TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread

Remnants/Dissipated

Zack Fradella
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TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 3, 2021 18:10:53 GMT -6 via mobile Mike Naso, nolasim, and 4 more like this

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Post by Zack Fradella on Jul 3, 2021 18:10:53 GMT -6

Once you get past the formative stages, that’s when the track forecast is really good.

If a storm is forming (Delta), passing over multiple islands (Laura), or slow moving (Sally), always be ready for track shifts.

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grisairgasm GCWX Supporter Posts: 5,866	TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 3, 2021 18:51:19 GMT -6 geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex, ju, and 1 more like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by grisairgasm on Jul 3, 2021 18:51:19 GMT -6 Simple and perfectly stated. And thanks for putting David’s graphic up yesterday. My mind right now? Everyday is a win without a threat this season.

Mike Naso Official Contributor Posts: 1,294	TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 3, 2021 19:55:37 GMT -6 Dutar76, grisairgasm, and 1 more like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Mike Naso on Jul 3, 2021 19:55:37 GMT -6 Elsa is impressing me MUCH more than 24 hrs when it was a hurricane.

HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN Moderator Director of Public Relations Posts: 6,258 Location: Gallatin, TN - 20 miles NE of Nashville Staff Member	TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 3, 2021 20:08:21 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN on Jul 3, 2021 20:08:21 GMT -6 Jul 3, 2021 19:55:37 GMT -6 Mike Naso said: Elsa is impressing me MUCH more than 24 hrs when it was a hurricane.
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Mike Naso Official Contributor Posts: 1,294	TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 3, 2021 21:58:55 GMT -6 Cheshire Cat, geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex, and 1 more like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Mike Naso on Jul 3, 2021 21:58:55 GMT -6 Midnight Video Update on Elsa

thibodauxwx GCWX Supporter Posts: 3,537	TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 4, 2021 8:14:48 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by thibodauxwx on Jul 4, 2021 8:14:48 GMT -6 Elsa has slowed down quite a bit to 13 mph and is moving WNW, still 65 mph.

Mike Naso Official Contributor Posts: 1,294	TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 4, 2021 10:42:10 GMT -6 geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex and Dutar76 like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Mike Naso on Jul 4, 2021 10:42:10 GMT -6 I've never been more impressed by a system with such a high pressure. LOL Happy Fourth of July everyone!

geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex
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TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 4, 2021 10:46:40 GMT -6 via mobile

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Post by geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex on Jul 4, 2021 10:46:40 GMT -6

Jul 4, 2021 10:42:10 GMT -6 Mike Naso said:

I've never been more impressed by a system with such a high pressure. LOL

Happy Fourth of July everyone!

Was it expected to slow down so dramatically? Seems that this would make intensification more likely.

Dutar76
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TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 4, 2021 10:49:13 GMT -6 Mike Naso likes this

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Post by Dutar76 on Jul 4, 2021 10:49:13 GMT -6

Jul 4, 2021 10:42:10 GMT -6 Mike Naso said:

I've never been more impressed by a system with such a high pressure. LOL

Happy Fourth of July everyone!

Yes, she looks a lot better now that she's not out-running herself. Also managed to keep her core intact by skirting the islands. Small-ish storm but nice too look at. I think she has the potential for rapid shifts whether it be strengthening or weakening. Looks like she's about to start feeling some shear though... after that, it'll be land interaction.

Happy 4th of July back at you.

Mike Naso Official Contributor Posts: 1,294	TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 4, 2021 10:49:40 GMT -6 Dutar76 likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Mike Naso on Jul 4, 2021 10:49:40 GMT -6

isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish GCWX Supporter Posts: 780	TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 4, 2021 11:02:27 GMT -6 via mobile NavyMom: WBR Parish and bunkie68 - WBR Parish like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish on Jul 4, 2021 11:02:27 GMT -6 Happy Independence Day to everyone

Cheshire Cat
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TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 4, 2021 11:14:45 GMT -6 NavyMom: WBR Parish and bunkie68 - WBR Parish like this

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Post by Cheshire Cat on Jul 4, 2021 11:14:45 GMT -6

Jul 4, 2021 8:14:48 GMT -6 thibodauxwx said:

Elsa has slowed down quite a bit to 13 mph and is moving WNW, still 65 mph.

And this forum has quite slowed down, too . . . :hmmm:

Happy USA Independence Day, Everyone‼️ 🎇 🇺🇸 🎆

nolasim
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TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 4, 2021 13:06:23 GMT -6 T-man and harpman - old like this

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Post by nolasim on Jul 4, 2021 13:06:23 GMT -6

Both the GFS and the HWRF have trended west in their last runs. 00Z HWRF went waaaaaaaaaay west before shifting back east at the 12Z. NHC's track remains essentially unchanged as does their thinking as mentioned in their discussion from 10:00 a.m.

"Let's work the problem, people; don't make things worse by guessing!"

Gene Krantz, Flight Director, Apollo 13

nolasim Moderator Posts: 6,930 Location: Algiers-West Bank Staff Member	TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 4, 2021 14:51:50 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by nolasim on Jul 4, 2021 14:51:50 GMT -6 Aaaaaaaaaaaaand at the 4:00 p.m. advisory, the NHC's thinking remains unchanged, as does the track. Elsa is starting her northwest turn.
	"Let's work the problem, people; don't make things worse by guessing!" Gene Krantz, Flight Director, Apollo 13

thermalwind - Touro Meteorology Student Posts: 1,407	TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread Jul 4, 2021 15:34:27 GMT -6 via mobile SKYSUMMIT, wbanklady, and 1 more like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by thermalwind - Touro on Jul 4, 2021 15:34:27 GMT -6 Yeah, the NHC has this one nailed me thinks.

lencast: I am in Jacksonville, and trying to drive back to New Orleans. Does anyone here know if the I-10 is passable in Lake City and Tallahassee. Sept 27, 2024 5:19:03 GMT -6

tcane: This sure looks like it dies quickly. maybe falling apart before metro New Orleans? Just looking at the lat dozen posts and images here. Sept 10, 2024 11:26:27 GMT -6

jenniqtip: I donate every year. 😀ju sry as soon as the first area of interest pops up!! I rarely post though so the tag isn’t necessary. Just know I appreciate everything you do!! Jul 7, 2024 12:53:12 GMT -6

TROPICAL STORM ELSA Discussion Thread

Post by Zack Fradella on Jul 3, 2021 18:10:53 GMT -6

Post by grisairgasm on Jul 3, 2021 18:51:19 GMT -6

Post by Mike Naso on Jul 3, 2021 19:55:37 GMT -6

Post by HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN on Jul 3, 2021 20:08:21 GMT -6

Post by Mike Naso on Jul 3, 2021 21:58:55 GMT -6

Post by thibodauxwx on Jul 4, 2021 8:14:48 GMT -6

Post by Mike Naso on Jul 4, 2021 10:42:10 GMT -6

Post by geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex on Jul 4, 2021 10:46:40 GMT -6

Post by Dutar76 on Jul 4, 2021 10:49:13 GMT -6

Post by Mike Naso on Jul 4, 2021 10:49:40 GMT -6

Post by isaactheterrible_ EBR Parish on Jul 4, 2021 11:02:27 GMT -6

Post by Cheshire Cat on Jul 4, 2021 11:14:45 GMT -6

Post by nolasim on Jul 4, 2021 13:06:23 GMT -6

Post by nolasim on Jul 4, 2021 14:51:50 GMT -6

Post by thermalwind - Touro on Jul 4, 2021 15:34:27 GMT -6

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