[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO

SKYSUMMIT
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[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 15:20:52 GMT -6 loogaroo, RowBear, and 2 more like this

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Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 9, 2024 15:20:52 GMT -6

Sept 9, 2024 15:19:43 GMT -6 jdschlum-bedico/village of bo said:

Sept 9, 2024 15:18:21 GMT -6 shompy64 said:

If the official track verifies, southeast LA doesn’t look too bad. Seems to be zoning in on Lafayette and maybe a little west of there.

New Orleans is not out of the woods the icon shifted east we have to see what happens with the 18z euro and 18z gfs

And please do not forget about being in the right front quadrant....DO expect tornadoes

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MobileWeatherWatcher Category 5 Posts: 3,037	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 15:21:40 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by MobileWeatherWatcher on Sept 9, 2024 15:21:40 GMT -6 I think the forecasted landfall strength is about what Sally was when she came ashore at Gulf Shores in 2020. Main difference is that Francine isn’t expected to stalll

roz GCWX Supporter Posts: 1,192	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 15:22:23 GMT -6 harpman likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by roz on Sept 9, 2024 15:22:23 GMT -6 Sept 9, 2024 15:16:02 GMT -6 harpman said: I knew I wasn’t losing my mind when I said there was a west shift. You youngsters need to have faith in ol’ harp. Hee hee

Will - Ascension Parish
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[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 15:22:49 GMT -6 cajungal likes this

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Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Sept 9, 2024 15:22:49 GMT -6

Sept 9, 2024 15:18:17 GMT -6 cajungal said:

Sept 9, 2024 15:15:58 GMT -6 Will - Ascension Parish said:

Baton Rouge is still waiting for Ida's eye to pass over them.

They may not have the bullseye all the time. Such as Ida also took a jog east last second and missed Thibodaux by 15 miles. But we still had a lot of damage

I would be SHOCKED if the eye takes the path that the NHC shows. Wherever they forecast landfall, I wouldn't be surprised AT ALL if it actually ends up going 15-25 miles to the east of it. With the trajectory, I still think SELA is in danger.

Kory
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[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 15:23:28 GMT -6 via mobile cajungal, roz, and 2 more like this

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Post by Kory on Sept 9, 2024 15:23:28 GMT -6

Track error at this range is over 70 miles. Cone is not the limits of impacts and actually only represents a 67% chance of the center being located somewhere within. Ask the people in Fort Myers/Cape Coral/Naples who were on the edge or altogether never in the come for Ian.

Located in Metairie, Louisiana.

Zack Fradella
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[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 15:24:01 GMT -6 via mobile HarahanTim-Now in Gallatin, TN, SKYSUMMIT, and 14 more like this

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Post by Zack Fradella on Sept 9, 2024 15:24:01 GMT -6

I say it with every storm, expect the unexpected.

You can’t get caught up in the wobbles and wiggles. The threat of a Cat 3 possibly coming into LA from the SW is there. I’m not selling out on the track being perfect 48 hours out.

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harpman
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[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 15:25:51 GMT -6 via mobile SKYSUMMIT, NavyMom: WBR Parish, and 1 more like this

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Post by harpman on Sept 9, 2024 15:25:51 GMT -6

Sept 9, 2024 15:17:53 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

Sept 9, 2024 15:16:02 GMT -6 harpman said:

I knew I wasn’t losing my mind when I said there was a west shift. You youngsters need to have faith in ol’ harp. Hee hee

Actually harpman west of 2 previous tracks

Good eyes

I dont think a lot of these folks realize how long ol’ cool harp has been around here… 😎😎

prairievilledog
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[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 15:26:23 GMT -6

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Post by prairievilledog on Sept 9, 2024 15:26:23 GMT -6

Sept 9, 2024 15:24:01 GMT -6 Zack Fradella said:

I say it with every storm, expect the unexpected.

You can’t get caught up in the wobbles and wiggles. The threat of a Cat 3 possibly coming into LA from the SW is there. I’m not selling out on the track being perfect 48 hours out.

