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cycloneye
Category 5

Posts: 2,507

Puerto Rico Weather Feb 21, 2015 4:17:34 GMT -6

Quote

Post by cycloneye on Feb 21, 2015 4:17:34 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
552 AM AST SAT FEB 21 2015

.SYNOPSIS...A MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO ESTABLISH
ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY...AND HOLD THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
TRADE WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN TODAY INTO SUNDAY MORNING AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC.

&&

.DISCUSSION...VARIABLY CLOUDY SKIES PREVAILED ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS OVERNIGHT WITH FREQUENT PASSING SHOWERS OBSERVED OVER
THE USVI AND E PR. WINDS WERE FROM THE EAST AT 10 MPH OR LESS
WITH COASTAL TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

A LOW LEVEL DISTURBANCE/INDUCED SURFACE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND WILL
INTERACT WITH LOCAL EFFECT TO PRODUCE CLOUDINESS AND A FEW SHOWERS
WITH THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS. UNDER
THE PREVAILING EASTERLY WIND FLOW...FREQUENT PASSING SHOWERS
STILL EXPECTED ACROSS THE USVI AND THE EASTERN THIRD OF PUERTO
RICO THIS MORNING AND EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...FOLLOWED BY
SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FOCUSED ACROSS W AND SW PR.

WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE LATER TODAY UNDER
RIDGE ALOFT/EROSION OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND STRENGTHENING
TRADES. HOWEVER TRADE WIND SHOWERS ACROSS WINDWARD AREAS AND
LIMITED CONVECTION ACROSS W PR CANT BE RULED OUT SUN-TUE. AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY
NIGHT...INCREASING ONCE AGAIN THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THRU WEDNESDAY. FAIR
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE END
OF NEXT WEEK AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGE HOLDS ACROSS THE AREA WITH A
SHARP DECREASE IN AVAILABLE MOISTURE.

&&

.AVIATION...VCSH ACROSS MOST OF THE LOCAL TERMINALS IN THE MORNING
HOURS WITH TEMPO MVFR CONDS LIKELY FOR TIST/TISX/TJSJ AND POSSIBLY
TJBQ AS THE SHOWERS BRIEFLY AFFECT THE TERMINALS. AFTER 21/18Z MTN
OBSCURATIONS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE INTERIOR/WESTERN PR AND SOME
SHRA WITH ISOLD TSRA COULD DEVELOP IN/AROUND TJMZ. WINDS WILL BE
FROM THE EAST WITH SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS AT AROUND 15 KTS TODAY...
DECREASING IN SPEED AFTER 22/00Z.

&&

.MARINE...LONG PERIOD NORTHWEST SWELLS WILL ARRIVE AND SPREAD
ACROSS THE ATLANTIC WATERS TODAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN LARGE
BREAKING WAVE ACTION AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE NORTH
FACING COASTS OF PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH AT LEAST LATE
TONIGHT. NORTHWEST SWELLS OF 7 FEET WITH PERIOD OF 12 TO 14
SECONDS WILL PRODUCE LARGE BREAKING WAVES BETWEEN 10 TO 13 FEET.
THEREFORE HIGH SURF ADV IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM AST THIS AFTERNOON
THRU MIDNIGHT AST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 86 75 86 75 / 70 30 30 40
STT 84 75 85 76 / 50 30 30 40

cycloneye
Category 5

Posts: 2,507

Puerto Rico Weather Feb 22, 2015 3:51:37 GMT -6

Quote

Post by cycloneye on Feb 22, 2015 3:51:37 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
531 AM AST SUN FEB 22 2015

.SYNOPSIS...MID-LEVEL RIDGE WILL HOLD THROUGH MONDAY FOLLOWED
BY AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA ON TUESDAY.
A MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL THEN BUILD WEDNESDAY AND HOLD
THROUGH AT LEAST THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES PREVAILED ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS OVERNIGHT...WITH ISOLATED TO LOCALLY SCATTERED PASSING
SHOWERS OBSERVED OVER THE EAST AND NORTH COASTAL AREAS OF PR
AS WELL AS OVER THE USVI. WINDS WERE FROM THE EAST AT 10 MPH
OR LESS WITH COASTAL TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 70S.

A GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL ACROSS
THE LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY AND MONDAY UNDER RIDGE PATTERN ALOFT.
HOWEVER BRISK WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT PATCHES OF LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE FROM TIME TO TIME. THIS WILL RESULT IN PASSING
SHOWERS ACROSS WINDWARD AREAS. THIS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL ALSO
COMBINE WITH DIURNAL HEATING AND LOCAL EFFECTS TO PRODUCE SOME
SHOWERS OVER AND WEST OF THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL IN THE AFTERNOON
HOURS BOTH DAYS. UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA TUESDAY...INCREASING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY WEDNESDAY. A FAIR
AND STABLE WEATHER PATTERN WILL PREVAIL LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS A MID TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS/HOLDS
ACROSS THE AREA WITH NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITABLE WATER.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. PASSING SHRA BRIEFLY AFFECTING MOST OF THE LOCAL TERMINALS
EARLY THIS MORNING. DURING THE AFTERNOON HRS...DEVELOPING SHRA ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND WESTERN PR...CAUSING MTN TOP
OBSCURATIONS AND MVFR CIGS ACROSS TJMZ...THE VICINITY OF TJPS/TJBQ
AND TJSJ CAN EXPECT SHRA. EASTERLY WINDS IN THE MORNING AT AROUND
10 KNOTS...INCREASING TO AROUND 15 KTS AND GUSTY AFTER 22/14Z.
SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS ARE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY FOR TJPS AND TJMZ.

&&

.MARINE...A MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WIND FLOW AND SUBSIDING SWELL
ACTION WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS TODAY AND MONDAY. SEAS BEGIN
TO IMPROVE MON AFTERNOON THROUGH WED AS WINDS DIMINISH. SEAS
BUILD AGAIN LATE THIS WEEK AS WINDS STRENGTHEN ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 85 75 85 75 / 30 40 30 40
STT 84 76 84 75 / 30 40 40 40

cycloneye
Category 5

Posts: 2,507

Puerto Rico Weather Feb 23, 2015 4:13:33 GMT -6

Quote

Post by cycloneye on Feb 23, 2015 4:13:33 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
542 AM AST MON FEB 23 2015

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IN THE NORTH AND CENTRAL
ATLANTIC WILL DRIFT EASTWARD AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC...WHERE IT IS EXPECTED TO STALL. LONG WAVE UPPER
TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE THE EASTERN US THROUGH
MIDWEEK...CAUSING A WESTERLY FLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS OVER THE
LOCAL AREA. UPPER RIDGE TO DEVELOP OVER THE AREA FOR THE LATTER
PART OF THE WORKWEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...TYPICAL TRADE WIND SHOWERS WERE OBSERVED OVERNIGHT
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA WITH VERY LITTLE TO NO IMPACT OVER LAND
AREAS AS RELATIVELY DRIER AIR MOVED IN. THIS HOWEVER WILL BE SHORT
LIVED AS A PATCH OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL MOVE IN THIS
AFTERNOON...CAUSING MORE SCATTERED PASSING SHOWERS OVER THE LOCAL
ISLANDS WITH SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY SOME THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
ACROSS THE CENTRAL INTERIOR INTO WESTERN PR IN THE AFTERNOON. THIS
WILL BE DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF MOISTURE ADVECTION AT THE TIME
OF MAX HEATING ALONG WITH ANY SEA BREEZE CONVERGENCE AND OROGRAPHIC
LIFTING.

