HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread

And the beat goes on!!!

Satellite imagery indicates that shower activity associated with
the broad low pressure are over the northwestern Caribbean Sea is
becoming better organized. Environmental conditions are expected
to be conducive for a tropical depression or a tropical storm to
form later today or Saturday if the system remains over the waters
of the northwestern Caribbean Sea or southern Gulf of Mexico.
Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula and northern Central America
should monitor the progress of this system as it moves generally
northwestward, as tropical storm watches or warning may be required
for portions of these areas later today or tonight. Regardless of
development, this system is expected to produce heavy rains, with
possible flash flooding, over portions of southeastern Mexico,
Central America, and western Cuba during the next several days. An
Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the system this afternoon, if necessary.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

NHC will initiate advisories on Tropical Depression 25, located in the northwestern Caribbean Sea, at 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC).

Tropical Depression Twenty-Five Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL252020
1100 AM EDT Fri Oct 02 2020


...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN...
...WARNINGS AND WATCHES ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...



SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.1N 84.7W
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

I got a weather alert about one of the two storms being “headed to the Gulf” ... no threat to Gulf Coast, though, right?

Just looked at water temps and they are now down to 77 degrees for the northern gulf coast. Between that and dry air, it would be a sheared mess if either of these systems would take a path this way.