HURRICANE NICHOLAS - Continuing Discussion Thread

Shibumi-Mandeville I-12/Hwy59
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HURRICANE NICHOLAS - Continuing Discussion Thread Sept 14, 2021 11:13:55 GMT -6 via mobile Madwoman - Groves, Tx. likes this

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Post by Shibumi-Mandeville I-12/Hwy59 on Sept 14, 2021 11:13:55 GMT -6

Sept 14, 2021 10:45:54 GMT -6 cajungal said:

Sept 14, 2021 10:30:21 GMT -6 ndg said:

What I mean by coastal areas is including your area of Thibodaux. In and around a few miles north I-10/I-12 then south to the immediate coast.

I know what you meant. So far it hasn’t been too bad but I know it is just beginning. Tarp has been doing job and no rain in my living room. Praying it stays that way

As long as the tarp was installed properly and stays in place it should keep direct rainfall from getting into the house.....it won't keep all the moisture away as it's not sealed against all the roof tiles on the edges. I assume the tarp is installed OVER the peak of your roof so direct runoff can't get under the tarp.

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	HURRICANE NICHOLAS - Continuing Discussion Thread Sept 14, 2021 11:18:15 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 14, 2021 11:18:15 GMT -6 1 SSW Port Neches [Jefferson Co, TX] DEPT OF HIGHWAYS reports FLASH FLOOD at 12:14 PM CDT -- WATER OVER THE ROAD.
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	HURRICANE NICHOLAS - Continuing Discussion Thread Sept 14, 2021 11:23:17 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 14, 2021 11:23:17 GMT -6
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	HURRICANE NICHOLAS - Continuing Discussion Thread Sept 14, 2021 11:25:42 GMT -6 Mike Naso, harpman - old, and 2 more like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 14, 2021 11:25:42 GMT -6 That's a nice, large dry slot south of Lake Charles. Keep pushing east young Nicholas!
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

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HURRICANE NICHOLAS - Continuing Discussion Thread Sept 14, 2021 11:29:25 GMT -6

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Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 14, 2021 11:29:25 GMT -6

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1226 PM CDT Tue Sep 14 2021

...HIGHEST WIND REPORTS SO FAR...

Location                     Speed     Time/Date       Lat/Lon              
Texas Point, TX              62 MPH    0506 AM 09/14   29.68N/93.84W        
Southeast Texas Regional Air 52 MPH    0742 AM 09/14   29.95N/94.03W        
Calcasieu Pass, LA           49 MPH    1054 AM 09/14   29.77N/93.34W        
Mcfaddin                     44 MPH    0735 AM 09/14   29.71N/94.12W        
1 ESE Sea Rim State Park     44 MPH    0700 AM 09/14   29.68N/94.03W        
Cameron                      44 MPH    1053 AM 09/14   29.78N/93.29W        
Beaumont                     41 MPH    0135 AM 09/14   30.07N/94.22W        
Lake Charles                 41 MPH    1008 AM 09/14   30.13N/93.22W        
Sulphur                      41 MPH    0935 AM 09/14   30.13N/93.38W        
1.9 S Vidor (UPR)            41 MPH    0155 AM 09/14   30.10N/94.01W        
16 SE Burns Point            39 MPH    0648 AM 09/14   29.37N/91.38W        
Port Arthur, TX              39 MPH    1124 AM 09/14   29.87N/93.93W        

Observations are collected from a variety of sources with varying
equipment and exposures. We thank all volunteer weather observers 
for their dedication. Not all data listed are considered official.

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NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

heatherweather GCWX Supporter Posts: 179	HURRICANE NICHOLAS - Continuing Discussion Thread Sept 14, 2021 11:42:38 GMT -6 Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP and NavyMom: WBR Parish like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by heatherweather on Sept 14, 2021 11:42:38 GMT -6 Can someone post a map of predicted rainfall totals through Friday?
	Total severe weather nerd, starting with Hurricane Andrew! Follow me on Instagram @themagicalredhead. Please note that any excitement or disappointment displayed regarding severe weather events is strictly about experiencing the event itself from a meteorological standpoint (not the potential negative impacts to life and property).

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HURRICANE NICHOLAS - Continuing Discussion Thread Sept 14, 2021 11:58:09 GMT -6 bigstevo29 likes this

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Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 14, 2021 11:58:09 GMT -6

Sept 14, 2021 11:42:38 GMT -6 heatherweather said:

Can someone post a map of predicted rainfall totals through Friday?

Multiple models have been posted on the previous few pages. Now we're just at a wait and see mode to see if heavy rains train over any one area or if dry air wins out.

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NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

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HURRICANE NICHOLAS - Continuing Discussion Thread Sept 14, 2021 11:58:27 GMT -6

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 14, 2021 11:58:27 GMT -6

Tropical Storm Nicholas Intermediate Advisory Number 10A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142021
100 PM CDT Tue Sep 14 2021

...NICHOLAS MOVING SLOWLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE HOUSTON METROPOLITAN AREA...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
DEEP SOUTH DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...

SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.4N 95.0W
ABOUT 30 MI...55 KM SE OF HOUSTON TEXAS
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM WSW OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES

Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com
United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore
Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX
Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App!
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

T-man GCWX Supporter still watching the weather! Posts: 4,707	HURRICANE NICHOLAS - Continuing Discussion Thread Sept 14, 2021 11:59:50 GMT -6 NavyMom: WBR Parish and heatherweather like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by T-man on Sept 14, 2021 11:59:50 GMT -6 www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/qpf/Nicholas_rainfall.gif

RW94-BR Category 1 Posts: 117	HURRICANE NICHOLAS - Continuing Discussion Thread Sept 14, 2021 12:01:28 GMT -6 heatherweather likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by RW94-BR on Sept 14, 2021 12:01:28 GMT -6 Can someone post a map of predicted rainfall totals through Friday? NWS New Orleans Twitter /photo/1
	Last Edit: Sept 14, 2021 12:07:57 GMT -6 by RW94-BR

neworleansmike
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HURRICANE NICHOLAS - Continuing Discussion Thread Sept 14, 2021 12:02:37 GMT -6 via mobile harpman - old and bigstevo29 like this

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Post by neworleansmike on Sept 14, 2021 12:02:37 GMT -6

Sept 14, 2021 11:25:42 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

That's a nice, large dry slot south of Lake Charles. Keep pushing east young Nicholas!

I’m no meteorologist ….but i have to agree with you Scott about the dry slot …I don’t see the 2726363637373 inches of rain they predicted 🤷‍♂️

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	HURRICANE NICHOLAS - Continuing Discussion Thread Sept 14, 2021 12:17:01 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 14, 2021 12:17:01 GMT -6 4 SW East NEW Orleans [Orleans Co, LA] EMERGENCY MNGR reports FLASH FLOOD at 1:12 PM CDT -- NOHSEP REPORTED MULTIPLE UNDERPASSES TO BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO HIGH WATER.
	Buying or Selling Real Estate?--->scottguidry.com United Real Estate Partners - New Orleans / North Shore Scott Guidry, Realtor, ABR, AHWD, AWREP, C2EX Click HERE To Download My FREE MLS Touch App! NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

pastormichael Category 2 Pastor at Pine Ridge Methodist church between Greensburg and Kentwood, LA. Posts: 423	HURRICANE NICHOLAS - Continuing Discussion Thread Sept 14, 2021 12:18:43 GMT -6 Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by pastormichael on Sept 14, 2021 12:18:43 GMT -6 What looks to be left of Nicholas appears to be entering the NorthWestern Gulf.
	Last Edit: Sept 14, 2021 12:29:24 GMT -6 by pastormichael

roz
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HURRICANE NICHOLAS - Continuing Discussion Thread Sept 14, 2021 12:28:21 GMT -6

Quote

Post by roz on Sept 14, 2021 12:28:21 GMT -6

Sept 14, 2021 12:18:43 GMT -6 pastormichael said:

What looks to left of Nicholas appears to be entering the NorthWestern Gulf.

Zack posted about that on his FB page:

Meteorologist Zack Fradella
2h ·
"RADAR UPDATE - we all are getting drenched but the rain has been manageable. Unfortunately the heaviest rain is currently falling in the hardest hit Ida areas of SE LA. Now one thing to note is Nicholas, the circulation, is about to find its way back into the Gulf. Don’t worry, it won’t reorganize but later tonight being that it’s farther south, the surface convergence with our coast could lead to much more intense rain bands. It’s something I’m watching closely. The approaching dry slot should help western LA get their rain totals cut down but the same can’t be said ahead of the circulation in south-central and southeast LA."

philstorm91 - Greenwell Spring Category 4 Posts: 961	HURRICANE NICHOLAS - Continuing Discussion Thread Sept 14, 2021 12:28:56 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by philstorm91 - Greenwell Spring on Sept 14, 2021 12:28:56 GMT -6 Visible satellite imagery actually showing LLC of Nicholas spinning back toward land, now moving more NE. Hopefully not spinning in circles.

HURRICANE NICHOLAS - Continuing Discussion Thread

Post by Shibumi-Mandeville I-12/Hwy59 on Sept 14, 2021 11:13:55 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 14, 2021 11:18:15 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 14, 2021 11:23:17 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 14, 2021 11:25:42 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 14, 2021 11:29:25 GMT -6

Post by heatherweather on Sept 14, 2021 11:42:38 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 14, 2021 11:58:09 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 14, 2021 11:58:27 GMT -6

Post by T-man on Sept 14, 2021 11:59:50 GMT -6

Post by RW94-BR on Sept 14, 2021 12:01:28 GMT -6

Post by neworleansmike on Sept 14, 2021 12:02:37 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 14, 2021 12:17:01 GMT -6

Post by pastormichael on Sept 14, 2021 12:18:43 GMT -6

Post by roz on Sept 14, 2021 12:28:21 GMT -6

Post by philstorm91 - Greenwell Spring on Sept 14, 2021 12:28:56 GMT -6

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