Ditto

cajungal
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[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 15:26:39 GMT -6 via mobile roorufus, redrover, and 5 more like this

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Post by cajungal on Sept 9, 2024 15:26:39 GMT -6

Sept 9, 2024 15:25:51 GMT -6 harpman said:

Sept 9, 2024 15:17:53 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

Actually harpman west of 2 previous tracks

Good eyes

I dont think a lot of these folks realize how long ol’ cool harp has been around here… 😎😎

Since wwl 4 forums

60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

T-man
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[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 15:27:40 GMT -6 geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex and Kory like this

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Post by T-man on Sept 9, 2024 15:27:40 GMT -6

Coastal areas east of projected landfall still have a substantial threat from storm surge, I expect the highway to be underwater down here on the bayou. I hope it moves through quickly.

whitecap
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[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 15:28:53 GMT -6

Quote

Post by whitecap on Sept 9, 2024 15:28:53 GMT -6

Sept 9, 2024 15:24:01 GMT -6 Zack Fradella said:

I say it with every storm, expect the unexpected.

You can’t get caught up in the wobbles and wiggles. The threat of a Cat 3 possibly coming into LA from the SW is there. I’m not selling out on the track being perfect 48 hours out.

What is the expected time line for landfall? Day? Night? Wednesday?

RowBear
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[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 15:32:00 GMT -6 Weatherman518 - 70047/NOLA, cajungal, and 3 more like this

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Post by RowBear on Sept 9, 2024 15:32:00 GMT -6

Sept 9, 2024 15:18:17 GMT -6 cajungal said:

Sept 9, 2024 15:15:58 GMT -6 Will - Ascension Parish said:

Baton Rouge is still waiting for Ida's eye to pass over them.

They may not have the bullseye all the time. Such as Ida also took a jog east last second and missed Thibodaux by 15 miles. But we still had a lot of damage

The River Parishes also took a huge hit because of that last minute jog.

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ju
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[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 15:32:40 GMT -6 RowBear and momoftwins like this

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Post by ju on Sept 9, 2024 15:32:40 GMT -6

Sept 9, 2024 15:24:01 GMT -6 Zack Fradella said:

I say it with every storm, expect the unexpected.

You can’t get caught up in the wobbles and wiggles. The threat of a Cat 3 possibly coming into LA from the SW is there. I’m not selling out on the track being perfect 48 hours out.

Thank you, Zack for your logic!

loogaroo
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[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 15:33:54 GMT -6 whitecap, burasla, and 2 more like this

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Post by loogaroo on Sept 9, 2024 15:33:54 GMT -6

Sept 9, 2024 15:24:01 GMT -6 Zack Fradella said:

I say it with every storm, expect the unexpected.

You can’t get caught up in the wobbles and wiggles. The threat of a Cat 3 possibly coming into LA from the SW is there. I’m not selling out on the track being perfect 48 hours out.

Exactly! Your boy Travers Mackel is tweeting a shift to West and giving people in NOLA a false sense of security is irresponsible. The race to get clicks is aggravating.

byujewel
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[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 15:37:40 GMT -6 ju likes this

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Post by byujewel on Sept 9, 2024 15:37:40 GMT -6

Sept 9, 2024 15:20:52 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

Sept 9, 2024 15:19:43 GMT -6 jdschlum-bedico/village of bo said:

New Orleans is not out of the woods the icon shifted east we have to see what happens with the 18z euro and 18z gfs

And please do not forget about being in the right front quadrant....DO expect tornadoes

This is what frightens me with it tracking as it presently is. Right now I will see almost all quadrants ... sigh. Maybe I will awaken tomorrow with this just disappearing.

POI here, I deal with Ida PTSD ..

[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 9, 2024 15:20:52 GMT -6

Post by MobileWeatherWatcher on Sept 9, 2024 15:21:40 GMT -6

Post by roz on Sept 9, 2024 15:22:23 GMT -6

Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Sept 9, 2024 15:22:49 GMT -6

Post by Kory on Sept 9, 2024 15:23:28 GMT -6

Post by Zack Fradella on Sept 9, 2024 15:24:01 GMT -6

Post by harpman on Sept 9, 2024 15:25:51 GMT -6

Post by prairievilledog on Sept 9, 2024 15:26:23 GMT -6

Post by cajungal on Sept 9, 2024 15:26:39 GMT -6

Post by T-man on Sept 9, 2024 15:27:40 GMT -6

Post by whitecap on Sept 9, 2024 15:28:53 GMT -6

Post by RowBear on Sept 9, 2024 15:32:00 GMT -6

Post by ju on Sept 9, 2024 15:32:40 GMT -6

Post by loogaroo on Sept 9, 2024 15:33:54 GMT -6

Post by byujewel on Sept 9, 2024 15:37:40 GMT -6

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