FOR TUESDAY A SIMILAR PATTERN IS EXPECTED WITH SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST FOR
THE AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN PUERTO RICO.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK LOOK A BIT LESS ACTIVE WITH
ONLY TRADE WIND SHOWERS WITH PATCHES OF MOISTURE DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS AND SOME CONVECTION IN THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF PR
IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS BUT WITH LESS CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AS
THE RIDGE DEVELOPS ALOFT.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDS EXPECTED THRU THE FORECAST PERIOD AT
ALL TAF SITES. HOWEVER BRIEF SHRA EMBEDDED IN THE TRADES CANT BE
RULED OUT AT KPK/NCM/IST/ISX AND JSJ TODAY...WITH BRIEF MVFR CONDS
POSSIBLE. AFT 23/17Z...SHRA AND TSRA EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER AND
WEST OF THE CORDILLERA AFFECTING JMZ AND JBQ. EASTERLY WINDS WILL
CONTINUE AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS WITH SOME SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS.

&&

.MARINE...LATEST BUOY OBSERVATIONS SHOW SWELL HEIGHT AND PERIOD
AND WINDS ARE DIMINISHING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY IMPROVE TODAY INTO MIDWEEK. ON THURSDAY...MODEL GUIDANCE
IS SUGGESTING THAT SEAS AND WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR TODAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 85 74 86 74 / 30 30 30 30
STT 85 74 85 75 / 30 30 30 30

cycloneye
Category 5

Posts: 2,507

Puerto Rico Weather Feb 24, 2015 4:22:19 GMT -6

Quote

Post by cycloneye on Feb 24, 2015 4:22:19 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
613 AM AST TUE FEB 24 2015

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BY WEDNESDAY AS A
TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. THEN...AN UPPER RIDGE WILL
BUILD AGAIN THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS
THE EAST ATLANTIC WILL MAINTAIN A MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WIND
FLOW ACROSS THE ISLANDS. TYPICAL TRADE WIND PATTERN WILL DOMINATE
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH PASSING SHOWERS DURING THE NIGHT
TIME AND EARLY MORNING HOURS...AFTERNOON CONVECTION POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF PR.

&&

.DISCUSSION...PASSING SHOWERS WERE OBSERVED ONCE AGAIN DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATIONS OVER LAND AREAS.
THIS PATTERN OF TRADE WIND SHOWERS IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS IS
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS PATCHES OF MOISTURE PASS THROUGH
THE LOCAL AREA FROM TIME TO TIME. AFTERNOON CONVECTION IS EXPECTED
AS THE AVAILABLE MOISTURE COMBINES WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND THE
LOCAL EFFECTS. FOR TODAY THE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF PR.

THE SAME STORY COULD BE SAID FOR WEDNESDAY AS A PATCH OF MOISTURE
IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
IN ADDITION THE UPPER RIDGE IS WEAKENED AS A BROAD UPPER TROUGH
PASSES TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA...IT IS NOT UNTIL THURSDAY THAN
ANOTHER UPPER RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP...CAUSING SUBSIDENCE
AND DIMINISHING THE CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER PUERTO RICO.
MOST OF THE AVAILABLE MOISTURE SHOULD REMAIN IN THE LOWER
LEVELS...WHICH COULD INDICATE THAT THE SHOWERS SHOULD BE SHALLOW
FOR THE MOST PART WITH MAYBE A SHORT LIVED THUNDERSTORM.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDS EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES THRU THE FORECAST
PERIOD. AFT 24/17Z...SHRA AND TSRA EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER AND WEST
OF THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL...THIS MAY RESULT IN MVFR CONDS IN AND
AROUND JMZ AND JBQ. EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS
WITH SOME SEA BREEZE VARIATIONS.

&&

.MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WAS CANCELLED FOR THE NEAR SHORE
ATLANTIC WATERS TO THE NORTH OF PR AS THE NEAR SHORE BUOYS INDICATED
THAT SEAS WERE UNDER 5 FEET AND WINDS WERE LIGHT. THE REST OF THE
AREAS ARE STILL UNDER THE ADVISORY...THE WATERS SURROUNDING THE
USVI IS UNDER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON TODAY WHILE THE ATLANTIC
OFFSHORE WATERS REMAIN UNDER ADVISORY UNTIL 6PM AST. WINDS ARE
BECOMING LIGHTER WITH THE LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWING WINDS UP
TO 18 KNOTS DURING THE DAY AND THE LOCAL BUOYS CURRENTLY REPORTING
LIGHT WINDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 86 72 87 74 / 20 20 20 30
STT 85 74 85 74 / 20 20 20 30

cycloneye
Category 5

Posts: 2,507

Puerto Rico Weather Feb 25, 2015 4:25:33 GMT -6

Quote

Post by cycloneye on Feb 25, 2015 4:25:33 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
348 AM AST WED FEB 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK LEADING TO STRENGTHENING TRADE WINDS AND DRYING CONDITIONS.
RIDGE WEAKENS EARLY NEXT WEEK AS TROUGH ESTABLISHES OVER THE ERN
CARIBBEAN LEADING TO SOME MOISTURE RECOVERY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...ONE LAST DAY OF `WET CONDITIONS` BEFORE RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE TAKES FIRM CONTROL OF THE REGION LEADING TO WINDY
CONDITIONS AND LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE/DRYING. AN AREA OF HIGHER
TPW APPROACHING THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AT THIS TIME WILL ADVECT WWD
TODAY LEADING TO A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY AS COMPARED
TO YESTERDAY. OTHERWISE...RIDGE EXPECTED TO TAKE FULL CONTROL OF
THE REGION LEADING TO LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE AND SIGNIFICANT
DRYING ESPECIALLY THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. LOCAL PRESSURE GRADIENT
WILL ALSO BE TIGHTENING WITH WINDS STRENGTHENING TO 20-KT OVER
COASTAL AREAS AND OVER WATER INTO SUN MORNING.

RIDGE WEAKENS SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT AS TROUGH PATTERN
BROADENS AND AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE WEST-CNTRL ATLC INTO THE
SOUTHEAST CARIBBEAN PROMOTING MOISTURE RECOVERY AND MORE UNSTABLE
CONDITIONS WITH SCT SHOWERS MON AND TUE. TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS SOUTH
AND EAST OF THE AREA LATE TUE WITH UPPER LEVEL CONVERGENCE
ESTABLISHING LEADING TO DRYING CONDITIONS.

&&

.AVIATION...ISOLD SHRA XCP SCT OVR NW PR IN AFT...YET VFR EVEN IN
MOST SHRA THRU THU. FEW OBSCD MTNS THIS AFT. WIND BLO FL120 E-ESE
12-20 KT INCR E 14-28 KT LATE TONITE-THU.

