Well I'm kind of worried...Being that I'm located approximately 30 miles north of I12....Definitely located in the moderate zone of severe weather....Usually we are just far south enough to still get some protection from the cool gulf waters, while more severe weather forms just north of here....Hopefully this will be the case...But to have a 4/5 threat is very rare....its hard for me to believe that in an area where such a high threat is forecasted that we will not have some supercells to form in front of the main squall line...But I'm still learning patterns and trends when it comes to severe weather...So we shall see
If I lived N of I12 I would have a place to go for a few hours or build / fortify a part of my dwelling or property. It’s just a matter of time until that area gets a nasty tornado. Sorry I sound a little pessimistic today but I don’t trust the weather anymore. And these SE tornados have no problem showing up in the middle of the night.
Though I am glad not to live in a tornado prone area, having a basement would give me some peace of mind.
I wonder how far from SELA basements become a thing......
Looks like E Tx just got upgraded to “moderate” on the severe graph. Think it was “enhanced “ earlier. Don’t like that.
Double post. Sorry.
Hubby just arrived in Houston for work for a week. Praying it doesn’t get too bad for him there. I will be a nervous wreck being by myself with the kids if it gets bad here too. At least no more tarp on our roof. I remember in 2015, I was home alone with my son who was only 8 months old at the time. And having to hunker in the hallway. As I was positive a tornado was fixing to hit us as we got 60 miles per hour winds and it looked like midnight at only 9 a.m. and tornado did hit only a couple miles away,
If I lived N of I12 I would have a place to go for a few hours or build / fortify a part of my dwelling or property. It’s just a matter of time until that area gets a nasty tornado. Sorry I sound a little pessimistic today but I don’t trust the weather anymore. And these SE tornados have no problem showing up in the middle of the night.
Though I am glad not to live in a tornado prone area, having a basement would give me some peace of mind.
I wonder how far from SELA basements become a thing......
My husband's grandparents had a basement here in Thibodaux. Think I'm remembering correctly that what they did was have the foundation built higher than normal and built a room and then the house on top of that. As you know, with such a high water table, what most people think of as a basement would be hard to maintain. Tim said that he and his family spent Hurricane Betsy in that basement.
Though I am glad not to live in a tornado prone area, having a basement would give me some peace of mind.
I wonder how far from SELA basements become a thing......
My husband's grandparents had a basement here in Thibodaux. Think I'm remembering correctly that what they did was have the foundation built higher than normal and built a room and then the house on top of that. As you know, with such a high water table, what most people think of as a basement would be hard to maintain. Tim said that he and his family spent Hurricane Betsy in that basement.
It could definitely be done on the northshore...it's just not part of the building culture here....kind of like dealerships sell cars up north with no AC (or they used to....).
Well I'm kind of worried...Being that I'm located approximately 30 miles north of I12....Definitely located in the moderate zone of severe weather....Usually we are just far south enough to still get some protection from the cool gulf waters, while more severe weather forms just north of here....Hopefully this will be the case...But to have a 4/5 threat is very rare....its hard for me to believe that in an area where such a high threat is forecasted that we will not have some supercells to form in front of the main squall line...But I'm still learning patterns and trends when it comes to severe weather...So we shall see
We have been lucky, most of the storms that turn severe do so right over us and then drop tornadoes right to our north. Sadly it seems to me that most people here in Bog don't even keep up with what is happening when it comes to severe weather.
Sometimes I wonder who I was before the lightning struck and I was no more.
Post by philstorm91 - Greenwell Spring on Mar 21, 2022 12:42:32 GMT -6
A wind advisory has now been issued for all areas of SELA and southern MS, with the advisory issued by LIX corresponding with surrounding weather forecast offices. The advisory is for 9 AM to 9 PM.
Well I'm kind of worried...Being that I'm located approximately 30 miles north of I12....Definitely located in the moderate zone of severe weather....Usually we are just far south enough to still get some protection from the cool gulf waters, while more severe weather forms just north of here....Hopefully this will be the case...But to have a 4/5 threat is very rare....its hard for me to believe that in an area where such a high threat is forecasted that we will not have some supercells to form in front of the main squall line...But I'm still learning patterns and trends when it comes to severe weather...So we shall see
We have been lucky, most of the storms that turn severe do so right over us and then drop tornadoes right to our north. Sadly it seems to me that most people here in Bog don't even keep up with what is happening when it comes to severe weather.
Not a clue to what's going on, until they cancel schools😂
If I lived N of I12 I would have a place to go for a few hours or build / fortify a part of my dwelling or property. It’s just a matter of time until that area gets a nasty tornado. Sorry I sound a little pessimistic today but I don’t trust the weather anymore. And these SE tornados have no problem showing up in the middle of the night.
Though I am glad not to live in a tornado prone area, having a basement would give me some peace of mind.
I wonder how far from SELA basements become a thing......
You start finding a bunch of homes north of the state line that have them. Our biggest deterrent for basements down here in the metro area is our soil. The best place for basements in our area would probably be the northern parts of the Northshore.
Post by lightningstruck-Bogalusa on Mar 21, 2022 13:12:07 GMT -6
Anyone know anything about storm shutters? Mine won't roll down. I made a post in Anything Goes to not take up space on this thread. Any ideas/help will be appreciated
Sometimes I wonder who I was before the lightning struck and I was no more.
NWS Skywarn Storm Spotter
SKYSUMMIT President | Director of OperationsAdministrator
SUMMARY...Conditions are becoming more favorable for supercell thunderstorms capable of all severe hazards, including very large hail (i.e. greater than 2" in diameter) and tornadoes.
DISCUSSION...Recent mesoanalysis shows a strong (i.e. 50-55 kt at 850 mb) low-level jet throughout much of the warm sector. This mesoanalysis is verified by area 18Z soundings, with CRP and FWD sampling 55 kt and 65 kt at 850 mb, respectively. Some convective contamination may have contributed to the stronger winds at FWD, but the general expectation is for these strong winds to persist throughout the warm sector this afternoon and evening.
At the same time, strong moisture advection is contributing to air mass destabilization. Dewpoints increases around 4 deg F have occurred over the last 3 hours throughout much of central and eastern TX, with dewpoints now ranging from the upper 60s/low 70s in the AUS/CLL vicinity to low 60s across much of the Metroplex. Recent mesoanalysis indicates MLCIN has eroded across much of central TX. This is verified by a recent special sounding from St. Edwards University in Austin, which sampled limited convective inhibition remaining. Recent 18Z sounding from Texas A&M shows a bit more convective inhibition remaining.
The improving thermodynamics, supercell wind profiles and gradually strengthening ascent all suggest the potential for discrete supercells capable of all severe hazards this afternoon, including very large hail (i.e. greater than 2" in diameter) and tornadoes. Convective interference may limit the duration of any one discrete cell, but the environmental conditions do support potentially long-lived updrafts and intense supercells, particularly over central TX/TX Hill Country. A Tornado Watch will be needed this afternoon to cover this severe potential.
..Mosier/Guyer.. 03/21/2022
Hammond, LA NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23