Well the season maybe over but we have new Invest 99L in the central Atlantic.
A large area of low pressure located over the central subtropical Atlantic about 750 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for this system to acquire some subtropical characteristics while it drifts northeastward during the next few days. By Thursday night or Friday, however, the low is expected to move over cooler waters, ending its chances of becoming a subtropical cyclone. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 9 PM EST today or earlier.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
Last Edit: Dec 5, 2022 15:10:56 GMT -6 by hurricaner
Central Subtropical Atlantic: A large and complex area of low pressure located over the central subtropical Atlantic about 800 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for this system to acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics while it meanders generally northeastward during the next few days. By Friday, the low is expected to move over cooler waters and interact with a mid-latitude trough, limiting potential of tropical transition after that time. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 9 AM EST Tuesday, or earlier, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
Last Edit: Dec 5, 2022 22:22:00 GMT -6 by hurricaner
Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 845 AM EST Tue Dec 6 2022
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential for subtropical development this week over the central Atlantic.
Central Subtropical Atlantic: A large area of low pressure located over the central subtropical Atlantic about 800 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands continues to produce a broad area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for development and a subtropical or tropical storm could form in the next couple of days. By Thursday night or Friday, the low will move northeastward over cooler waters and interact with a mid-latitude trough, limiting subtropical or tropical development of the system. Additional information on this low, including warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 9 PM EST tonight, or earlier, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
Last Edit: Dec 6, 2022 9:53:35 GMT -6 by hurricaner
Post by crashtestdummy on Dec 6, 2022 13:39:05 GMT -6
Just when you thought you could turn your back on the tropics! Looks like sheer will quell much developement. Looking at the GEOS16 satellite images, though, it looks like the Azores are enjoying a bit of low pressure storminess. :-)
SKYSUMMIT: Oh sorry guys! I didn't eve see these new messages down here lol
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SKYSUMMIT: schexstorm I just replied to your post. I believe it's a glitch b/c you're not the first person I hear this from. You're not banned.
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schexstorm: opened up the site on my phone this am and it said I was banned from the forum? I never posted or anything. Do you know what could be the problem? thanks
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