&&

.MARINE...ONE LAST DAY OF GOOD BOATING CONDITIONS TODAY BEFORE
WINDS STRENGTHEN THU THROUGH THE WEEKEND LEADING TO WINDY
CONDITIONS AND STEEP WAVES OF 6-8 FT. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED THU THROUGH SUN AND LIKELY BEYOND THAT AS
WINDS DO NOT APPEAR WILL SLOW DOWN.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...VERY ACTIVE FIRE WX PATTERN EXPECTED TO ESTABLISH
THURSDAY AND HOLD THROUGH SUN UNDER STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRES SFC
AND ALOFT LEADING TO WINDY CONDITIONS AND LARGE SCALE SUBSIDENCE
AND SIGNIFICANT DRYING. MAIN LIMITING FACTOR COULD BE FUEL MOISTURE
AS RAINFALL HAS BEEN ABOVE NORMAL MOST OF THE MONTH OF FEB IN MOST
PLACES. GREATEST RAINFALL DEFICITS HAVE BEEN IN ST. CROIX...SOUTHWEST...
SOUTHEAST...AND NCNTRL PR BASED ON AHPS AND LATEST DROUGHT MONITOR.
HOWEVER...RAINFALL DEFICITS THIS TIME AROUND ARE SIGNIFICANT LOWER
WHEN COMPARED TO THE WINTER OF 2013 AND 2014. WILL LIKELY ISSUE A
FIRE WX WATCH FOR ST. CROIX WHERE 30-DAY RAINFALL TOTALS HAVE BEEN
DISMAL AND MODIS IMAGERY SHOWS VERY DRY VEGETATION AND SUSCEPTIBLE
TO BURNING. WILL ALSO COORDINATE WITH PR FIRE CORPS AND FISH AND
WILDLIFE SERVICE ON FUEL CONDITIONS TO SEE WHETHER FIRE WX WATCHES
MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 86 74 88 74 / 20 10 10 10
STT 84 77 84 77 / 10 10 10 10

cycloneye
Category 5

Posts: 2,507

Puerto Rico Weather Feb 26, 2015 4:35:34 GMT -6

Quote

Post by cycloneye on Feb 26, 2015 4:35:34 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
358 AM AST THU FEB 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK LEADING TO WINDY CONDITIONS AND SIGNIFICANT DRYING.
MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE AREA MON NIGHT WITH RIDGE
BUILDING AGAIN MID NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...RIDGE OF HIGH PRES SFC AND ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO
BUILD/STRENGTHEN INTO SUN MORNING WITH LOCAL PRES GRADIENT
TIGHTENING LEADING TO WINDY/VERY WINDY CONDITIONS AND SUBSIDENCE
INVERSION STRENGTHENING LEADING TO SIGNIFICANT DRYING OVER THE
NEXT SVRL DAYS WITH CRITICAL FIRE WX CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON THE
SOUTH COAST AND ST. CROIX WHERE FUELS SUFFICIENTLY DRY TO BURN.

RIDGE COLLAPSES QUICKLY SUN NIGHT AND MON AS TROUGH AMPLIFIES
ACROSS THE ATLC INTO THE SOUTHEAST CARIBBEAN WITH SUBSIDENCE
INVERSION WEAKENING PROMOTING MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND ENHANCING
MID-LEVEL INSTABILITY. SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE T-STORMS EXPECTED MON-
MON EVENING. TROUGH AXIS SHIFTS SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA TUE
WITH UPPER LEVEL CONVERGENCE ESTABLISHING AND LEADING TO GRADUAL
DRYING WITH CRITICAL FIRE WX CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AGAIN WED-FRI
ASSUMING NOT ENOUGH RAIN FALLS ON THE SOUTH COAST ON MON. WINDY
PATTERN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE FOREESABLE FUTURE.

&&

.AVIATION...ISOLD SHRA WL NOT LWR CONDS BLW VFR THU-SAT. WIND BLW
FL150 E 18-32 KT THRU SAT.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH TONIGHT AND REMAIN STRONG
AOA 20-KT THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS GENERATING ROUGH SEAS 6-8 FT.
THERE IS A VERY STRONG LIKELIHOOD THAT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
CONDITIONS WILL BE NEEDED FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS ALONG WITH A HIGH
RISK OF RIP CURRENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...ALTHOUGH FUELS ARE NOT AS DRY AS COMPARED TO THE
WINTER OF 2013 AND 2014...THEY ARE SUFFICIENTLY DRY TO BURN. AS
OPPOSED TO THE LAST TWO YEARS WHEN MOST OF THE FUELS WERE ALREADY
BURNED BY THIS TIME...FIRE ACTIVITY SO FAR IN 2015 HAS BEEN RECORD
LOW MEANING THERE IS PLENTY OF FRESH FUEL AVAILABLE TO BURN. VERY
WINDY CONDITIONS WILL SPEED UP THE DRYING OF FUELS OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. STRENGTHENING RIDGE AND ASSOCIATED SUBSIDENCE
INVERSION WILL LEAD TO SHARP AND SIGNIFICANT DRYING TODAY AND FRI.
RED FLAG CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY AND FRI AND ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN
SAT AND LIKELY ON SUN. CRITICAL FIRE WX PATTERN HAS ESTABLISHED
AND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK AS
RIDGE RE-ESTABLISHES AGAIN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 74 87 74 / 0 10 20 20
STT 86 77 85 77 / 0 10 20 20

cycloneye
Category 5

Posts: 2,507

Puerto Rico Weather Feb 27, 2015 4:05:08 GMT -6

Quote

Post by cycloneye on Feb 27, 2015 4:05:08 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
401 AM AST FRI FEB 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH SAT THEN
COLLAPSE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A SRN STREAM TROUGH AMPLIFIES ACROSS
THE ERN CARIBBEAN. RIDGE RE-ESTABLISHES MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...CLOUD CLUSTERS AND LIGHT SHOWERS EARLY THIS MORNING
WILL MOVE AWAY BY 12Z LEADING TO A CLEAR AND DRY DAY. CONTINUED
WINDY AND DRY THROUGH SUNDAY UNDER RIDGE OF HIGH PRES BUT CLOUD
CLUSTERS AND LIGHT SHOWERS POSSIBLE MAINLY AT NIGHT.

A SRN STREAM TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
MON-MON NIGHT WITH RIDGE AND ASSOCIATED SUBSIDENCE INVERSION
ERODING QUICKLY ON MON PROMOTING MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND INSTABILITY
WITH SHOWERS AND T-STORMS MON-MON EVENING. TROF AXIS SHIFTS SOUTH
AND EAST LATE MON NIGHT AND TUE WITH UPPER LEVEL CONVERGENCE
ESTABLISHING LEADING TO DRYING. RIDGE RE-ESTABLISHES MID TO LATTER
PART OF NEXT WEEK WITH A RETURN TO WINDY AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS
AND LIKELY RED FLAG CONDITIONS.

