[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO

Remnants/Dissipated

cajungal
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[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 17:14:57 GMT -6 via mobile fleurdelisa-Folsom, LA likes this

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Post by cajungal on Sept 9, 2024 17:14:57 GMT -6

Sept 9, 2024 17:05:21 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

HMON indicates a Cat 3 by Wednesday morning

and remember just a couple days ago, they were saying tropical storm, maybe min hurricane.And everyone just kept saying oh just more rain. You see how quickly things can change

Last Edit: Sept 9, 2024 17:15:41 GMT -6 by cajungal

60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

jimmycarl
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Location: West Side Of The MS Coast

[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 17:16:20 GMT -6

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Post by jimmycarl on Sept 9, 2024 17:16:20 GMT -6

Sept 9, 2024 17:10:01 GMT -6 homeymandeville said:

Sept 9, 2024 17:04:19 GMT -6 jimmycarl said:

Wasn't this expected?

What was expected specifically?

Potential of strengthening to a Cat 3 at some point of approaching the coast?

Zack Fradella Administrator Chairman \| Founder Posts: 8,540 Staff Member	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 17:17:33 GMT -6 via mobile loogaroo, geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex, and 1 more like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Zack Fradella on Sept 9, 2024 17:17:33 GMT -6 New HAFS is into Grand Isle now but it is beginning to get sheared at the coast.
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jdschlum-bedico/village of bo
Category 1

Posts: 293

[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 17:17:34 GMT -6 via mobile

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Post by jdschlum-bedico/village of bo on Sept 9, 2024 17:17:34 GMT -6

Sept 9, 2024 17:16:20 GMT -6 jimmycarl said:

Sept 9, 2024 17:10:01 GMT -6 homeymandeville said:

What was expected specifically?

Potential of strengthening to a Cat 3 at some point of approaching the coast?

I think they thought it wouldn’t strengthen due to the shear but we all know hurricanes create there own environment

rebekahb-Metairie
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[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 17:18:18 GMT -6 via mobile cajungal likes this

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Post by rebekahb-Metairie on Sept 9, 2024 17:18:18 GMT -6

Sept 9, 2024 17:14:57 GMT -6 cajungal said:

Sept 9, 2024 17:05:21 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

HMON indicates a Cat 3 by Wednesday morning

and remember just a couple days ago, they were saying tropical storm, maybe min hurricane.And everyone just kept saying oh just more rain. You see how quickly things can change

That’s what my Mom said this morning. What are you talking about? It’s just going to rain. I said um no.

cajungal Category 5 Posts: 6,363 Member is Online	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 17:19:27 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by cajungal on Sept 9, 2024 17:19:27 GMT -6 Jim Cantore is now in Morgan City only 30 miles from my house
	60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

jdschlum-bedico/village of bo Category 1 Posts: 293	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 17:20:11 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by jdschlum-bedico/village of bo on Sept 9, 2024 17:20:11 GMT -6 Sept 9, 2024 17:19:27 GMT -6 cajungal said: Jim Cantore is now in Morgan City only 30 miles from my house Is he staying in Morgan city or going to Lafayette

cajungal
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[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 17:22:01 GMT -6 via mobile

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Post by cajungal on Sept 9, 2024 17:22:01 GMT -6

Sept 9, 2024 17:20:33 GMT -6 jdschlum-bedico/village of bo said:

Sept 9, 2024 17:19:27 GMT -6 cajungal said:

Jim Cantore is now in Morgan City only 30 miles from my house

Is he staying in Morgan city or going to Lafayette

It said Lafayette yesterday and now I just saw he is in Morgan City. Unable to post the pic because on my phone

60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

ndg GCWX Supporter Posts: 9,974	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 17:23:15 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by ndg on Sept 9, 2024 17:23:15 GMT -6 I think what we can take out of the latest 18z global models and hurricane models is that the early 0z tropical models will also shift to the east from its previous 18z runs.

jdschlum-bedico/village of bo Category 1 Posts: 293	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 17:24:22 GMT -6 Nola Mike likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by jdschlum-bedico/village of bo on Sept 9, 2024 17:24:22 GMT -6 Wonder is the NHC should have waited for more runs to shift the cone

SKYSUMMIT
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[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 17:26:29 GMT -6

Quote

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 9, 2024 17:26:29 GMT -6

Sept 9, 2024 17:23:15 GMT -6 ndg said:

I think what we can take out of the latest 18z global models and hurricane models is that the early 0z tropical models will also shift to the east from its previous 18z runs.

It should have a good bit of data from today's missions too I believe.

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ndg
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[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 17:28:14 GMT -6 geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex likes this

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Post by ndg on Sept 9, 2024 17:28:14 GMT -6

Sept 9, 2024 17:17:33 GMT -6 Zack Fradella said:

New HAFS is into Grand Isle now but it is beginning to get sheared at the coast.

Landfall is a good 8 hours later than HAFS-B, maybe the reason why is so far east.

roz GCWX Supporter Posts: 1,192	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 17:29:30 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by roz on Sept 9, 2024 17:29:30 GMT -6 Francine sure is ingesting a lot of dry air. Is that because of the close proximity to land?

ndg GCWX Supporter Posts: 9,974	[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 17:30:48 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by ndg on Sept 9, 2024 17:30:48 GMT -6 Then the 18z Euro comes in and throws a monkey wrench with the latest trend. It shows Francine tracking north much faster in time than previous runs and weaker.

ndg
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[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO Sept 9, 2024 17:32:17 GMT -6 Weatherman518 - 70047/NOLA, roz, and 1 more like this

Quote

Post by ndg on Sept 9, 2024 17:32:17 GMT -6

Sept 9, 2024 17:29:30 GMT -6 roz said:

Francine sure is ingesting a lot of dry air. Is that because of the close proximity to land?

Is D-minimum. Recon sampling the atmosphere around Francine show no dry air around its center of circulation.

Last Edit: Sept 9, 2024 17:32:53 GMT -6 by ndg

lencast: I am in Jacksonville, and trying to drive back to New Orleans. Does anyone here know if the I-10 is passable in Lake City and Tallahassee. Sept 27, 2024 5:19:03 GMT -6

tcane: This sure looks like it dies quickly. maybe falling apart before metro New Orleans? Just looking at the lat dozen posts and images here. Sept 10, 2024 11:26:27 GMT -6

jenniqtip: I donate every year. 😀ju sry as soon as the first area of interest pops up!! I rarely post though so the tag isn’t necessary. Just know I appreciate everything you do!! Jul 7, 2024 12:53:12 GMT -6

[H] HURRICANE FRANCINE - GULF OF MEXICO

Post by cajungal on Sept 9, 2024 17:14:57 GMT -6

Post by jimmycarl on Sept 9, 2024 17:16:20 GMT -6

Post by Zack Fradella on Sept 9, 2024 17:17:33 GMT -6

Post by jdschlum-bedico/village of bo on Sept 9, 2024 17:17:34 GMT -6

Post by rebekahb-Metairie on Sept 9, 2024 17:18:18 GMT -6

Post by cajungal on Sept 9, 2024 17:19:27 GMT -6

Post by jdschlum-bedico/village of bo on Sept 9, 2024 17:20:11 GMT -6

Post by cajungal on Sept 9, 2024 17:22:01 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Sept 9, 2024 17:23:15 GMT -6

Post by jdschlum-bedico/village of bo on Sept 9, 2024 17:24:22 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 9, 2024 17:26:29 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Sept 9, 2024 17:28:14 GMT -6

Post by roz on Sept 9, 2024 17:29:30 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Sept 9, 2024 17:30:48 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Sept 9, 2024 17:32:17 GMT -6

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