Franklin Discussion Thread (Caribbean-GOM)

Gulf continues major drought. Had weak short lived hermine and before that Ingrid in 2013 down in Mexico. Bay of Campeche is the only area a system can seem to organize into more than a weak short lived tropcal storm. The difference between 2004-2008 and since Ingrid is astonishing. Definitely think the gulf is first to be affected by entering into the 25 year quiet cycle. 

Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone 7 is expected within the hour.

I'm surprised by how conservative the NHC was with the forecast for 07L in the Bay of Campeche. Conditions look prime for intensification and its not a shocker that the GFS/ECM turn this into a potent hurricane before its final landfall.

He's getting that look this evening. Cyclone in the making.

Yes I noticed in the last couple of satellite frames you no longer see the gust fronts moving away from the storms.  That is a definite sign that it is becoming better organized.