&&

.AVIATION...SCT SHRA BCMG ISOLD BY SUNRISE AND CONT AT TIMES THRU
SAT. MOST SHRA WL NOT LWR CONDS FM VFR BUT THOSE FEW COULD CAUSE BRF
SFC WIND GUSTS TO 30 KT. WIND BLW FL150 E 13-28 KT TDY CONT AT LEAST
THRU SAT.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS AOA 20-KT AND SEAS 6-8 FT THROUGH THE ENTIRE 5-DAY
FCST PERIOD AND LIKELY THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...24-HR TRENDS SHOW DEWPOINTS RUNNING 2-4F DEGS
LOWER THAN AT THIS TIME YESTERDAY AND RH`S AS MUCH AS 10 PERCENT LOWER.
DRY AIR ADVECTION EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY WITH ONLY A
SLIGHT DECREASE IN WIND SPEEDS. RED FLAG WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED
FOR SOUTH COAST AND ST. CROIX. NOT AS DRY SAT SO NO FIRE WX
WATCHES ATTM. WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST SUN WHICH RESULTS IN
WARMING AND DRYING ON THE SOUTH COAST DUE TO DOWNSLOPE BUT ALSO
IN GREATER FRICTION WITH A SIG REDUCTION IN WIND SPEEDS ON THE
SOUTH COAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 86 75 85 75 / 20 20 20 20
STT 85 75 85 74 / 20 20 20 20

cycloneye
Category 5

Posts: 2,507

Puerto Rico Weather Feb 28, 2015 4:47:16 GMT -6

Quote

Post by cycloneye on Feb 28, 2015 4:47:16 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
402 AM AST SAT FEB 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...RIDGE OF HIGH PRES WILL HOLD THROUGH TODAY THEN WEAKEN
RAPIDLY SUN THROUGH TUE AS TROUGH AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE ERN CARIB.
RIDGE RE-ESTABLISHES LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...OTHER THAN OCCASIONAL CLOUD CLUSTERS AND VERY LIGHT
SHOWERS...WX PATTERN IS ONE OF BREEZY/WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS
RIGHT THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK. EVEN AS RIDGE WEAKENS MON-
TUE...MODELS ARE NOW BACKING OFF ON MOISTURE RECOVERY AND
DESTABILIZATION KEEPING PWAT VALUES AOB AN INCH. DRYING
INTENSIFIES LATTER PART OF NEXT WEEK UNDER BUILDING UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE AND WINDS STRENGTHEN FURTHER AOA 20-KT NEXT THU WITH RED
FLAG CONDITIONS LIKELY.

&&

.AVIATION...FAST MVG BUT GENERALLY LGT SHRA WL CONT AT TIMES THRU
WEEKEND...A FEW WI POTENTIAL TO PUSH STRONG WIND GUSTS TO SFC. XPCT
VFR EVEN IN MOST SHRA BUT EACH CARRIES SLIM CHC OF A GUST TO 30 KT
SPCLLY TODAY. WIND BLW FL150 E 18-30 KT BCMG ENE TONITE-SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS DIMINISH SOMEWHAT SUN-MON NIGHT BUT REMAINS BREEZY.
WINDS STRENGTHEN AGAIN MID NEXT WEEK AS A NEW AREA OF HIGH PRES
BUILDS ACROSS THE CNTRL ATLC. SEAS 6-8 FT TODAY AND TONIGHT DIMINISHING
5-7 FT SUN-TUE THEN BUILDING AGAIN 6-8 FT WED-THU OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DESPITE UPPER RIDGE OVERHEAD TODAY...MODELS SHOW
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH A SIG UPWARD TREND ON 0-2KM RH VALUES AS
COMPARED TO YESTERDAY BUT IT WILL STILL LIKELY REMAIN DRY. PRESSURE
GRADIENT SLACKENS SOMEWHAT SUN-TUE AND WINDS SHIFT TO THE ENE OR
NE RESULTING IN GREATER FRICTION AND THUS REDUCED WINDS SPEEDS ON
THE SOUTH COAST MAKING RED FLAG CONDITIONS LESS LIKELY. ADDED
CLOUD COVER WILL ALSO MITIGATE THE FIRE DANGER. UPPER LEVEL
CONVERGENCE ESTABLISHES MID NEXT WEEK WITH DRYING INTENSIFYING AND
PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENING AND WINDS STRENGTHENING WITH RED FLAG
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AGAIN NEXT WED-THU.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 85 75 84 75 / 20 20 20 20
STT 85 74 85 74 / 20 20 20 20

cycloneye
Category 5

Posts: 2,507

Puerto Rico Weather Mar 1, 2015 8:10:05 GMT -6

Quote

Post by cycloneye on Mar 1, 2015 8:10:05 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
540 AM AST SUN MAR 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...RIDGE OF HIGH PRES WILL ERODE QUICKLY TODAY THRU MON
AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AMPLIFIES ACROSS THE CNTRL ATLC INTO THE
SOUTHEAST CARIB. RIDGE RE-ESTABLISHES WED THRU THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SHALLOW CLOUD CLUSTERS AND LIGHT SHOWERS STILL
POSSIBLE TODAY BENEATH SUBSIDENCE INVERSION BUT NOT AS WIDESPREAD
OR AS FREQ AS YESTERDAY. MOISTURE ADVECTION BEGINS TONIGHT AND
CONTINUES THROUGH MONDAY AS HEIGHTS FALL IN RESPONSE TO DEEPENING
TROF. SHOWERS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE SCATTERED AND HEAVIER
TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY MON WITH T-STORMS POSSIBLE MON AFTERNOON AS
SUBSIDENCE INVERSION ERODES AND LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN.

TROF AXIS CROSSES THE AREA AROUND 06Z TUE WITH UPPER LEVEL
CONVERGENCE ESTABLISHING QUICKLY LEADING TO SHARP DRYING. THE
DRYING TREND INTENSIFIES THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS. WINDS ALSO STRENGTHEN AGAIN TUE AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY THU AS PRES GRADIENT TIGHTENS IN RESPONSE TO A NEW AREA OF
HIGH PRES BUILDING ACROSS THE WRN ATLC. THIS WILL RESULT IN A
HEIGHTENED PERIOD OF FIRE DANGER THE REST OF THE WEEK WITH RED
FLAG CONDITIONS LIKELY WED AND THU AS SFC WINDS STRENGTHEN FURTHER
AND REMAIN FROM THE ENE WHICH WOULD BE DOWNSLOPE WINDS IN THE
SOUTH COAST AND ENHANCE THE WARMING AND DRYING IN THAT AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR XCP FEW MVFR CIGS IN ISOLD/SCT -SHRA THRU MON. WIND
ENE 18-30 KT THRU EARLY MON BLW FL120 BCMG NE ABV TO FL200. WIND
WKNG 14-22 KT LATE MON.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS NEAR 20KT TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH SEAS 5-7 FT. WINDS
SLOW DOWN MON AND MON NIGHT WITH SEAS LIKELY TO DROP BELOW 7 FT.
WINDS STRENGTHEN AGAIN TUE AFTERNOON INTO THU MORNING WITH SEAS
BUILDING 6-8 FT.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...ENE WINDS TODAY SHOULD RESULT IN GREATER FRICTION
AND REDUCED WIND SPEEDS ON THE SOUTH COAST TODAY. WINDS DIMINISH
FURTHER ON MON AND MOISTURE DEEPENS. A SIGNIFICANT DRYING TREND
EXPECTED TO BEGIN TUE AND INTENSIFY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK AS
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS. WINDS ALSO STRENGTHEN TUE AFTERNOON INTO
THU MORNING WITH RED FLAG CONDITIONS LIKELY WED AND THU AS ENE
DOWNSLOPE WINDS ENHANCE WARMING AND DRYING ON THE SOUTH COAST.
OVERALL...THE ENTIRE WEEK EXCEPT FOR TODAY AND MON WILL HAVE
ELEVATED FIRE WX CONDITIONS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 84 75 85 75 / 30 30 30 10
STT 85 74 85 74 / 30 30 30 10

