'05, Gustav'08, Ike'08, No-Name'16, Harvey'17, Barry'19.
Post by grisairgasm on Jul 23, 2020 15:42:19 GMT -6
Upper level conditions really are fantastic above this. Good thing it’s taking some time to pull the broad wind field and COC together. If not Hanna after recon I’ll be stunned. Anyway, it has lots going for it in the environment and would not be surprised if it is an overachiever at the last minute. This is and always will be my favorite weather forum. But in the interest of learning I look around. Lot’s of smart people in this world. Interesting to note some of the details other respected Mets and gurus are saying about this particular scenario. Soooo much insight.
I would not doubt if soon to be Hannah makes landfall at least as a Cat 1 Hurricane, it is still has a good 42 hrs over water before making landfall, plenty of time to keep strengthening with such great UL conditions and very warm SSTs.
Post by grisairgasm on Jul 23, 2020 16:09:06 GMT -6
I’m really not sure but watching David Bernard now. Indicating the potential for training and this includes the Slidell area. I think you will wind up with measurable rain by tomorrow evening. The actual train setup is impossible to forecast and becomes a now cast as the event unfolds. I would expect the new norm....flooding in one area and hardly any rain 5 miles away. I personally don’t think we will see this extreme rain tomorrow but I listen when Bernard speaks.