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geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex
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Model Question Sept 13, 2020 6:21:05 GMT -6 via mobile

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Post by geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex on Sept 13, 2020 6:21:05 GMT -6

I don’t want to put this in the Sally thread, but I noticed a pretty significant SSW jog in the latest HWRF model between hrs 39 and 42, then it shows the storm back to the north in the next panel. I thought perhaps it was a glitch, but now I’m wondering if these models actually model the wobbles associated with the storm. Is this the case? Thanks!

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Model Question Sept 13, 2020 15:07:01 GMT -6 geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex likes this

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Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 13, 2020 15:07:01 GMT -6

Sept 13, 2020 6:21:05 GMT -6 geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex said:

geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex sometimes it's also center reformations. There's no set rule to these jumps.

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geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex
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Posts: 569

Model Question Sept 13, 2020 16:03:49 GMT -6 via mobile SKYSUMMIT likes this

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Post by geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex on Sept 13, 2020 16:03:49 GMT -6

Sept 13, 2020 15:07:01 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

Sept 13, 2020 6:21:05 GMT -6 geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex said:

geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex sometimes it's also center reformations. There's no set rule to these jumps.

Thanks,Sky. It was such a noticeable jog to the SSW that I thought it was a glitch, then began wondering if the models were sophisticated enough to model the ‘“crenulated” path that storms take. Thanks for the information!

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