Latest precip forecast from this evening. Like I mentioned on the FB post a while ago, this changes a little with each run, but still gives an idea of where the heaviest rainfall could occur.
Hammond, LA --> 2022/2023 Number of Freezes: 2 NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23
SKYSUMMIT
Administrator President | Director of Operations
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SAT AUG 6 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A stationary trough of low pressure continues to produce widespread cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and Apalachee Bay. Some increase in organization is possible during the next day or two before the system moves inland over the southeastern United States. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is expected over portions of the northern and central Florida peninsula, as well as much of the Florida panhandle. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent
Hammond, LA --> 2022/2023 Number of Freezes: 2 NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23
SKYSUMMIT
Administrator President | Director of Operations
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 AM EDT SUN AUG 7 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A weak area of low pressure located over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico just northwest of Cedar Key, Florida, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system has been drifting northeastward during the past 24 hours, and is now forecast to move inland later today before significant development can occur. Heavy rainfall is still expected over portions of the northern and central Florida peninsula, as well as much of the Florida panhandle, during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent
Hammond, LA --> 2022/2023 Number of Freezes: 2 NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23
Great Sunday Morning to everyone!! Satellite imagery of the area of interest in the Northeast Gulf of Mexico certainly "appears" impressive this morning. I know that "appearances" can sometimes be deceiving, however, long-range radar out of the Tampa area looks impressive as well. If this area of low pressure were to somehow work its' way to the south and west, it would appear to have the potential to develop a little more than forecast at the present time. You guys are awesome!! Keep up the great work!!
Great Sunday Morning to everyone!! Satellite imagery of the area of interest in the Northeast Gulf of Mexico certainly "appears" impressive this morning. I know that "appearances" can sometimes be deceiving, however, long-range radar out of the Tampa area looks impressive as well. If this area of low pressure were to somehow work its' way to the south and west, it would appear to have the potential to develop a little more than forecast at the present time. You guys are awesome!! Keep up the great work!!
Yep, just about all of the models are now showing the center staying over land...anywhere from the Florida Panhandle, to south Alabama, to Southeast Louisiana. Still plenty of moisture this week.
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A weak area of low pressure located inland over northeastern Florida is generating showers and thunderstorms, primarily over the Gulf of Mexico. This system is drifting northeastward to northward, and is expected to move farther inland today and Monday with little chance of tropical cyclone formation. Nonetheless, heavy rainfall that could result in flooding is forecast over portions of north-central and northern Florida, including parts of the Florida panhandle, during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low... near 0 percent
Hammond, LA --> 2022/2023 Number of Freezes: 2 NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23
SKYSUMMIT
Administrator President | Director of Operations
I'm interested to see what today's ECMWF shows in terms of rainfall. It continues to push the surface low offshore of Mobile and Pensacola from Tuesday to Friday.
Hammond, LA --> 2022/2023 Number of Freezes: 2 NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23
SKYSUMMIT
Administrator President | Director of Operations
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2016
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A weak area of low pressure located inland over the northern Florida peninsula continues to produce showers and thunderstorms, primarily over the Gulf of Mexico and the Florida panhandle. This system is expected to move slowly northward during the next couple of days, taking the low pressure system farther inland. Although tropical cyclone formation is not expected, heavy rainfall that could result in flooding is likely over portions of the northern Florida peninsula and the Florida panhandle during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low... near 0 percent
Hammond, LA --> 2022/2023 Number of Freezes: 2 NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23
SKYSUMMIT: I'm hoping we're shoveling snow for Christmas
Nov 16, 2022 14:58:12 GMT -6
stormydds: Thanks for your reply... as usual
Nov 5, 2022 11:37:29 GMT -6
Zack Fradella: Yea, Lezak had a paper peer reviewed and published a year or so ago.
Nov 5, 2022 9:03:24 GMT -6
stormydds: Thanks for your response. I felt that is the case. that's too bad. Has there been any peer reviewed papers on the LRC hypothesis?
Nov 4, 2022 14:01:51 GMT -6
Zack Fradella: Not sure, the LRC is something that takes a lot of work to follow and keep up with. It's not as easy as looking at the parameters and making a forecast. This deters many from even giving it a chance. Also, there is some doubt from the weather world.
Nov 4, 2022 3:38:49 GMT -6
stormydds: Zack, a friend had a meeting in Lafayette which Rob Perillo spoke.He asked him why the LRC is not used to forecast hurricanes by NOAA.His answer was that Lezak won't share the info.I saw the podcast you and David made with Gary.He seemed open.What gives?
Nov 3, 2022 14:39:19 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: Man I really hope that rain moves quickly on Saturday. I'm so pumped for 6 hours of awesome college football!
Nov 3, 2022 7:15:01 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Been unblocked. Dylan says that the station took major damage, so no idea when they'll even be able to stream again, or be on the air. Hopefully, they will at least let their employees deal with their own property issues!
Oct 2, 2022 18:17:35 GMT -6
gullywasher: Seriously, must we deal with Bruce Katz at noon, 4, 5 AND 9. ?
Sept 30, 2022 20:03:25 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: According to another met on twitter, the kitten was rescued by a producer who's adopting it. Of course that hasn't stopped the angry mob, with torches and pitchforks, who are insisting that it's a lie.
Sept 29, 2022 17:48:05 GMT -6
nolachic: Pink - he's probably blocking people he doesn't personally know to keep his cell charged and to get his head straight, and I'm sure he is beyond exhausted.
Sept 29, 2022 9:23:35 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: I sent him a message yesterday as well, but he hasn't seen it.
Sept 29, 2022 5:46:06 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Oh hell, I meant for that to be a message!
Sept 28, 2022 19:38:19 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Dylan is taking a beating on Twitter. I just tried to send him a message of support, since we've been following each other for years, and HE BLOCKED ME!!!!!! Somebody who can get to him needs to do so, pronto!!! I'm very worried about him.
Sept 28, 2022 19:37:27 GMT -6
HarahanTim - Now in Covington!: Hmmm, I will say. that somewhere back there, we have stored the "Tums" icon, for those that give a prediction based on their "gut"!
Sept 24, 2022 11:38:12 GMT -6
T-man: Gully, no one here cares about your tender friggin' heart, ya big snoflake!!! :horns: :horns: :horns: :tongue:
Sept 24, 2022 10:24:18 GMT -6
gullywasher: Every year I asks the mods to create a Captain Obvious. and a Captain Oblivious icons but I guess no one wants to hurt anyones delicate feelings
Sept 24, 2022 9:31:50 GMT -6
T-man: Well we are looking forward to a cool front, not a scary hurricane, that's for sure!
Sept 24, 2022 8:16:47 GMT -6
