HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread

Remnants/Dissipated

ndg
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HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 5:07:20 GMT -6 geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex likes this

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Post by ndg on Oct 9, 2020 5:07:20 GMT -6

Oct 9, 2020 4:59:59 GMT -6 geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex said:

Oct 9, 2020 4:54:18 GMT -6 ndg said:

Saved 3 hr loop, latest NOAA recon fix is at 27.2N 93.8W

There’s a bouy at 93.5, 27.3 reporting 68 kt winds and 88 kt gusts.

I see it, but those winds are from when the eyewall was passing through. It hasn't reported in almost 1.5 hrs now.

stormweary
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HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 5:09:44 GMT -6 via mobile

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Post by stormweary on Oct 9, 2020 5:09:44 GMT -6

Oct 9, 2020 5:06:57 GMT -6 jimmycarl said:

Oct 9, 2020 5:04:29 GMT -6 stormweary said:

The radar loop ndg posted appears to be moving slightly east of due north to me.

Lol different eyes. To me looks very slightly N/NW still

From what I learned a radar return can be a little deceiving compared to a satellite image.

ndg
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HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 5:10:06 GMT -6

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Post by ndg on Oct 9, 2020 5:10:06 GMT -6

Oct 9, 2020 5:06:57 GMT -6 jimmycarl said:

Oct 9, 2020 5:04:29 GMT -6 stormweary said:

The radar loop ndg posted appears to be moving slightly east of due north to me.

Lol different eyes. To me looks very slightly N/NW still

Based on the recon fixes it did take a NNE jog in the last couple of couple of hours after a NNW heading prior to that.

thibodauxwx GCWX Supporter Posts: 3,537	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 5:17:30 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by thibodauxwx on Oct 9, 2020 5:17:30 GMT -6 Good morning, just walked out on the porch with first cup of coffee expecting to feel at least a breeze, but nope, the wind is dead calm, no rain at all on the east side of Thibodaux.

ndg GCWX Supporter Posts: 9,974	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 5:18:28 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by ndg on Oct 9, 2020 5:18:28 GMT -6 What I don't get is how way off both the NOAA and AF recons' extrap pressure have been since yesterday afternoon by as much as 8 mb, they are usually much closer 3-5 mb.

kennethb GCWX Supporter Posts: 1,021	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 5:33:56 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by kennethb on Oct 9, 2020 5:33:56 GMT -6 I saw where Josh was in Atlanta airport around mid night, arriving from Cancun. He expects to be in New Orleans this morning and making his second chase and being in the eye of Delta again.

thibodauxwx GCWX Supporter Posts: 3,537	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 5:48:25 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by thibodauxwx on Oct 9, 2020 5:48:25 GMT -6 When is this storm suppose to make landfall?

ndg GCWX Supporter Posts: 9,974	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 5:54:32 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by ndg on Oct 9, 2020 5:54:32 GMT -6 Close up look at the latest models' landfall forecast. They all now agree with far SE Cameron Parish for landfall. The UKMET keeps it moving NE after landfall closer to Lafayette as mentioned by another poster.

ndg GCWX Supporter Posts: 9,974	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 5:55:58 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by ndg on Oct 9, 2020 5:55:58 GMT -6 Oct 9, 2020 5:48:25 GMT -6 thibodauxwx said: When is this storm suppose to make landfall? Around 7 PM this evening.

Wyatt Erminger Meteorologist Posts: 1,047	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 6:02:46 GMT -6 Jess23 and weather2a like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Wyatt Erminger on Oct 9, 2020 6:02:46 GMT -6 Time is starting to run out on making a turn to go in east of Lake Charles, there's been no variance in forward speed or heading of significance for the past 2-3 hours.

jimmycarl
Category 5

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Location: West Side Of The MS Coast

HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 6:04:37 GMT -6

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Post by jimmycarl on Oct 9, 2020 6:04:37 GMT -6

No change. "SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.5N 93.8W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM S OF CAMERON LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES"

kplaisance Tropical Low Posts: 44	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 6:06:07 GMT -6 via mobile VERticalnoGO likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by kplaisance on Oct 9, 2020 6:06:07 GMT -6 Crazy how all the rain is to the N and NW. Will The wide swath of rains eventually end of up the traditional right hand side?

TalonII
Category 2

Posts: 419

HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 6:08:04 GMT -6 weather2a and tempetetigre82 like this

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Post by TalonII on Oct 9, 2020 6:08:04 GMT -6

Oct 9, 2020 6:02:46 GMT -6 Wyatt Erminger said:

Time is starting to run out on making a turn to go in east of Lake Charles, there's been no variance in forward speed or heading of significance for the past 2-3 hours.

Not looking great for my house in Iowa. We got extremely lucky for Laura. About to find out if there is any luck left in the tank.

PWS - www.wunderground.com/weather/us/la/iowa/KLAIOWA11

ndg GCWX Supporter Posts: 9,974	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 6:13:59 GMT -6 loogaroo likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by ndg on Oct 9, 2020 6:13:59 GMT -6 This is going to be one of the strange instances in which the NW quadrant of the hurricane is going to be the wettest, I guess lift by the mid & UL short wave trough to the west of of it is the culprit.

ndg
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HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 6:18:40 GMT -6

Quote

Post by ndg on Oct 9, 2020 6:18:40 GMT -6

Oct 9, 2020 6:02:46 GMT -6 Wyatt Erminger said:

Time is starting to run out on making a turn to go in east of Lake Charles, there's been no variance in forward speed or heading of significance for the past 2-3 hours.

Models have been very persistent that the NNE heading should start taking place later this morning or early this afternoon, enough to avoid a direct hit into L.C.

But regardless, the NW quadrant of the hurricane looks pretty bad.

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HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread

Post by ndg on Oct 9, 2020 5:07:20 GMT -6

Post by stormweary on Oct 9, 2020 5:09:44 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Oct 9, 2020 5:10:06 GMT -6

Post by thibodauxwx on Oct 9, 2020 5:17:30 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Oct 9, 2020 5:18:28 GMT -6

Post by kennethb on Oct 9, 2020 5:33:56 GMT -6

Post by thibodauxwx on Oct 9, 2020 5:48:25 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Oct 9, 2020 5:54:32 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Oct 9, 2020 5:55:58 GMT -6

Post by Wyatt Erminger on Oct 9, 2020 6:02:46 GMT -6

Post by jimmycarl on Oct 9, 2020 6:04:37 GMT -6

Post by kplaisance on Oct 9, 2020 6:06:07 GMT -6

Post by TalonII on Oct 9, 2020 6:08:04 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Oct 9, 2020 6:13:59 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Oct 9, 2020 6:18:40 GMT -6

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