cycloneye
Category 5

Posts: 2,507

Puerto Rico Weather Mar 2, 2015 4:24:29 GMT -6

Quote

Post by cycloneye on Mar 2, 2015 4:24:29 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
536 AM AST MON MAR 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...MID TO UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS TO ERODE
SOMEWHAT TODAY AND TUESDAY AS A SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD
ACROSS THE ATLANTIC AND JUST NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. RIDGE ALOFT
IS TO REESTABLISH ITSELF AND BUILD ACROSS THE REGION ONCE AGAIN BY
WEDNESDAY.THIS IN TURN WILL REINFORCE THE TRADE WIND CAP INVERSION...
AND THEREFORE MAINTAIN MODERATE TO FAIRLY STRONG EASTERLY TRADE WINDS.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL
ALSO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY AND SHIFT FARTHER EAST TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...AS
A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXITS THE NORTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES...AND MOVES ACROSS THE WEST AND CENTRAL ATLANTIC. SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL ONCE AGAIN BE REINFORCED ACROSS THE WEST AND SOUTHWESTERN
ATLANTIC BY WEDNESDAY AND DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK...AND
CONSEQUENTLY INDUCE AN MAINTAIN MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEAST TO EAST
TRADE WIND FLOW.

&&

.DISCUSSION...WEAK PERTURBATION IN THE PREVAILING EASTERLIES
CONTINUED TO BRING PATCHES OF LOW TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS
THE REGION DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS. THE DOMINANT
EAST NORTHEAST WINDS STEERED THE CLOUDINESS AND ACCOMPANYING LIGHT
TO MODERATE SHOWERS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS AND PORTIONS OF THE
NORTH AND EAST COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS. A FEW SHOWERS WERE
LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES BUT WERE OF SHORT DURATION AND FAST MOVING
LEAVING NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS. FOR THE REST OF THE
DAY...THE COMBINATION OF AVAILABLE MOISTURE BEING ADVECTED ACROSS
THE REGION...ALONG WITH THE ERODING RIDGE ALOFT AND WEAK SHORT WAVE
MOVING THROUGH THE REGION...SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR AFTERNOON
CONVECTION ACROSS THE ISLANDS. IN ADDITION...DUE TO THE MARGINAL INSTABILITY
ALOFT...THESE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM MAINLY
OVER PARTS OF THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...UNDER
THE PREVAILING LOW TO MID LEVEL STEERING FLOW. AT THIS TIME...ONLY
ISOLATED AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS
AS THE MAJORITY OF THE AFTERNOON CONVECTION SHOULD BE FAST MOVING.

FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK...MUCH OF THE SAME WEATHER PATTERN IS
EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION...WITH THE PREVAILING EAST TO NORTHEAST
WIND FLOW DOMINATING THE LOCAL WEATHER PATTERN...AND HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING ALOFT ONCE AGAIN TO MAINTAIN AN OVERALL SUBSIDENT PATTERN
WHICH SHOULD SUPPRESS OR LIMIT ANY SIGNIFICANT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.
SO FOR NOW...EXPECT INTERVALS OF SHALLOW PASSING CLOUDS AND SHOWERS
DURING THE EVENING AND EARLY MORNINGS...FOLLOWED BY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
AFTERNOON CONVECTION MOSTLY ACROSS PARTS OF THE INTERIOR AND WEST SECTIONS
OF PUERTO RICO. FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...FEW PASSING SHOWERS WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE EACH DAY...BUT MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER SKIES SHOULD PREVAIL.

&&

.AVIATION...BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS MORNING
ACROSS TJSJ...TISX...TIST...TNCM AND TKPK IN QUICK PASSING SHOWERS.
WINDS WILL BE MAINLY FROM THE EAST TO E-NE AT AROUND 10 KTS EARLY
THIS MORNING INCREASING TO AROUND 15 KTS AND GUSTY WITH SEA BREEZE
VARIATIONS AFTER 02/13Z. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF TSRA ACROSS THE VICINITY
OF TJMZ AFTER 02/16Z.

&&

.MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF
THE REGIONAL WATERS...EXCEPT FOR THE NEAR SHORE WATERS OF WEST AND
SOUTHERN PUERTO RICO...WHERE SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION. ALTHOUGH THE WINDS WILL SLIGHTLY DIMINISH TODAY ACROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS...STILL EXPECT THE MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG EAST
NORTHEAST TRADE WINDS TO GENERATE ROUGH AND HAZARDOUS WIND DRIVEN
SEA CONDITIONS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
AND MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WFO SAN JUAN PR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 74 84 75 / 30 20 20 20
STT 86 73 85 74 / 30 20 20 20

cycloneye
Category 5

Posts: 2,507

Puerto Rico Weather Mar 3, 2015 4:12:41 GMT -6

Quote

Post by cycloneye on Mar 3, 2015 4:12:41 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
420 AM AST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...SHORT WAVE TROUGH IS TO GRADUALLY FILL AND MOVE FARTHER
EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA TODAY...AS RIDGE ALOFT WILL BUILD ACROSS
THE REGION BY WEDNESDAY AND DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THIS
IN TURN WILL REINFORCE THE TRADE WIND CAP INVERSION...AND THEREFORE
MAINTAIN MODERATE TO STRONG EASTERLY TRADE WINDS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALSO BUILD ACROSS THE WEST AND SOUTHWESTERN
ATLANTIC DURING THE REST OF THE WEEK AND REINFORCE THE ATLANTIC HIGH
NOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EAST ATLANTIC. THE MODERATE TO STRONG EASTERLY
TRADE WIND WILL THEREFORE PERSIST AND CONTINUE TO BE THE DOMINANT FEATURE
ACROSS THE REGION. THE PREVAILING EASTERLIES WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT
OCCASIONAL FRAGMENTS/SURGES OF TRADE WIND MOISTURE FROM REMNANTS OF
OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARIES/SHEAR LINES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREAS FROM
TIME TO TIME.

&&

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT SIMILAR WEATHER PATTERN AS RECENT DAYS TODAY
AND AT LEAST UNTIL THURSDAY. THE PREVAILING EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND
FLOW WILL STEER PATCHES OF LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS AND ACCOMPANY
LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS AND PORTIONS
OF THE NORTH AND EAST COASTAL SECTION OF THE ISLANDS. SOME SHOWERS
MAY BE LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES WITH ACCOMPANYING GUSTY WINDS...BUT
WILL OF SHORT DURATION AND FAST MOVING STREAMER LIKE CONVECTION.
THE AFTERNOON CONVECTION WILL BE SHORT OF SHORT DURATION TODAY AND
DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AND WILL BE FOCUSED MAINLY ACROSS PARTS
OF THE INTERIOR AND WEST SECTION OF PUERTO RICO.

