I know the weather service won't say this but I'm having a hard time getting the fact that we could be dealing with an Allison type event with it coming in and barely moving dumping 40 inches of rain in some areas like it did in Texas out of my head. So many variables to consider with a slow mover, extended power outages, loss of drinking water for a prolonged time, extra stress on trees and buildings.
Does anyone know what the storm surge for the lake is forecast to be? I live on the lake right by the rigolets bridge and am trying to decide when to leave. Thanks so much for all your information.
Does anyone know what the storm surge for the lake is forecast to be? I live on the lake right by the rigolets bridge and am trying to decide when to leave. Thanks so much for all your information.
I believe they estimate 8 - 10' for that area.
REALTOR - Team Geaux Realty, LLC (Let me be your Realtor!) Search homes on my website --> www.scottguidry.com/ NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23
Does anyone know what the storm surge for the lake is forecast to be? I live on the lake right by the rigolets bridge and am trying to decide when to leave. Thanks so much for all your information.
You on the island? After seeing what Katrina did out there I sure wouldn't stay for anything. That being said my father and mother in law looking like they're riding it out in Venetian Isles.
Anyone outside of the protection levees riding this out is rolling the dice IMO. Once this starts you're stuck out there with no one to help you if you need it.
Post by marshwarden on Aug 27, 2012 10:45:45 GMT -6
If the NOLA metro area gets a 20" rainfall, then that is a rough equivalent of the rain we got during the infamous "May 8th" Flood. It would likely follow that if your home flooded back then, you should probably raise your furniture, etc. to avoid damage. I'm thinking that if you did not flood then, you'll likely stay dry with this impending event forecast. Comments?
SKYSUMMIT
Administrator President | Director of Operations
Depends which model you believe...36 hours is possible.
REALTOR - Team Geaux Realty, LLC (Let me be your Realtor!) Search homes on my website --> www.scottguidry.com/ NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23
Does anyone else feel that Channel 4 is starting to downplay the storm...well Eric anyway? I understand that they are trying to not cause panic but I find he's kind of like "whew" that was close when in all actuality it's not over! There's still time for intensification.
Does anyone else feel that Channel 4 is starting to downplay the storm...well Eric anyway? I understand that they are trying to not cause panic but I find he's kind of like "whew" that was close when in all actuality it's not over! There's still time for intensification.
The problem with those newscasts is that New Orleans has not truly experienced sustained hurricane conditions since Betsy. Yes, Gustav had some nice gusts and Katrina had gusts in the 90's I believe....but gusts.
Lots of people will be surprised just how strong sustained winds in the 90's with gusts to 115mph are.
REALTOR - Team Geaux Realty, LLC (Let me be your Realtor!) Search homes on my website --> www.scottguidry.com/ NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23
SKYSUMMIT
Administrator President | Director of Operations
Also on this track, everyone in the path should experience worse conditions than with Katrina. Just not the surge.
How wide is the eyewall? Do you think it will pass over NOLA directly?
The eyewall has not yet developed, but yes, on this track...if you follow the track perfectly, NOLA will experience the eastern eyewall.
REALTOR - Team Geaux Realty, LLC (Let me be your Realtor!) Search homes on my website --> www.scottguidry.com/ NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23
Shoutbox
frankp: Hey neighbor can u please send me the local Alabama weather forum that you follow, much appreciated… frank
Jan 21, 2023 13:57:45 GMT -6
frankp: Hey neighbor, can u send the the link of the Alabama weather forum you visit, much appreciated
Jan 21, 2023 13:55:49 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: I'm hoping we're shoveling snow for Christmas
Nov 16, 2022 14:58:12 GMT -6
stormydds: Thanks for your reply... as usual
Nov 5, 2022 11:37:29 GMT -6
Zack Fradella: Yea, Lezak had a paper peer reviewed and published a year or so ago.
Nov 5, 2022 9:03:24 GMT -6
stormydds: Thanks for your response. I felt that is the case. that's too bad. Has there been any peer reviewed papers on the LRC hypothesis?
Nov 4, 2022 14:01:51 GMT -6
Zack Fradella: Not sure, the LRC is something that takes a lot of work to follow and keep up with. It's not as easy as looking at the parameters and making a forecast. This deters many from even giving it a chance. Also, there is some doubt from the weather world.
Nov 4, 2022 3:38:49 GMT -6
stormydds: Zack, a friend had a meeting in Lafayette which Rob Perillo spoke.He asked him why the LRC is not used to forecast hurricanes by NOAA.His answer was that Lezak won't share the info.I saw the podcast you and David made with Gary.He seemed open.What gives?
Nov 3, 2022 14:39:19 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: Man I really hope that rain moves quickly on Saturday. I'm so pumped for 6 hours of awesome college football!
Nov 3, 2022 7:15:01 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Been unblocked. Dylan says that the station took major damage, so no idea when they'll even be able to stream again, or be on the air. Hopefully, they will at least let their employees deal with their own property issues!
Oct 2, 2022 18:17:35 GMT -6
gullywasher: Seriously, must we deal with Bruce Katz at noon, 4, 5 AND 9. ?
Sept 30, 2022 20:03:25 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: According to another met on twitter, the kitten was rescued by a producer who's adopting it. Of course that hasn't stopped the angry mob, with torches and pitchforks, who are insisting that it's a lie.
Sept 29, 2022 17:48:05 GMT -6
nolachic: Pink - he's probably blocking people he doesn't personally know to keep his cell charged and to get his head straight, and I'm sure he is beyond exhausted.
Sept 29, 2022 9:23:35 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: I sent him a message yesterday as well, but he hasn't seen it.
Sept 29, 2022 5:46:06 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Oh hell, I meant for that to be a message!
Sept 28, 2022 19:38:19 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Dylan is taking a beating on Twitter. I just tried to send him a message of support, since we've been following each other for years, and HE BLOCKED ME!!!!!! Somebody who can get to him needs to do so, pronto!!! I'm very worried about him.
Sept 28, 2022 19:37:27 GMT -6
HarahanTim - Now in Covington!: Hmmm, I will say. that somewhere back there, we have stored the "Tums" icon, for those that give a prediction based on their "gut"!
Sept 24, 2022 11:38:12 GMT -6
T-man: Gully, no one here cares about your tender friggin' heart, ya big snoflake!!! :horns: :horns: :horns: :tongue:
Sept 24, 2022 10:24:18 GMT -6
