HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread

Kinda is beginning to indicate the influence to yank it to the NE isn't as strong, if the intensity stays up and the track is more west. I know it sounds backwards with regard to stronger/weaker storms, but it seems as though the westerlies aren't going to be quite as strong. The sudden drop in intensity is due to it getting caught up in the westerlies fairly quickly, but if they're not as strong as initially forecast, a more westward track is possible with stronger intensity. Basically we're talking a lazy turn to the north, not a sharp recurve. Not saying where or how far, but it could be the reason for a slight westward trend with the past couple of runs.

As Zack said, things should start to become a little more solid with a little more time, after the tip of the Yucatan.

Holy crap! 929 in the Gulf??!

At what category do you put up your storm shutters? I have aluminum panels but haven’t felt the need to put them up.

I appreciate what everyone is saying, especially the professionals, but being in SELA, i am finding it hard to argue with the western trend.  The models are bucking climatology.

Is the ridge staying further into the gulf than the earlier models predicted?  The storm should move around the ridge and the ridge should be something that is apparent to the models right now.

Is Gamma's ghost stronger than earlier models predicted so that it flings Delta further west?  If so, it must be apparent to the models right now.

Is the so called trough moving slower than earlier models predicted so Delta moves further west? If so, it should be apparent to the models right now.

Based on the beliefs above, i simply can't get concerned, and i am talking about concern for me living in NOLA - not for anyone else,  about a path potentially west of Lafayette because climatology dictates otherwise.

The models have a plethora of realtime information.  If they are wrong - we have bigger problems in the long term.

Of course, if it gains the strength it predicts, while in the open gulf, there could still be a horrific storm surge, since the surge takes longer to decrease.

General consensus on Facebook is people in my area aren’t concerned and say it’s not coming. Hopefully public opinion shifts when watches are issued tomorrow.