Post by thermalwind on Feb 22, 2021 2:44:41 GMT -6
March is looking wet over the Ohio Valley. La Nina and the warmer than normal Atlantic, wavy jet stream should continue throwing cold bursts into the warm east. Should be a parade of storm systems for that region. Thermal clashes good for spring rains. Suspect we'll be talking about the River by Easter if not sooner.
The other thing with this clash of air masses is severe weather. The system that brought the ice early last week made me cringe a little when I considered if that same look happened in April. Negative tilted trough, hodos were incredibly supportive of tornadoes if the surface wasn't in the teens. All these storm systems during March are going to bring severe potential with them. I have my doubts the busy pattern of early March ends there, looking at a lot of warm east/cold west this spring I think.
A wild hurricane season goes into a winter with a deep freeze and multiple ice threats. Who really expects the spring to be benign?
March is looking wet over the Ohio Valley. La Nina and the warmer than normal Atlantic, wavy jet stream should continue throwing cold bursts into the warm east. Should be a parade of storm systems for that region. Thermal clashes good for spring rains. Suspect we'll be talking about the River by Easter if not sooner.
The other thing with this clash of air masses is severe weather. The system that brought the ice early last week made me cringe a little when I considered if that same look happened in April. Negative tilted trough, hodos were incredibly supportive of tornadoes if the surface wasn't in the teens. All these storm systems during March are going to bring severe potential with them. I have my doubts the busy pattern of early March ends there, looking at a lot of warm east/cold west this spring I think.
A wild hurricane season goes into a winter with a deep freeze and multiple ice threats. Who really expects the spring to be benign?
I'm hoping this upcoming Severe WX season is not comparable to 2011.
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Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Feb 22, 2021 8:40:41 GMT -6
In my amateur opinion, I don't think the Mississippi River flooding will be an issue down in south Louisiana. Every time I cross the Sunshine Bridge I swear the river level is lower and lower. I grew up in Donaldsonville and I don't think I've ever witnessed the river as low as it is right now. It has tons of room to swell and still be ok.
In my amateur opinion, I don't think the Mississippi River flooding will be an issue down in south Louisiana. Every time I cross the Sunshine Bridge I swear the river level is lower and lower. I grew up in Donaldsonville and I don't think I've ever witnessed the river as low as it is right now. It has tons of room to swell and still be ok.
You might end up being right, but I do think it'll swell plenty.
Post by grisairgasm on Feb 22, 2021 12:34:53 GMT -6
I’m up on the levee almost everyday. It’s already on the way up and reaching the base of the levee. Normal thus far. Don’t know if related to the cold or not but last few days has had lots of wild Mallard ducks deep in the batture .That never happens in this urban setting.
Last Edit: Feb 22, 2021 12:35:40 GMT -6 by grisairgasm
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I’m up on the levee almost everyday. It’s already on the way up and reaching the base of the levee. Normal thus far. Don’t know if related to the cold or not but last few days has had lots of wild Mallard ducks deep in the batture .That never happens in this urban setting.
Agree since I am on that levee pretty much everyday as you know. Also seeing an increase in brown pelicans at The Fly; I have never seen them there before. It could be I wasn't looking closely enough.
The water level is increasing already along the river; with the snow melts, I'm sure they will be opening the Spillway once again. I'll be curious to see how high the river levels get.
"My name is Jim, but my friends call me...............Jim."