SO FAR MODEL GUIDANCE HAS INITIALIZED FAIRLY WELL AND CONTINUED TO
SUGGEST EVEN DRIER CONDITIONS BY FRIDAY AND INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
STILL HOWEVER LOOKING FOR BRIEF INTERVALS OF PASSING LATE EVENING AND
EARLY MORNING SHOWERS...FOLLOWED BY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON CONVECTION
MOSTLY ACROSS PARTS OF THE CENTRAL INTERIOR AND WEST SECTIONS OF PUERTO
RICO. FOR MOST OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS A FEW SHOWERS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE EACH DAY...BUT MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER SKIES SHOULD PREVAIL.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED WITH BRIEF PASSING VCSH/SHRA
ACROSS THE LOCAL FLYING AREA TIL 03/17Z. SHRA EXPECTED OVER WESTERN
PR AFT 03/17Z WITH AREAS OF MTN TOP OBSCURATIONS DUE TO SHOWER ACTIVITY
AND SOME QUICK PASSING LOW RAGGED CLDS. PREVIOUS TJSJ 03/00Z SOUNDING
AS WELL AS FCST UPPER AIR SOUNDING CONTINUE TO SUGGEST EAST TO EAST
NORTHEAST WIND FLOW 20-25 KNOTS FROM THE SFC- FL200...BECOMING NORTH
NORTHWESTERLY AND INCR W/HT ALOFT TO MAX OF AROUND 45KTS NR FL450.
NO SIG OPERATIONAL IMPACTS ATTM.

&&

.MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THE
LOCAL WATERS. LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS SEAS OF 7 TO 8 FEET ACROSS
MOST OF THE SURROUNDING WATERS THROUGH THIS WEEK DUE TO THE FAIRLY
STRONG AND PERSISTENT EASTERLY TRADE WINDS. THE LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE
CONTINUES TO INITIALIZE FAIRLY WELL AND REMAIN NEARLY CONSISTENT
WITH THE PRESENT MARINE CONDITIONS. FOR THAT REASON THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT AT LEAST UNTIL LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
AND MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
WFO SAN JUAN PR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 84 74 86 74 / 40 40 40 10
STT 85 73 85 73 / 40 40 40 20

cycloneye
Category 5

Posts: 2,507

Puerto Rico Weather Mar 4, 2015 4:30:12 GMT -6

Quote

Post by cycloneye on Mar 4, 2015 4:30:12 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
442 AM AST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO THE REGION UNTIL
AT LEAST FRIDAY...WITH THE LOCAL ISLANDS IN THE SUBSIDENCE SIDE. STRONG
SURFACE TO MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN AS THE MAIN WEATHER FEATURE
OVER THE REGION UNTIL AT LEAST FRIDAY...MAINTAINING A MODERATE TO
STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR DETECTED ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
PASSING SHOWERS EMBEDDED IN THE TRADES...MOVING RAPIDLY ACROSS THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...VIEQUES...CULEBRA...THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN
SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND ACROSS THE SURROUNDING COASTAL WATERS
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY THIS MORNING. THE SHOWERS MOVED RELATIVELY QUICK
DUE TO THE TIGHTENING OF THE PRESSURE GRADIENT. BREEZY CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL OVER THE REGION FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. DUE TO THE
RAPID MOVEMENT OF THE SHOWERS...THE TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WERE IN
GENERAL LESS THAN A QUARTER OF AN INCH. FEW OF THESE SHOWERS ALSO
REACH THE CENTRAL INTERIOR AND SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO
RICO.

STRONG SURFACE TO MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN AS THE MAIN WEATHER
FEATURES ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL LEAD TO FAIRLY STRONG EASTERLY
TRADE WINDS AND MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LOCAL
ISLANDS. THEREFORE A RELATIVELY DRY AND STABLE WEATHER PATTERN
AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE IN STORE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
HOWEVER...VERY SMALL PATCHES OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN THE
TRADES WILL INDUCE THE DEVELOPMENT OF BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS ACROSS
EASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND ACROSS THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS DURING THE NIGHTS AND EARLY MORNING HOURS WITH
LIMITED CONVECTION OVER WESTERN AND INTERIOR PUERTO RICO DURING
THE AFTERNOONS.

GFS MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT DRIER AND STABLE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WILL ENCOMPASS THE REGION FROM THE EAST THURSDAY AND INTO THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND. THIS DRY WEATHER IN COMBINATION WITH STRONG TRADES
ACROSS THE REGION WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FIRE HAZARDS
ESPECIALLY OVER THE ST CROIX AND SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWSSTERN SLOPES
OF PUERTO RICO. STAY TUNED.

&&

.AVIATION...TIL 04/14Z...CLUSTERS OF LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUDS...
SCT-BKN030...SCT-BKN060...MOV WSW IN THE STRONG NE TRADE WIND FLOW
WILL CONTINUE TO BRING MVFR IN LOW CIG AND ISOLD-SCT -SHRA/SHRA VCTY
TNCM/TKPK...AS WELL AS TJSJ/TJNR/TIST AND VCTY.ALSO VCTY STX AND ERN
PR...WITH PARTIAL MTN TOP OBSCR DUE TO PASSING LOW CLD CIGS/VSBY IN
-SHRA/SHRA. WINDS ALOFT FM NE 10-25 KT BLO FL200... BCMG FM N AND
INCR W/HT TO MAX WND ARND 45 KTS NR FL400. MOST CLDS BLO FL090...
FEW TOPS TO FL100.SFC WND AT TAF SITES FM ENE AT 10-15 KTS OCNL
HIGHER GUSTS BTW 25-30 KTS PSBL MAINLY W/PASSING SHRA.

&&

.MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THE
LOCAL WATERS THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. LOCAL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT
THE WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS FOR SEVERAL MORE
DAYS...POSSIBLY INTO THE WEEKEND. WE WILL MONITOR THE SITUATION BUT
WINDS OF OVER 20 KTS AND REACHING 23-24 KTS SUSTAINED SHOULD NOT BE
RULED OUT FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. SEAS UP TO 8 FEET ARE IN THE
FORECAST FOR THE OFFSHORE CARIBBEAN AND ATLANTIC WATERS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...GFS MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT A GENERAL DRY AIR
MASS WILL ENCOMPASS THE REGION FROM THE EAST THURSDAY AND INTO THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND. THIS DRY WEATHER IN COMBINATION WITH THE STRONG
TRADE WINDS WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR FIRE WEATHER DANGER
ESPECIALLY OVER ST CROIX AND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN
SLOPES OF PUERTO RICO.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 84 73 86 74 / 40 10 10 10
STT 86 73 86 74 / 40 20 20 20

cycloneye
Category 5

Posts: 2,507

Puerto Rico Weather Mar 5, 2015 4:26:26 GMT -6

Quote

Post by cycloneye on Mar 5, 2015 4:26:26 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
448 AM AST THU MAR 5 2015

