TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE Discussion Thread

Remnants/Dissipated

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE Discussion Thread Jun 13, 2021 7:45:57 GMT -6 geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex and isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jun 13, 2021 7:45:57 GMT -6 Another look at that 06z GFS:
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swla6 Tropical Storm Posts: 96	TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE Discussion Thread Jun 13, 2021 7:50:18 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by swla6 on Jun 13, 2021 7:50:18 GMT -6 Jun 13, 2021 7:45:57 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said: Another look at that 06z GFS: 82mph would be gust or sustain Sky?

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE Discussion Thread Jun 13, 2021 7:51:48 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jun 13, 2021 7:51:48 GMT -6 Those are gusts.
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Wyatt Erminger
Meteorologist

Posts: 1,047

TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE Discussion Thread Jun 13, 2021 7:58:40 GMT -6 Bayou Medic, geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex, and 4 more like this

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Post by Wyatt Erminger on Jun 13, 2021 7:58:40 GMT -6

GFS is coming across a with a tighter, more organized system than in previous runs. Evolution over the week will be slow, but whatever it becomes will begin to develop late in the week and will be on the move to the north after the high begins to break down on Friday.

Nathan Category 1 Posts: 125	TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE Discussion Thread Jun 13, 2021 8:17:46 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Nathan on Jun 13, 2021 8:17:46 GMT -6 I'll be very curious to see how this evolves over the next week 🤔

darius Bogalusa Category 5 Posts: 2,248	TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE Discussion Thread Jun 13, 2021 8:26:32 GMT -6 via mobile TalonII likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by darius Bogalusa on Jun 13, 2021 8:26:32 GMT -6 I will believe it when I see it when it comes to intensity... More concerned about the rain amounts
	Last Edit: Jun 13, 2021 8:29:01 GMT -6 by darius Bogalusa

HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN Moderator Director of Public Relations Posts: 6,258 Location: Gallatin, TN - 20 miles NE of Nashville Staff Member	TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE Discussion Thread Jun 13, 2021 11:02:48 GMT -6 geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN on Jun 13, 2021 11:02:48 GMT -6 12z GFS Precip total for the entire next 10 day period
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grisairgasm
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Posts: 5,866

TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE Discussion Thread Jun 13, 2021 11:22:56 GMT -6 nolasim, geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex, and 1 more like this

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Post by grisairgasm on Jun 13, 2021 11:22:56 GMT -6

Tiny circulation already moving E from the Mexican coast near Veracruz into the W BOC. Looks mid level but may be lower. Interesting afternoon down there. May also just simply dissipate.

hurricaner
Moderator

Board Member

Posts: 5,167

Staff Member

TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE Discussion Thread Jun 13, 2021 12:08:12 GMT -6 grisairgasm and kevco like this

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Post by hurricaner on Jun 13, 2021 12:08:12 GMT -6

92L is now at 20/50% and is getting better organized.

A large area of showers and thunderstorms over the Bay of Campeche
is associated with a broad low pressure area, and the overall
system has become somewhat better organized since yesterday. Slow
development is possible during the next few days while the system
meanders near the coast of Mexico, and a tropical depression could
form late in the week while the system begins to move slowly
northward. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible
over portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the
next several days. Please consult products from your local
meteorological service for more information.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Last Edit: Jun 13, 2021 12:09:17 GMT -6 by hurricaner

GCWX Board Member

darius Bogalusa Category 5 Posts: 2,248	TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE Discussion Thread Jun 13, 2021 12:53:35 GMT -6 via mobile kevco likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by darius Bogalusa on Jun 13, 2021 12:53:35 GMT -6 Looks more and more like a Big rain event....Euro showing big rain totals.....Will be very surprised if it's more than a weak TS....

grisairgasm GCWX Supporter Posts: 5,866	TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE Discussion Thread Jun 13, 2021 13:21:34 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by grisairgasm on Jun 13, 2021 13:21:34 GMT -6 Normal looking sat animation down there during genesis. If you look closely there are a few competing vortices. Of course there is no real organization but it looks way better than I thought it would at this point.

kevco Tropical Low Posts: 42	TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE Discussion Thread Jun 13, 2021 15:02:07 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by kevco on Jun 13, 2021 15:02:07 GMT -6 Not looking for too much other than a rainy end of week and weekend

isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish GCWX Supporter Posts: 780 Member is Online	TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE Discussion Thread Jun 13, 2021 15:37:49 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish on Jun 13, 2021 15:37:49 GMT -6 i.ibb.co/xC6cPWw/577000-DC-9763-49-A8-97-FB-92-F1-D4-B165-A3.gif Navgem is also in line, how reliable is this model?
	Last Edit: Jun 13, 2021 15:53:08 GMT -6 by isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish

lilspud
GCWX Supporter

Posts: 575

TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE Discussion Thread Jun 13, 2021 15:49:35 GMT -6 NavyMom: WBR Parish likes this

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Post by lilspud on Jun 13, 2021 15:49:35 GMT -6

Jun 13, 2021 15:37:49 GMT -6 isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish said:

i.ibb.co/xC6cPWw/577000-DC-9763-49-A8-97-FB-92-F1-D4-B165-A3.gif
Navgem is also in line? How reliable is this model?

The Navgem is not known to being reliable. The main two models are the Euro and GFS. Of those, usually the 0Z and 12Z are considered the better of the model outputs.

TalonII Category 2 Posts: 419	TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE Discussion Thread Jun 13, 2021 16:09:18 GMT -6 via mobile PinkFreud - Nola FQ, ju, and 2 more like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by TalonII on Jun 13, 2021 16:09:18 GMT -6 I know this is the hurricane thread…but just wanted to let y’all know it’s hot as hell outside right now.
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lencast: I am in Jacksonville, and trying to drive back to New Orleans. Does anyone here know if the I-10 is passable in Lake City and Tallahassee. Sept 27, 2024 5:19:03 GMT -6

tcane: This sure looks like it dies quickly. maybe falling apart before metro New Orleans? Just looking at the lat dozen posts and images here. Sept 10, 2024 11:26:27 GMT -6

jenniqtip: I donate every year. 😀ju sry as soon as the first area of interest pops up!! I rarely post though so the tag isn’t necessary. Just know I appreciate everything you do!! Jul 7, 2024 12:53:12 GMT -6

TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE Discussion Thread

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jun 13, 2021 7:45:57 GMT -6

Post by swla6 on Jun 13, 2021 7:50:18 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jun 13, 2021 7:51:48 GMT -6

Post by Wyatt Erminger on Jun 13, 2021 7:58:40 GMT -6

Post by Nathan on Jun 13, 2021 8:17:46 GMT -6

Post by darius Bogalusa on Jun 13, 2021 8:26:32 GMT -6

Post by HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN on Jun 13, 2021 11:02:48 GMT -6

Post by grisairgasm on Jun 13, 2021 11:22:56 GMT -6

Post by hurricaner on Jun 13, 2021 12:08:12 GMT -6

Post by darius Bogalusa on Jun 13, 2021 12:53:35 GMT -6

Post by grisairgasm on Jun 13, 2021 13:21:34 GMT -6

Post by kevco on Jun 13, 2021 15:02:07 GMT -6

Post by isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish on Jun 13, 2021 15:37:49 GMT -6

Post by lilspud on Jun 13, 2021 15:49:35 GMT -6

Post by TalonII on Jun 13, 2021 16:09:18 GMT -6

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