TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread

N5RTF
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French Quarter - KLANEWOR146, Venetian Isles - KLANEWOR363

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TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 4, 2020 14:16:38 GMT -6 geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex, PinkFreud - Nola FQ, and 1 more like this

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Post by N5RTF on Nov 4, 2020 14:16:38 GMT -6

Nov 3, 2020 14:07:25 GMT -6 grisairgasm said:

Nov 3, 2020 13:56:08 GMT -6 N5RTF said:

Cousin Eta's Caribbean Tour.

Looks a lot like a cruise we took once (except for the part over land). Hopefully it will not dock in New Orleans.

Hey Chip! Hello to Mrs. Freud lol! Hope you guys did well in Zeta. If that track or similar were to verify...nuts. Provided it didn’t get renamed or dissipate in the NE Gulf then 4 landfalls!

Thanks! Zeta was impressive, especially the 10 or so minutes that we went outside during the eye passage. Lowest pressure was 972 mb. No damage in French Quarter and power was out only 1 1/2 hours. We are really ready for this season to be over.

SKYSUMMIT
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TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 4, 2020 14:48:06 GMT -6

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Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 4, 2020 14:48:06 GMT -6

Tropical Storm Eta Advisory Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL292020
300 PM CST Wed Nov 04 2020

...ETA EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION IN A FEW HOURS AS IT
MOVES INTO HONDURAS...
...CONTINUES TO PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING OVER
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...

SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.9N 85.7W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM E OF TEGUCIGALPA HONDURAS
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM NNE OF MANAGUA NICARAGUA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

grisairgasm
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Posts: 5,866

TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 4, 2020 15:59:18 GMT -6 PinkFreud - Nola FQ likes this

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Post by grisairgasm on Nov 4, 2020 15:59:18 GMT -6

Nov 4, 2020 14:16:38 GMT -6 N5RTF said:

Nov 3, 2020 14:07:25 GMT -6 grisairgasm said:

Hey Chip! Hello to Mrs. Freud lol! Hope you guys did well in Zeta. If that track or similar were to verify...nuts. Provided it didn’t get renamed or dissipate in the NE Gulf then 4 landfalls!

Thanks! Zeta was impressive, especially the 10 or so minutes that we went outside during the eye passage. Lowest pressure was 972 mb. No damage in French Quarter and power was out only 1 1/2 hours. We are really ready for this season to be over.

Glad you guys did fine. Mess and destruction aside...it was fascinating. First real “eye” for many of us. Stunningly fast. We had an eyewall tornado here about 2 minutes before the eye. It’s the only time i dove inside and it did quite the damage three streets due W of here. The wind here made a violent 3/4 direction turn in about 10 seconds. Yeah...I’m done but already looking for next year’s ideas.

jimmycarl
Category 5

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TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 4, 2020 20:44:00 GMT -6 ju likes this

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Post by jimmycarl on Nov 4, 2020 20:44:00 GMT -6

The Global and Hurricane models are all freaked out over what ETA is going to do now that it has made landfall. GFS has it coming back out, going towards Fl only to turn back and go back into Central America. The Euro has it going into Port St Joe, The HWRF has it continuiing straight on completely through Central America into the Pacific.

shannalynn35
Tropical Storm

Posts: 50

TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 5, 2020 5:17:58 GMT -6 via mobile

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Post by shannalynn35 on Nov 5, 2020 5:17:58 GMT -6

Nov 4, 2020 20:44:00 GMT -6 jimmycarl said:

The Global and Hurricane models are all freaked out over what ETA is going to do now that it has made landfall. GFS has it coming back out, going towards Fl only to turn back and go back into Central America. The Euro has it going into Port St Joe, The HWRF has it continuiing straight on completely through Central America into the Pacific.

Pacific? Do you mean the Atlantic?

crashtestdummy
Category 3

Posts: 646
Location: Pearland, Texas

TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 5, 2020 7:20:04 GMT -6

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Post by crashtestdummy on Nov 5, 2020 7:20:04 GMT -6

Nov 5, 2020 5:17:58 GMT -6 shannalynn35 said:

Nov 4, 2020 20:44:00 GMT -6 jimmycarl said:

The Global and Hurricane models are all freaked out over what ETA is going to do now that it has made landfall. GFS has it coming back out, going towards Fl only to turn back and go back into Central America. The Euro has it going into Port St Joe, The HWRF has it continuiing straight on completely through Central America into the Pacific.

Pacific? Do you mean the Atlantic?

I think he really did mean Pacific, but it looks to me that the HWRF takes the storm up over Florida. It looks to be to be the AVNO and maybe the AEMN that take it out to the Pacific (same symbol, slightly different color in the model plot map). AVNO then gives it another chance to give Nicaragua another bath before crossing back into the western Caribbean. But yeah, the models all seem to be in total agreement: Assume the crash position. :grrr:

The National Hurricane Center thinks it's still stepping back offshore in the Gulf of Honduras and heading to Cuba. Man, what a mess!

Last Edit: Nov 5, 2020 7:22:13 GMT -6 by crashtestdummy

"You can learn a lot from a dummy."