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC
ACROSS THE NORTHERN LEEWARDS ISLANDS...EAST OF PUERTO RICO...AND
THEN ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN...IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN CLOSE TO
THE REGION UNTIL AT LEAST SATURDAY. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN TO
THE WEST OF THE TROUGH AND IT IS EXPECTED TO HOLD OVER THE REGION
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WELL NORTHEAST OF THE
REGION WILL MAINTAIN A MODERATE TO STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW ACROSS
THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR DETECTED ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. HOWEVER...NOT SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION WAS
DETECTED OVER ANY OF LOCAL ISLANDS OVERNIGHT AND SO FAR THIS
MORNING. STRONG SURFACE TO MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN AS THE MAIN
WEATHER FEATURES ACROSS THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL LEAD TO FAIRLY STRONG
EASTERLY TRADE WINDS AND MOSTLY FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS. HOWEVER...VERY SMALL PATCHES OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
EMBEDDED IN THE TRADES WILL INDUCE THE DEVELOPMENT OF BRIEF PASSING
SHOWERS ACROSS EASTERN AND NORTHERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...
VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS DURING THE
NIGHTS AND EARLY MORNING HOURS...WITH LIMITED CONVECTION OVER
WESTERN AND INTERIOR PUERTO RICO DURING THE AFTERNOONS. GFS MODEL
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THIS DRIER AND STABLE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION TODAY AND INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
THIS DRY WEATHER PATTERN IN COMBINATION WITH STRONG TRADES ACROSS
THE REGION WILL INCREASE THE FIRE HAZARDS ESPECIALLY OVER THE
SOUTHERN SLOPES OF PUERTO RICO. STAY TUNED.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD ACROSS THE LOCAL FLYING AREA. VCSH EXPECTED ACROSS
PARTS OF THE LOCAL TERMINALS...WITH WEATHER DRYING UP IN THE
MORNING HOURS. SFC WINDS WILL BE MAINLY FROM THE EAST TO E-NE...
INCREASING TO AROUND 20KTS AFTER 05/14Z AND GUSTY.

&&

.MARINE...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WILL KEEP THE CHOPPY TO ROUGH
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
MARINERS SHOULD EXPECTED SEAS OF 6-8 FEET AND WINDS OF 15-23 KT WITH
OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS OF 25-30 KT.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...STRONG MID TO UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
BUILDING ACROSS THE REGION WILL SUPPORT UPPER LEVEL CONVERGENCE
AND RAPID DRYING OF FUELS TODAY ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTH
COASTAL PLAINS. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO
FALL SIGNIFICANTLY AND REACH NEAR CRITICAL LEVELS IN SOME
AREAS. THE INCREASING EAST NORTHEAST TRADE WINDS WILL LEAD TO
BREEZY CONDITIONS. THESE FEATURES WILL INDUCE AN ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH COASTAL PLAINS...AND
MONA ISLAND THIS MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 86 74 87 74 / 20 10 10 20
STT 85 74 86 75 / 20 20 20 20

cycloneye
Category 5

Posts: 2,507

Puerto Rico Weather Mar 6, 2015 4:22:25 GMT -6

Quote

Post by cycloneye on Mar 6, 2015 4:22:25 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
529 AM AST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...A SHARP TROUGH JUST SOUTH OF PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THAT EXTENDS FROM A STRONG TUTT
IN THE WESTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC WILL FORM A WEAK CUT-OFF LOW
OVER THE WEEKEND AS IT RETREATS TO THE EAST. HIGH PRESSURE OVER
THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN WILL THEN RIDGE OVER THE AREA DURING THE
REST OF NEXT WEEK.

AT MID LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
JUST NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA FOR THE REST OF THIS WEEK AND MOST OF
NEXT. A STRONG LOW IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL SHIFT SOUTHWEST
OVER THE WEEKEND AND THEN WEAKEN IN THE WESTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC
OVER THE UPCOMING WEEK. BOTH MID AND UPPER LEVELS ARE VERY DRY
THROUGHOUT.

AT LOWER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING OUT OF THE NORTHEASTERN
CENTRAL ATLANTIC WILL WEAKEN BEFORE A LOW OUT OF THE EASTERN
UNITED STATES MOVES INTO ITS PLACE LATER NEXT WEEK. ALTHOUGH TRADE
WINDS WILL WEAKEN SLIGHTLY OVER THE WEEKEND...STRONGER WINDS WILL
RE-DEVELOP EARLY NEXT WEEK AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. PATCHES
OF RELATIVELY SHALLOW MOISTURE WILL BE CARRIED THROUGH THE AREA
FOR QUICK PASSING SHOWERS HAVING MINOR AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL. BEST
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LIGHT TRADE WIND SHOWERS MOVING RAPIDLY THROUGH THE
LOCAL WATERS BROUGHT UP TO ONE OR TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH TO THE
WATERS JUST NORTH OF PUERTO RICO AND ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF LESS THAN
FIVE HUNDREDTHS TO CARIBBEAN WATERS. THE GFS MODEL SHOWS BETTER
PATCHES OF MOISTURE MOVING THROUGH ON SATURDAY MORNING AND MUCH OF
THE DAY SUNDAY AND MONDAY. MOST OF THE SHOWERS WILL BE ON THE
WINDWARD SLOPES OF PUERTO RICO. MODELS SUGGEST THAT SHOWERS WILL
DECREASE AFTER MONDAY...BUT PASSING SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE. TRADE
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SATURDAY AND THEN GRADUALLY INCREASE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH WINDS AT 850 MB REACHING AROUND 33 KNOTS
BY WEDNESDAY. AT THE SURFACE THIS WILL TRANSLATE INTO 10 TO 20 MPH
WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

MID AND UPPER LEVELS REMAIN QUITE DRY THROUGH FRIDAY OF NEXT WEEK
WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AT MOST LEVELS BELOW 10 PERCENT.
NEVERTHELESS...PERSISTENT PATCHES OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BRING
SCATTERED SHALLOW SHOWERS TO THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AT LEAST
THROUGH TUESDAY...AND LIKELY THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. SOME
SHOWERS MAY ALSO DEVELOP IN THE WEST DEPENDING OF THE EXACT FLOW
PATTERN AND CONVERGENCE DURING THE AFTERNOONS...BUT THIS IS
EXPECTED TO BE MORE LIMITED. HIGH PRESSURE AT MID AND UPPER LEVELS
WILL SERVE TO LIMIT CONVECTION AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS...BUT WINDWARD
SLOPES WILL SEE SOME SHOWERS EACH DAY.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS ALL TERMINALS FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. PASSING -SHRA/SHRA EMBEDDED ON TRADE WINDS WILL
CREATE MAINLY VCSH AT TJSJ/TIST/TNCM/TKPK/TJBQ/TISX THRU THE MORNING
HOURS. THEN...AFT 06/18Z CLOUDS WILL FORM OVER THE INTERIOR AND
WESTERN PR. WINDS AT LESS THAN 10 KNOTS AT PR/USVI...AND AROUND 15
KTS AT TNCM/TKPK WITH HIGHER GUSTS...INCREASING AFT 06/13Z TO 15-25
KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE VICINITY OF SHRA.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS IN PROTECTED AREAS SHOULD BEGIN TO COME DOWN NOW
THROUGH SUNDAY...THOUGH SMALL CRAFT WILL HAVE TO EXERCISE CAUTION
EVEN AFTER SOME SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES EXPIRE OVER THE WEEKEND.
MOST SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL RE-EMERGE ON MONDAY AS
WINDS INCREASE AND SEAS ROUGHEN AGAIN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 86 74 86 74 / 40 40 40 40
STT 85 74 85 74 / 30 20 30 40

cycloneye
Category 5

Posts: 2,507

Puerto Rico Weather Mar 7, 2015 4:18:28 GMT -6

Quote

Post by cycloneye on Mar 7, 2015 4:18:28 GMT -6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
501 AM AST SAT MAR 7 2015

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...A TROUGH ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LOCAL AREA WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AND BE
DISPLACED BY A RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN. THE
RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THERE DURING THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT
WEEK WITH ITS AXIS MOVING OVER THE LOCAL AREA BY THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND.

