Post by Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP on Mar 16, 2022 5:15:44 GMT -6
Can someone please tell me what the LRC is looking like for the weekend of April the 9th? Or does it even go out that far? Many thanks and a depth of appreciation in advance!
Post by HarahanTim - Now in Covington! on Mar 31, 2022 11:49:13 GMT -6
Zack's April update, from off his FB page, a couple of days ago.
Meteorologist Zack Fradella
APRIL LRC - Here is the new LRC calendar for the month of April. Note the West Gulf Coast low in week two comes back in early June, that may be one of our first tropical signals of hurricane season. A re-cycle period occurs this month which could throw the dates a little come mid to late month. For those wondering, we are in the December part of the pattern which brings plenty of warmth—with the severe signals mainly going through the Plains as tail end of fronts come down to us and stall. Maybe some heavy rain set ups after Easter? As we get deeper into spring, it gets harder to determine signals so this is probably the last month of a calendar outlook. In May it will be time to look at hurricane season and what areas signal throughout the season. Note - the LRC is not designed to specify exact weather details on certain dates. It shows the big weather events in the cycle.
Post by HarahanTim - Now in Covington! on Apr 25, 2022 5:51:41 GMT -6
Zack's update, on April 24
A BIRTHDAY LRC SPECIAL - look it gets hard to “see” certain pieces to the cycle in May as we transition into summer. You still can pick up on a few things within the pattern to mention. Of note, in the middle of May we could see some subtropical mischief off the East Coast…maybe an early named storm. Then you see the end of the month into early June does bring up a west-central Gulf tropical signal. That doesn’t mean it gets named but it wouldn’t surprise me!
Post by HarahanTim - Now in Covington! on May 1, 2022 15:36:09 GMT -6
Meteorologist Zack Fradella
MAY LRC - Here are the May thoughts from the LRC, we aren’t done with the cool air just yet! Flip back to stormy arrives in about a week. Then some frontal passages (cooler), Flor’easter might be a May subtropical entity. Tropical signal arrives early June in the Gulf.
Post by Zack Fradella on May 8, 2022 6:42:51 GMT -6
It's almost like this Northeast/East Coast Subtropical Low gets so strong and blocks up the pattern for a second. Then look how the GFS is coming around next weekend. It starts matching up pretty perfectly for the end of October just a little late. Amazing stuff... next big piece to the puzzle would be the Flor'Easter.
It's almost like this Northeast/East Coast Subtropical Low gets so strong and blocks up the pattern for a second. Then look how the GFS is coming around next weekend. It starts matching up pretty perfectly for the end of October just a little late. Amazing stuff... next big piece to the puzzle would be the Flor'Easter.
GFS for next Sunday...
October 28th
Hopefully this would drag what is left of cooler air to our region for a few days?
SKYSUMMIT: I'm hoping we're shoveling snow for Christmas
Nov 16, 2022 14:58:12 GMT -6
stormydds: Thanks for your reply... as usual
Nov 5, 2022 11:37:29 GMT -6
Zack Fradella: Yea, Lezak had a paper peer reviewed and published a year or so ago.
Nov 5, 2022 9:03:24 GMT -6
stormydds: Thanks for your response. I felt that is the case. that's too bad. Has there been any peer reviewed papers on the LRC hypothesis?
Nov 4, 2022 14:01:51 GMT -6
Zack Fradella: Not sure, the LRC is something that takes a lot of work to follow and keep up with. It's not as easy as looking at the parameters and making a forecast. This deters many from even giving it a chance. Also, there is some doubt from the weather world.
Nov 4, 2022 3:38:49 GMT -6
stormydds: Zack, a friend had a meeting in Lafayette which Rob Perillo spoke.He asked him why the LRC is not used to forecast hurricanes by NOAA.His answer was that Lezak won't share the info.I saw the podcast you and David made with Gary.He seemed open.What gives?
Nov 3, 2022 14:39:19 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: Man I really hope that rain moves quickly on Saturday. I'm so pumped for 6 hours of awesome college football!
Nov 3, 2022 7:15:01 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Been unblocked. Dylan says that the station took major damage, so no idea when they'll even be able to stream again, or be on the air. Hopefully, they will at least let their employees deal with their own property issues!
Oct 2, 2022 18:17:35 GMT -6
gullywasher: Seriously, must we deal with Bruce Katz at noon, 4, 5 AND 9. ?
Sept 30, 2022 20:03:25 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: According to another met on twitter, the kitten was rescued by a producer who's adopting it. Of course that hasn't stopped the angry mob, with torches and pitchforks, who are insisting that it's a lie.
Sept 29, 2022 17:48:05 GMT -6
nolachic: Pink - he's probably blocking people he doesn't personally know to keep his cell charged and to get his head straight, and I'm sure he is beyond exhausted.
Sept 29, 2022 9:23:35 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: I sent him a message yesterday as well, but he hasn't seen it.
Sept 29, 2022 5:46:06 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Oh hell, I meant for that to be a message!
Sept 28, 2022 19:38:19 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Dylan is taking a beating on Twitter. I just tried to send him a message of support, since we've been following each other for years, and HE BLOCKED ME!!!!!! Somebody who can get to him needs to do so, pronto!!! I'm very worried about him.
Sept 28, 2022 19:37:27 GMT -6
HarahanTim - Now in Covington!: Hmmm, I will say. that somewhere back there, we have stored the "Tums" icon, for those that give a prediction based on their "gut"!
Sept 24, 2022 11:38:12 GMT -6
T-man: Gully, no one here cares about your tender friggin' heart, ya big snoflake!!! :horns: :horns: :horns: :tongue:
Sept 24, 2022 10:24:18 GMT -6
