The Historic Flood of 2016: 8/8 to 8/19

Sky, does that mean they will be sending recon out to it since it is so close to florida?

I will be n Orange Beach all of next week. Am I correct in thinking it will rain the entire time due to the tropical wave

Looking very wet unfortunately...especially Tuesday to Friday

Down to 10/10


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN AUG 7 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located over the northeastern Gulf
of Mexico just northwest of Cedar Key, Florida, is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system has been
drifting northeastward during the past 24 hours, and is now forecast
to move inland later today before significant development can
occur. Heavy rainfall is still expected over portions of the
northern and central Florida peninsula, as well as much of the
Florida panhandle, during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

Yep, just about all of the models are now showing the center staying over land...anywhere from the Florida Panhandle, to south Alabama, to Southeast Louisiana.
Still plenty of moisture this week.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located inland over northeastern Florida
is generating showers and thunderstorms, primarily over the Gulf of
Mexico. This system is drifting northeastward to northward, and is
expected to move farther inland today and Monday with little chance
of tropical cyclone formation. Nonetheless, heavy rainfall that
could result in flooding is forecast over portions of north-central
and northern Florida, including parts of the Florida panhandle,
during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low... near 0 percent

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A weak area of low pressure located inland over the northern Florida
peninsula continues to produce showers and thunderstorms, primarily
over the Gulf of Mexico and the Florida panhandle. This system is
expected to move slowly northward during the next couple of days,
taking the low pressure system farther inland. Although tropical
cyclone formation is not expected, heavy rainfall that could
result in flooding is likely over portions of the northern Florida
peninsula and the Florida panhandle during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low... near 0 percent