HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread

ndg GCWX Supporter Posts: 9,974	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 10:35:31 GMT -6 mizzykris77 St Charles Parish likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by ndg on Oct 9, 2020 10:35:31 GMT -6 Saved radar loop:

cajungal Category 5 Posts: 6,383	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 10:35:39 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by cajungal on Oct 9, 2020 10:35:39 GMT -6 With the winds picking up in Thibodaux. I think it feels amazing
	60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

saints GCWX Supporter Posts: 171	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 10:36:59 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by saints on Oct 9, 2020 10:36:59 GMT -6 Oct 9, 2020 10:35:31 GMT -6 ndg said: Saved radar loop: Sure looks like a NNE heading.
	Last Edit: Oct 9, 2020 10:37:30 GMT -6 by saints

nolasim Moderator Posts: 6,930 Location: Algiers-West Bank Staff Member	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 10:39:04 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by nolasim on Oct 9, 2020 10:39:04 GMT -6 I'm really getting some gusts here that I didn't expect. Callendar Field in Belle Chasse is reporting gusts to 31 mph. I can just imagine what folks at ground zero are going to get.
	"Let's work the problem, people; don't make things worse by guessing!" Gene Krantz, Flight Director, Apollo 13

weather2a Category 2 Posts: 534	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 10:39:20 GMT -6 via mobile Mr. Spock likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by weather2a on Oct 9, 2020 10:39:20 GMT -6 Yes KPLC’s tracker is showing a NNE motion has started, or at least a significant NNE wobble.

NavyMom: WBR Parish
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Posts: 1,571

Staff Member

HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 10:41:32 GMT -6

Quote

Post by NavyMom: WBR Parish on Oct 9, 2020 10:41:32 GMT -6

Oct 9, 2020 10:11:11 GMT -6 Bayou Medic said:

If the storm is beginning to get tilted due to SW shear, wouldn't that usually mean the rain would be blown more towards the east side of the storm as well?

This is my thought too. It is what would normally happen.
Maybe the trough, again, is messing things up?

“On Christ, the solid Rock I stand. Everything else is just sinking sand.”

Ambient Weather:
ambientweather.net/dashboard/29355f8f3f87e2a4ec7ccc562ab0f3cf

WU:
www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KLAADDIS7

grisairgasm
GCWX Supporter

Posts: 5,866

HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 10:42:59 GMT -6

Quote

Post by grisairgasm on Oct 9, 2020 10:42:59 GMT -6

Just checking in and will read older posts in a bit. We lost power here about 4 times last night starting around 2am and woke up to the generator on about 6:15 am. Power was back by 6:45 and has stayed on. Would think it had nothing to do with Delta. Anybody loose power
NOLA?

Wyatt Erminger
Meteorologist

Posts: 1,047

HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 10:43:21 GMT -6 ndg likes this

Quote

Post by Wyatt Erminger on Oct 9, 2020 10:43:21 GMT -6

Oct 9, 2020 10:24:50 GMT -6 ndg said:

That weird surface trough is still in place this morning, very weird. This might be the reason why the HRRR moved so far east, we shall see. It will be very hard for the GFS to miss in such a short range.

NOAA SFC maps are showing it as well, as a WF boundary. Need to look at thickness too and see if there's any reflection of it.

NavyMom: WBR Parish Moderator Posts: 1,571 Staff Member	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 10:43:37 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by NavyMom: WBR Parish on Oct 9, 2020 10:43:37 GMT -6 Oct 9, 2020 10:35:31 GMT -6 ndg said: Saved radar loop: Wowzers. If He doesn't start turning NE soon...
	“On Christ, the solid Rock I stand. Everything else is just sinking sand.” Ambient Weather: ambientweather.net/dashboard/29355f8f3f87e2a4ec7ccc562ab0f3cf WU: www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KLAADDIS7

grisairgasm GCWX Supporter Posts: 5,866	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 10:44:05 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by grisairgasm on Oct 9, 2020 10:44:05 GMT -6 Pressure falling and 26mph highest thus far. Wind is picking up.

solomon2345
Tropical Low

Posts: 28

HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 10:45:57 GMT -6 via mobile

Quote

Post by solomon2345 on Oct 9, 2020 10:45:57 GMT -6

Oct 9, 2020 10:43:21 GMT -6 Wyatt Erminger said:

Oct 9, 2020 10:24:50 GMT -6 ndg said:

That weird surface trough is still in place this morning, very weird. This might be the reason why the HRRR moved so far east, we shall see. It will be very hard for the GFS to miss in such a short range.

NOAA SFC maps are showing it as well, as a WF boundary. Need to look at thickness too and see if there's any reflection of it.

so if it is a reflection of it would it take that track

weather2a Category 2 Posts: 534	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 10:46:26 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by weather2a on Oct 9, 2020 10:46:26 GMT -6 It is wild how similar the eye structure looks to what the HWRF was simulating over 24 hours ago. The eye wall appears to be expanding and transitioning to a sort of flattened north biased semi-circle.

ndg GCWX Supporter Posts: 9,974	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 10:47:16 GMT -6 Bayou Medic, Mr. Spock, and 1 more like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by ndg on Oct 9, 2020 10:47:16 GMT -6 New 15z HRRR is still persistent of a further east track towards Lafayette. We shall see if it is correct.

grisairgasm GCWX Supporter Posts: 5,866	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 10:48:14 GMT -6 geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex and NavyMom: WBR Parish like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by grisairgasm on Oct 9, 2020 10:48:14 GMT -6 This storm has never had a persistent visible eye or symmetrical core and is W side waited. Strange and even stranger the intensity despite this.

nolasim
Moderator

Posts: 6,930
Location: Algiers-West Bank

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HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 9, 2020 10:49:41 GMT -6

Quote

Post by nolasim on Oct 9, 2020 10:49:41 GMT -6

Oct 9, 2020 10:42:59 GMT -6 grisairgasm said:

Just checking in and will read older posts in a bit. We lost power here about 4 times last night starting around 2am and woke up to the generator on about 6:15 am. Power was back by 6:45 and has stayed on. Would think it had nothing to do with Delta. Anybody loose power
NOLA?

Not here in Algiers, Gris. I'm not that far away from you. Gotta tell you, though- it is really gusty here. More than I expected. Of course I didn't put up any boards.

"Let's work the problem, people; don't make things worse by guessing!"

Gene Krantz, Flight Director, Apollo 13

HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread

Post by ndg on Oct 9, 2020 10:35:31 GMT -6

Post by cajungal on Oct 9, 2020 10:35:39 GMT -6

Post by saints on Oct 9, 2020 10:36:59 GMT -6

Post by nolasim on Oct 9, 2020 10:39:04 GMT -6

Post by weather2a on Oct 9, 2020 10:39:20 GMT -6

Post by NavyMom: WBR Parish on Oct 9, 2020 10:41:32 GMT -6

Post by grisairgasm on Oct 9, 2020 10:42:59 GMT -6

Post by Wyatt Erminger on Oct 9, 2020 10:43:21 GMT -6

Post by NavyMom: WBR Parish on Oct 9, 2020 10:43:37 GMT -6

Post by grisairgasm on Oct 9, 2020 10:44:05 GMT -6

Post by solomon2345 on Oct 9, 2020 10:45:57 GMT -6

Post by weather2a on Oct 9, 2020 10:46:26 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Oct 9, 2020 10:47:16 GMT -6

Post by grisairgasm on Oct 9, 2020 10:48:14 GMT -6

Post by nolasim on Oct 9, 2020 10:49:41 GMT -6

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