HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread
Oct 7, 2020 8:22:26 GMT -6
HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN, lightningstruck-Bogalusa, and 9 more like this
Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Oct 7, 2020 8:22:26 GMT -6
For everyone arguing over weather conditions inside the cone vs outside the cone, most of us on here know exactly how hurricanes work:
The area surrounding the center - the core - contains the worst constant weather. This is where you have sustained tropical storm force and hurricane force winds with MUCH higher gusts. It's constant and doesn't let up until the core moves on away from your location.
The "secondary core", as I like to call it, comprises the northern and eastern sides of the core. This is where you have mostly sustained low-end tropical storm force winds with higher gusts. You occasionally receive hurricane force gusts in this area under the feeder bands, depending on how strong the hurricane is. The heavy rain here is off and on and when it's not raining, the wind isn't all that impressive. Gusty, yes but not very strong. As soon as the rain starts, it gets quite strong and gusty again.
The outer edges of the hurricane, on the eastern side, is where you usually have sustained winds 20-30 mph with occasional gusts to 40-50 underneath the feeder bands. You'll have peaks of sunshine then rapid and heavy rainfall, then peaks of sunshine again.
Everyone in south Louisiana, inside the cone or not, will at least get low-end tropical storm force gusts but it won't feel like it in some areas because those official readings will be taken from 33' above the surface. The tips of trees will sway and blow around while down at the surface it will appear that you've had a huge bust.
Folks in the NOLA and northshore areas, in my opinion, will be under the outer edges of the storm where you'll have breezy conditions with occasional gusts to low-end tropical storm force.
From Livingston westward to the Atchafalaya Basin, I believe, will be in the "secondary core" as I like to call it. Sustained low-end tropical storm force winds and a mostly rainy day. Occasionally some hurricane force gusts may be felt, especially closer to the western side of this area.
From Lafayette to about 30 miles west of there, I believe, will be where the core goes. That area will have sustained hurricane force winds and will be shredded.
So yes, even areas of extreme SELA that are outside the cone will receive impacts from Delta but it won't be too bad and power outages would probably be very limited.
There's my completely amateur opinion and amateur forecast.
The area surrounding the center - the core - contains the worst constant weather. This is where you have sustained tropical storm force and hurricane force winds with MUCH higher gusts. It's constant and doesn't let up until the core moves on away from your location.
The "secondary core", as I like to call it, comprises the northern and eastern sides of the core. This is where you have mostly sustained low-end tropical storm force winds with higher gusts. You occasionally receive hurricane force gusts in this area under the feeder bands, depending on how strong the hurricane is. The heavy rain here is off and on and when it's not raining, the wind isn't all that impressive. Gusty, yes but not very strong. As soon as the rain starts, it gets quite strong and gusty again.
The outer edges of the hurricane, on the eastern side, is where you usually have sustained winds 20-30 mph with occasional gusts to 40-50 underneath the feeder bands. You'll have peaks of sunshine then rapid and heavy rainfall, then peaks of sunshine again.
Everyone in south Louisiana, inside the cone or not, will at least get low-end tropical storm force gusts but it won't feel like it in some areas because those official readings will be taken from 33' above the surface. The tips of trees will sway and blow around while down at the surface it will appear that you've had a huge bust.
Folks in the NOLA and northshore areas, in my opinion, will be under the outer edges of the storm where you'll have breezy conditions with occasional gusts to low-end tropical storm force.
From Livingston westward to the Atchafalaya Basin, I believe, will be in the "secondary core" as I like to call it. Sustained low-end tropical storm force winds and a mostly rainy day. Occasionally some hurricane force gusts may be felt, especially closer to the western side of this area.
From Lafayette to about 30 miles west of there, I believe, will be where the core goes. That area will have sustained hurricane force winds and will be shredded.
So yes, even areas of extreme SELA that are outside the cone will receive impacts from Delta but it won't be too bad and power outages would probably be very limited.
There's my completely amateur opinion and amateur forecast.
