REALTOR - Team Geaux Realty, LLC (Let me be your Realtor!) Search homes on my website --> www.scottguidry.com/ NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23
Tornado Watch Number 120 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1035 AM CDT Wed Apr 13 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of Central and southern Arkansas Northwest Louisiana Northeast Texas
* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 1035 AM until 500 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely
SUMMARY...A pre-frontal band of thunderstorms will likely intensify through the afternoon while spreading eastward, with some additional southward development possible by early afternoon near the Texas/Louisiana border. The storm environment favors a mix of embedded bowing segments and supercell structures, while any later southward development would tend to be supercells. A few tornadoes, a couple of which could be strong, damaging winds up to 75 mph, and isolated very large hail will all be possible with the most intense storms through mid-late afternoon.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles west northwest of Little Rock AR to 65 miles west southwest of Natchitoches LA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings.
&&
REALTOR - Team Geaux Realty, LLC (Let me be your Realtor!) Search homes on my website --> www.scottguidry.com/ NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23
Post by HarahanTim - Now in Covington! on Apr 13, 2022 14:17:17 GMT -6
Tornado Watch Number 123 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 245 PM CDT Wed Apr 13 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of Extreme southeastern Arkansas Northern Louisiana Central Mississippi Extreme east central Texas
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 245 PM until 1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include... Several tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Warm sector thunderstorm development will continue to increase through the afternoon/evening from Louisiana into Mississippi, in advance of a cold front approaching the Sabine River. The storm environment favors a mix of clusters and supercells, with attendant threats for a couple of strong tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail through late evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 120 statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles northwest of Greenwood MS to 20 miles south of Natchez MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 120...WW 121...WW 122...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 24040.
New HRRR run shows most of our rain coming in around midnight with only spotty showers before that.
REALTOR - Team Geaux Realty, LLC (Let me be your Realtor!) Search homes on my website --> www.scottguidry.com/ NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23
Post by grisairgasm on Apr 13, 2022 15:43:57 GMT -6
Having trouble seeing any major NOLA flooding with a moving front squall line. Severe without flooding looks more likely to me. One thing to keep in mind is the current drought. The ground in many areas is very dry and tight which can inhibit absorption initially. So basically you get a lot more runoff into waterways and streets.
SKYSUMMIT: I'm hoping we're shoveling snow for Christmas
Nov 16, 2022 14:58:12 GMT -6
stormydds: Thanks for your reply... as usual
Nov 5, 2022 11:37:29 GMT -6
Zack Fradella: Yea, Lezak had a paper peer reviewed and published a year or so ago.
Nov 5, 2022 9:03:24 GMT -6
stormydds: Thanks for your response. I felt that is the case. that's too bad. Has there been any peer reviewed papers on the LRC hypothesis?
Nov 4, 2022 14:01:51 GMT -6
Zack Fradella: Not sure, the LRC is something that takes a lot of work to follow and keep up with. It's not as easy as looking at the parameters and making a forecast. This deters many from even giving it a chance. Also, there is some doubt from the weather world.
Nov 4, 2022 3:38:49 GMT -6
stormydds: Zack, a friend had a meeting in Lafayette which Rob Perillo spoke.He asked him why the LRC is not used to forecast hurricanes by NOAA.His answer was that Lezak won't share the info.I saw the podcast you and David made with Gary.He seemed open.What gives?
Nov 3, 2022 14:39:19 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: Man I really hope that rain moves quickly on Saturday. I'm so pumped for 6 hours of awesome college football!
Nov 3, 2022 7:15:01 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Been unblocked. Dylan says that the station took major damage, so no idea when they'll even be able to stream again, or be on the air. Hopefully, they will at least let their employees deal with their own property issues!
Oct 2, 2022 18:17:35 GMT -6
gullywasher: Seriously, must we deal with Bruce Katz at noon, 4, 5 AND 9. ?
Sept 30, 2022 20:03:25 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: According to another met on twitter, the kitten was rescued by a producer who's adopting it. Of course that hasn't stopped the angry mob, with torches and pitchforks, who are insisting that it's a lie.
Sept 29, 2022 17:48:05 GMT -6
nolachic: Pink - he's probably blocking people he doesn't personally know to keep his cell charged and to get his head straight, and I'm sure he is beyond exhausted.
Sept 29, 2022 9:23:35 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: I sent him a message yesterday as well, but he hasn't seen it.
Sept 29, 2022 5:46:06 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Oh hell, I meant for that to be a message!
Sept 28, 2022 19:38:19 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Dylan is taking a beating on Twitter. I just tried to send him a message of support, since we've been following each other for years, and HE BLOCKED ME!!!!!! Somebody who can get to him needs to do so, pronto!!! I'm very worried about him.
Sept 28, 2022 19:37:27 GMT -6
HarahanTim - Now in Covington!: Hmmm, I will say. that somewhere back there, we have stored the "Tums" icon, for those that give a prediction based on their "gut"!
Sept 24, 2022 11:38:12 GMT -6
T-man: Gully, no one here cares about your tender friggin' heart, ya big snoflake!!! :horns: :horns: :horns: :tongue:
Sept 24, 2022 10:24:18 GMT -6