AT MID LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES IN THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
JUST NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA AND THE BAHAMA ISLANDS. A CUT-OFF LOW
WILL WANDER IN THE WESTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC THROUGH MID-WEEK NEXT
WEEK. THIS LOW WILL BE ABSORBED INTO THE PASSING LONG WAVE TROUGH
AT MID-LATITUDES LATE NEXT WEEK. MID LEVELS WILL REMAIN VERY DRY
THROUGHOUT THE NEXT TEN DAYS.

AT LOWER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE IN THE EASTERN UNITED STATES WILL
MOVE INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC EARLY NEXT WEEK AND MOVE TOWARD THE
SEMI PERMANENT HIGH PRESSURE NOW IN THE EAST CENTRAL ATLANTIC.
THIS WILL INCREASE THE TRADE WINDS SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE IN CANADA WEDNESDAY WILL MOVE INTO THE
NORTHWESTERN ATLANTIC THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND. PATCHY MOISTURE AND
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN THE SHALLOW MARINE
LAYER THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD. MOISTURE WILL DEEPEN SUNDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING INCREASING SHOWERS AND THEN RETURN BRIEFLY
TO DRIER THAN SEASONAL LEVELS BY THURSDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS WRAPPED THEMSELVES AROUND THE ISLAND OF
PUERTO RICO OVERNIGHT WITH A FEW BRUSHING THE COASTS AND ENTERING
OVER THE EASTERN COAST. AMOUNTS OVER LAND WERE QUITE LIGHT THOUGH
A FEW SPOTS OVER WATER MANAGED UP TO ONE QUARTER INCH OF RAINFALL.
THIS DRY PATTERN WILL CONTINUE UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING. VERY DRY AIR
ABOVE 700 MB DUE TO SUBSIDENCE FROM MID AND UPPER LEVEL HIGH
PRESSURE WILL ALSO MIX DOWN DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE DAY TO LIMIT
SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER LAND AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN THE WESTERN
SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. THIS WILL ALSO CREATE SPIKES OF UNUSUALLY
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN SOME INTERIOR REGIONS OF PUERTO RICO
DURING THE AFTERNOONS. MOISTURE INCREASES LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY AND SHOWER
ACTIVITY WILL ALSO INCREASE...THOUGH AMOUNTS WILL STILL BE LIGHT.
WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS LAYER OF
EASTERLY WINDS WILL EXTEND UPWARD TO 25 KFT. BUT ALTHOUGH THIS
WILL LIMIT SHOWER- KILLING SHEAR...THE LAYER ABOVE 10 KFT WILL
HAVE VERY LITTLE MOISTURE AND CLOUDS WILL QUICKLY EVAPORATE UPON
REACHING THAT LEVEL. EVAPORATING SHOWERS...HOWEVER MAY BE ABLE TO
PRODUCE LOCALIZED GUSTS BETWEEN 30 TO 40 MPH ESPECIALLY MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOCAL
FLYING AREA FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PASSING -SHRA/SHRA EMBEDDED ON
TRADE WINDS WILL CREATE VCSH AT TJSJ/TJBQ/TIST/TISX/TNCM/TKPK
THRU THE MORNING HOURS. THEN...AFT 07/17Z CLOUDS WILL FORM OVER
THE INTERIOR AND WESTERN PR. WINDS AT 5 TO 15 KNOTS AT
PR/USVI...AND AROUND 15 KTS OR LESS AT TNCM/TKPK WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...INCREASING AFT 07/13Z AT 15-20 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

&&

.MARINE...SEAS HAVE DROPPED BELOW 7 FEET EVERYWHERE IN THE LOCAL
AREA AND EVEN AT THE OUTER BUOY 41043. NEVERTHELESS LOCAL WIND
MAXIMUMS MAY BRING SEAS BACK TO 7 FEET IN EXPOSED AREAS THROUGH
THIS EVENING. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL BE REMOVED THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT IN ALL AREAS EXCEPT THE EXTREME SOUTHWEST
PORTION OF THE LOCAL WATERS...BUT SEAS WILL RETURN TO 7 FEET IN
THE ANEGADA PASSAGE AND OUTER ATLANTIC WATERS BY SUNDAY NIGHT.
CONDITIONS WILL THEN CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE AREA WIDE THROUGH MID
WEEK...ALTHOUGH THE NEAR SHORE WATERS AROUND SOUTHERN AND WESTERN
PUERTO RICO WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT PROTECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 86 74 86 74 / 10 10 30 50
STT 85 73 85 74 / 10 10 20 30

Shoutbox

northshoreelise: not on the 12z... Oct 10, 2024 12:15:21 GMT -6

lencast: Really would appreciate it. Thank you, Lena Sept 27, 2024 5:20:46 GMT -6

lencast: I am in Jacksonville, and trying to drive back to New Orleans. Does anyone here know if the I-10 is passable in Lake City and Tallahassee. Sept 27, 2024 5:19:03 GMT -6

tcane: This sure looks like it dies quickly. maybe falling apart before metro New Orleans? Just looking at the lat dozen posts and images here. Sept 10, 2024 11:26:27 GMT -6

rebekahb-Metairie: Looks like it but I wait for the better trained eyes on the forum to respond. Sept 9, 2024 18:52:32 GMT -6

jdschlum-bedico/village of bo: Look further east than the 12z plots don’t it Sept 9, 2024 18:49:34 GMT -6

SKYSUMMIT: Oh sorry guys! I didn't eve see these new messages down here lol Jul 26, 2024 13:14:47 GMT -6

jenniqtip: Just as soon as* sry fat finger Jul 7, 2024 12:53:35 GMT -6

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Jul 7, 2024 12:12:03 GMT -6

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Deleted: Ernesto gonna mog hard.
I'm voting Alberto, Ernesto, Rafael and Deshawn Apr 1, 2024 19:15:21 GMT -6

SKYSUMMIT: ShanaBanana Yes...just click the link and then send a PM to either TIgergirl or myself. I can then shoot her a text letting her know and I'll add your supporter tag. THANK YOU!!!! Sept 23, 2023 16:08:37 GMT -6

ShanaBanana: At the risk of this being a dumb question. In order to donate, do I follow the instructions when I click “donate”, and then message tigergirl? I see people comment here that they donated, so I wasn’t sure if that had changed. Sept 20, 2023 10:54:40 GMT -6

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virginialee: Hi Skysummit: I was part of this back at the beginning. So happy to be back. Sept 8, 2023 5:08:12 GMT -6

SKYSUMMIT: Thanks to everyone who has recently donated! If I missed anyone and you still need a Supporter Tag, let me know. Sept 7, 2023 13:20:10 GMT -6

akeller11: Just donated Sept 6, 2023 11:11:36 GMT -6

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Puerto Rico Weather

Post by cycloneye on Feb 21, 2015 4:17:34 GMT -6

Post by cycloneye on Feb 22, 2015 3:51:37 GMT -6

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