TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread

Remnants/Dissipated

homeymandeville Category 5 Posts: 1,517	TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 1, 2021 5:58:15 GMT -6 via mobile NavyMom: WBR Parish likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by homeymandeville on Jul 1, 2021 5:58:15 GMT -6 The center of Elsa is now further south from the 11pm TD update. And of course much further west. Models will be changing.
	Last Edit: Jul 1, 2021 8:24:18 GMT -6 by homeymandeville

nolasim
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TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 1, 2021 5:59:26 GMT -6 HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN, geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex, and 2 more like this

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Post by nolasim on Jul 1, 2021 5:59:26 GMT -6

The thing is, the EURO does initialize it and develop it, but has it crossing Haiti and once it does that basically poofs it and sends it out to sea. We shall see; who knows?

"Let's work the problem, people; don't make things worse by guessing!"

Gene Krantz, Flight Director, Apollo 13

weatherboyy Category 5 Posts: 2,413	TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 1, 2021 6:56:02 GMT -6 darius Bogalusa likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by weatherboyy on Jul 1, 2021 6:56:02 GMT -6
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optimist
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TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 1, 2021 6:56:06 GMT -6 via mobile darius Bogalusa likes this

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Post by optimist on Jul 1, 2021 6:56:06 GMT -6

Jul 1, 2021 5:58:15 GMT -6 homeymandeville said:

The center of Elsa is now further south from the 11pm TD update. And of course much further east. Models will be changing.

It’s further east than models are showing?

pastormichael Category 2 Pastor at Pine Ridge Methodist church between Greensburg and Kentwood, LA. Posts: 423	TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 1, 2021 7:08:14 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by pastormichael on Jul 1, 2021 7:08:14 GMT -6 Have models shifted somewhat west?

isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish GCWX Supporter Posts: 780	TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 1, 2021 7:13:03 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish on Jul 1, 2021 7:13:03 GMT -6

weatherboyy Category 5 Posts: 2,413	TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 1, 2021 7:51:44 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by weatherboyy on Jul 1, 2021 7:51:44 GMT -6 12Z spaghetti models
	weather geeks i don't really talk much I post image

pastormichael Category 2 Pastor at Pine Ridge Methodist church between Greensburg and Kentwood, LA. Posts: 423	TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 1, 2021 7:58:34 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by pastormichael on Jul 1, 2021 7:58:34 GMT -6 It looks like models very east!

weatherboyy Category 5 Posts: 2,413	TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 1, 2021 8:04:59 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by weatherboyy on Jul 1, 2021 8:04:59 GMT -6 Jul 1, 2021 7:58:34 GMT -6 pastormichael said: It looks like models very east! more west.
	weather geeks i don't really talk much I post image

Dutar76
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TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 1, 2021 8:05:07 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Dutar76 on Jul 1, 2021 8:05:07 GMT -6

Jul 1, 2021 7:13:03 GMT -6 isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish said:

So with lots of shear and possible land interaction with the islands, chances are that Elsa stays relatively shallow, if it even survives those challenges. So there's likely a high probability that it will be steered more to the NW or NNW.

Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP GCWX Supporter Posts: 1,488	TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 1, 2021 8:14:03 GMT -6 via mobile Cheshire Cat, harpman - old, and 6 more like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP on Jul 1, 2021 8:14:03 GMT -6 Elsa, you better not unscramble your your name to SELA for your future destination! 😱🌀💣🤡🤯🤬
	Last Edit: Jul 1, 2021 8:14:43 GMT -6 by Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP SONS RULE www.myspace.com/sweetestgirlinmarrero

isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish GCWX Supporter Posts: 780	TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 1, 2021 8:14:43 GMT -6 via mobile darius Bogalusa likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish on Jul 1, 2021 8:14:43 GMT -6 www.weathernerds.org/models/v3.0/ecens/sessions/ecens_2021-07-01-06Z_144_50_258_0_350_MSLP_Surface_tracks.png

pastormichael Category 2 Pastor at Pine Ridge Methodist church between Greensburg and Kentwood, LA. Posts: 423	TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 1, 2021 8:16:50 GMT -6 Nola Mike and bunkie68 - WBR Parish like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by pastormichael on Jul 1, 2021 8:16:50 GMT -6 In regards to the models, we will prob see the wind shield wiper effect for some time to come meaning, they will be shifting all over the place!

homeymandeville
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Posts: 1,517

TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 1, 2021 8:25:10 GMT -6 via mobile

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Post by homeymandeville on Jul 1, 2021 8:25:10 GMT -6

Jul 1, 2021 6:56:06 GMT -6 optimist said:

Jul 1, 2021 5:58:15 GMT -6 homeymandeville said:

The center of Elsa is now further south from the 11pm TD update. And of course much further east. Models will be changing.

It’s further east than models are showing?

I meant to say; further west. I fixed it. Thanks!

weatherboyy Category 5 Posts: 2,413	TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 1, 2021 8:45:40 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by weatherboyy on Jul 1, 2021 8:45:40 GMT -6
	weather geeks i don't really talk much I post image

lencast: I am in Jacksonville, and trying to drive back to New Orleans. Does anyone here know if the I-10 is passable in Lake City and Tallahassee. Sept 27, 2024 5:19:03 GMT -6

tcane: This sure looks like it dies quickly. maybe falling apart before metro New Orleans? Just looking at the lat dozen posts and images here. Sept 10, 2024 11:26:27 GMT -6

jenniqtip: I donate every year. 😀ju sry as soon as the first area of interest pops up!! I rarely post though so the tag isn’t necessary. Just know I appreciate everything you do!! Jul 7, 2024 12:53:12 GMT -6

TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread

Post by homeymandeville on Jul 1, 2021 5:58:15 GMT -6

Post by nolasim on Jul 1, 2021 5:59:26 GMT -6

Post by weatherboyy on Jul 1, 2021 6:56:02 GMT -6

Post by optimist on Jul 1, 2021 6:56:06 GMT -6

Post by pastormichael on Jul 1, 2021 7:08:14 GMT -6

Post by isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish on Jul 1, 2021 7:13:03 GMT -6

Post by weatherboyy on Jul 1, 2021 7:51:44 GMT -6

Post by pastormichael on Jul 1, 2021 7:58:34 GMT -6

Post by weatherboyy on Jul 1, 2021 8:04:59 GMT -6

Post by Dutar76 on Jul 1, 2021 8:05:07 GMT -6

Post by Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP on Jul 1, 2021 8:14:03 GMT -6

Post by isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish on Jul 1, 2021 8:14:43 GMT -6

Post by pastormichael on Jul 1, 2021 8:16:50 GMT -6

Post by homeymandeville on Jul 1, 2021 8:25:10 GMT -6

Post by weatherboyy on Jul 1, 2021 8:45:40 GMT -6

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