Gene Beaird,
Pearland, Texas

shannalynn35
Tropical Storm

Posts: 50

TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 5, 2020 7:31:08 GMT -6

Quote

Post by shannalynn35 on Nov 5, 2020 7:31:08 GMT -6

Nov 5, 2020 7:20:04 GMT -6 crashtestdummy said:

Nov 5, 2020 5:17:58 GMT -6 shannalynn35 said:

Pacific? Do you mean the Atlantic?

I think he really did mean Pacific, but it looks to me that the HWRF takes the storm up over Florida. It looks to be to be the AVNO and maybe the AEMN that take it out to the Pacific (same symbol, slightly different color in the model plot map). AVNO then gives it another chance to give Nicaragua another bath before crossing back into the western Caribbean. But yeah, the models all seem to be in total agreement: Assume the crash position. :grrr:

The National Hurricane Center thinks it's still stepping back offshore in the Gulf of Honduras and heading to Cuba. Man, what a mess!

Thank you and yes, what a mess!! I am watching it closely in Bradenton, Fl!

roz GCWX Supporter Posts: 1,192	TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 5, 2020 7:49:40 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by roz on Nov 5, 2020 7:49:40 GMT -6 Someone please tell the 00z Euro not no, but hell no.

cajungal Category 5 Posts: 6,378 Member is Online	TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 5, 2020 8:05:09 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by cajungal on Nov 5, 2020 8:05:09 GMT -6 i.imgur.com/BtAwBcz.png
	60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 5, 2020 9:00:02 GMT -6 roz and heatherweather like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 5, 2020 9:00:02 GMT -6 Yeah...gotta love those 12z plots LOL
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

crashtestdummy Category 3 Posts: 646 Location: Pearland, Texas	TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 5, 2020 10:35:25 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by crashtestdummy on Nov 5, 2020 10:35:25 GMT -6 Nov 5, 2020 8:05:09 GMT -6 cajungal said: i.imgur.com/BtAwBcz.png Well, cr@p! Happy now we didn't pull down the storm screens last weekend!!
	"You can learn a lot from a dummy." Gene Beaird, Pearland, Texas

cajungal
Category 5

Posts: 6,378

Member is Online

TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 5, 2020 10:48:23 GMT -6 via mobile

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Post by cajungal on Nov 5, 2020 10:48:23 GMT -6

Nov 5, 2020 10:35:25 GMT -6 crashtestdummy said:

Nov 5, 2020 8:05:09 GMT -6 cajungal said:

i.imgur.com/BtAwBcz.png

Well, cr@p! Happy now we didn't pull down the storm screens last weekend!!

We did and not putting them back up unless we go under the gun again next season. I am done!

60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

kennethb GCWX Supporter Posts: 1,021	TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 5, 2020 12:51:02 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by kennethb on Nov 5, 2020 12:51:02 GMT -6 I hope the Euro still has some west bias left in it.

heatherweather
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Posts: 179

TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 5, 2020 12:51:15 GMT -6 PinkFreud - Nola FQ likes this

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Post by heatherweather on Nov 5, 2020 12:51:15 GMT -6

It just can't be possible that Eta will directly target Louisiana again as a hurricane or tropical storm. Seriously, what are the odds? Anyone want to wager? We could set up brackets based on country, state and city closest to landfall.

Total severe weather nerd, starting with Hurricane Andrew! Follow me on Instagram @themagicalredhead. Please note that any excitement or disappointment displayed regarding severe weather events is strictly about experiencing the event itself from a meteorological standpoint (not the potential negative impacts to life and property).

cajungal Category 5 Posts: 6,378 Member is Online	TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread Nov 5, 2020 13:08:44 GMT -6 via mobile Mike T.- Chackbay,La, heatherweather, and 1 more like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by cajungal on Nov 5, 2020 13:08:44 GMT -6 Well we had the Halloween storm and now time for the turkey storm. At this point I don’t even care, we are all just tired
	60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

TROPICAL STORM ETA Discussion Thread

Post by N5RTF on Nov 4, 2020 14:16:38 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 4, 2020 14:48:06 GMT -6

Post by grisairgasm on Nov 4, 2020 15:59:18 GMT -6

Post by jimmycarl on Nov 4, 2020 20:44:00 GMT -6

Post by shannalynn35 on Nov 5, 2020 5:17:58 GMT -6

Post by crashtestdummy on Nov 5, 2020 7:20:04 GMT -6

Post by shannalynn35 on Nov 5, 2020 7:31:08 GMT -6

Post by roz on Nov 5, 2020 7:49:40 GMT -6

Post by cajungal on Nov 5, 2020 8:05:09 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Nov 5, 2020 9:00:02 GMT -6

Post by crashtestdummy on Nov 5, 2020 10:35:25 GMT -6

Post by cajungal on Nov 5, 2020 10:48:23 GMT -6

Post by kennethb on Nov 5, 2020 12:51:02 GMT -6

Post by heatherweather on Nov 5, 2020 12:51:15 GMT -6

Post by cajungal on Nov 5, 2020 13:08:44 GMT -6

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