Post by Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP on Sept 10, 2021 23:51:38 GMT -6
I'm wondering about shall it become a Tropical Depression or Storm, and we've seen this time and time again where these things can be largely lopsided and no matter where the center moves onshore, how far out to the east will the heavy training rains will fall. Like I can't remember the exact storm, but the center moved onshore of Louisiana and we didn't get much rain at all with that storm but Alabama and Florida got nailed with heavy training rains. Is this even in the realm of possibility of what could happen here, like say for example it moves onshore in Beaumont Texas but the heavy training rains setup like say 50-175 miles to the east?
Post by hurricaner on Sept 10, 2021 23:58:07 GMT -6
Is now in the red for both 2 days and 5 days 70/80%.
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of Central America, southeastern Mexico, and the adjacent waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea and southern Gulf of Mexico are associated with a tropical wave interacting with an upper-level trough. Upper-level winds over the western Gulf of Mexico are expected to become more conducive for development over the weekend, and a tropical depression is likely to form on Sunday or Monday while the system moves northwestward and then northward near the coast of northeastern Mexico. Further development of this system will be possible through the middle of next week if it remains over water, and interests along the western and northwestern Gulf coast should monitor the progress of this system.
Regardless of development, this disturbance is expected to produce heavy rain across portions of Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula today, which may lead to flash flooding and mudslides. By late this weekend, heavy rain will likely reach portions of the western Gulf coast, including coastal Texas and Louisiana through the middle of next week. Localized significant rainfall amounts will be possible, resulting in limited flash and urban flooding.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
Last Edit: Sept 10, 2021 23:59:26 GMT -6 by hurricaner
Just got out power , cable and internet last night, on east side of Thibodaux. Just in time to watch this develop. We don’t need a major rain event here.
Same here. We just got our power back at 1 a.m. west side of Thibodaux. No WiFi though. That will still need to get fixed. So only can check things from my phone and super slow
Still out of power..Bridge City has been deemed the last to get power in the greater new orleans area. Yay for us. But it goes without saying, we can't handle a bunch of rain here. I hate that SW Louisiana looks to get the brunt but we really can't handle it right now.