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DYLAN FEDERICO
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Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 11:19:47 GMT -6 via mobile SKYSUMMIT and weatherman518 like this

Post by DYLAN FEDERICO on Aug 14, 2017 11:19:47 GMT -6

The GFS, which has received more funding than any other global model available to the public, can't even handle a 36 hour forecast with Tropical Storm Gert. What makes you think it can handle a large Western Pacific-Like Gyre in the deep Tropical Atlantic?!

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HarahanTim - Now in Covington!
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Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 11:33:20 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT, DYLAN FEDERICO, and 3 more like this

Post by HarahanTim - Now in Covington! on Aug 14, 2017 11:33:20 GMT -6

Aug 14, 2017 11:19:47 GMT -6 DYLAN FEDERICO said:

The GFS, which has received more funding than any other global model available to the public, can't even handle a 36 hour forecast with Tropical Storm Gert. What makes you think it can handle a large Western Pacific-Like Gyre in the deep Tropical Atlantic?!

So, is the City of New Orleans, in charge of the GFS?
Sorry, I apologize....off topic! LOL
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Siker
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Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 11:37:58 GMT -6 via mobile DYLAN FEDERICO likes this

Post by Siker on Aug 14, 2017 11:37:58 GMT -6

Aug 14, 2017 11:19:47 GMT -6 DYLAN FEDERICO said:

The GFS, which has received more funding than any other global model available to the public, can't even handle a 36 hour forecast with Tropical Storm Gert. What makes you think it can handle a large Western Pacific-Like Gyre in the deep Tropical Atlantic?!

It wasn't even handling a 0 hour forecast of Gert yesterday. Couldn't initialize it as a TC.

DYLAN FEDERICO
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Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 11:55:14 GMT -6 via mobile Crafty1 likes this

Post by DYLAN FEDERICO on Aug 14, 2017 11:55:14 GMT -6

Aug 14, 2017 11:33:20 GMT -6 HarahanTim - Now in Covington! said:

Aug 14, 2017 11:19:47 GMT -6 DYLAN FEDERICO said:

The GFS, which has received more funding than any other global model available to the public, can't even handle a 36 hour forecast with Tropical Storm Gert. What makes you think it can handle a large Western Pacific-Like Gyre in the deep Tropical Atlantic?!

So, is the City of New Orleans, in charge of the GFS?
Sorry, I apologize....off topic! LOL
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How do I nominate this for "Post of the Year"?!? LOL!

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SKYSUMMIT President \| Director of Operations Administrator Posts - 63,213 Likes - 13,252 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 11:56:42 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 14, 2017 11:56:42 GMT -6 FWIW, the 12z Canadian sends future Harvey out to sea and allows future Irene to be more of a threat.
	Freezing Days for Winter 21/22: TBD Freezing Days for Winter 20/21: 24 Wunderground ID: KLAPONCH50 - Downtown Ponchatoula NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-22

mudhog79
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Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 12:14:09 GMT -6

Post by mudhog79 on Aug 14, 2017 12:14:09 GMT -6

Aug 14, 2017 11:37:58 GMT -6 Siker said:

Aug 14, 2017 11:19:47 GMT -6 DYLAN FEDERICO said:

The GFS, which has received more funding than any other global model available to the public, can't even handle a 36 hour forecast with Tropical Storm Gert. What makes you think it can handle a large Western Pacific-Like Gyre in the deep Tropical Atlantic?!

It wasn't even handling a 0 hour forecast of Gert yesterday. Couldn't initialize it as a TC.

We all know the answer to that. No, b/c it wouldnt even be functional.

CWOP ID: EW9673 - CoCoRaHs Station: LA-ST-15

SKYSUMMIT President \| Director of Operations Administrator Posts - 63,213 Likes - 13,252 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 12:49:12 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 14, 2017 12:49:12 GMT -6 12z EURO was a west runner into Belize.
	Freezing Days for Winter 21/22: TBD Freezing Days for Winter 20/21: 24 Wunderground ID: KLAPONCH50 - Downtown Ponchatoula NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-22

Briella - Houma Category 5 Posts - 8,421 Likes - 2,990 Social: - Twitter, YouTube	Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 13:17:50 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Briella - Houma on Aug 14, 2017 13:17:50 GMT -6
	Briella Helicity - The Weather Superstore www.helicity.co

SKYSUMMIT President \| Director of Operations Administrator Posts - 63,213 Likes - 13,252 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 15:55:21 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 14, 2017 15:55:21 GMT -6 GFS splitting 91L again with 2 entities...one heading out to sea and one head west into the Caribbean :/
	Last Edit: Aug 14, 2017 16:01:19 GMT -6 by SKYSUMMIT Freezing Days for Winter 21/22: TBD Freezing Days for Winter 20/21: 24 Wunderground ID: KLAPONCH50 - Downtown Ponchatoula NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-22

SKYSUMMIT President \| Director of Operations Administrator Posts - 63,213 Likes - 13,252 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 16:06:21 GMT -6 PinkFreud - Nola FQ likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 14, 2017 16:06:21 GMT -6 This is what the 12z GFS ensembles looked like today. I'm wondering what the 18z ones will look like after the mess it's spitting out this evening.
	Freezing Days for Winter 21/22: TBD Freezing Days for Winter 20/21: 24 Wunderground ID: KLAPONCH50 - Downtown Ponchatoula NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-22

SKYSUMMIT President \| Director of Operations Administrator Posts - 63,213 Likes - 13,252 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 16:25:51 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 14, 2017 16:25:51 GMT -6 18z GFS so far... Harvey part one heads out to sea. Harvey part two heads west into the Caribbean and falls apart. Right on its tails is Irene here heading into the Caribbean.
	Last Edit: Aug 14, 2017 17:11:43 GMT -6 by Briella - Houma Freezing Days for Winter 21/22: TBD Freezing Days for Winter 20/21: 24 Wunderground ID: KLAPONCH50 - Downtown Ponchatoula NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-22

PinkFreud - Nola FQ GCWX Supporter Posts - 906 Likes - 908	Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 18:06:54 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by PinkFreud - Nola FQ on Aug 14, 2017 18:06:54 GMT -6 Like everyone else, I'm not trusting the GFS too much these days. <eyeroll>

Mike Naso
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Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 21:45:45 GMT -6

Post by Mike Naso on Aug 14, 2017 21:45:45 GMT -6

Aug 14, 2017 16:25:51 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

18z GFS so far...

Harvey part one heads out to sea. Harvey part two heads west into the Caribbean and falls apart. Right on its tails is Irene here heading into the Caribbean.

FYI The next name is Irma, Irene was retired after 2011.

chloe06 GCWX Supporter Posts - 1,215 Likes - 245	Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 22:17:50 GMT -6 via the ProBoards App Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by chloe06 on Aug 14, 2017 22:17:50 GMT -6 Model updates?

coreyl
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Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 22:30:34 GMT -6

Post by coreyl on Aug 14, 2017 22:30:34 GMT -6

Aug 14, 2017 22:17:50 GMT -6 chloe06 said:

Model updates?

Tonight's GFS doesn't do anything with 91L, it does develop the wave that is about to come off the coast of Africa in the next day or two but that's a really really long ways out, we should know what the Euro shows around 1:30-2 AM.

Harvey Discussion Thread

Post by DYLAN FEDERICO on Aug 14, 2017 11:19:47 GMT -6

Post by HarahanTim - Now in Covington! on Aug 14, 2017 11:33:20 GMT -6

Post by Siker on Aug 14, 2017 11:37:58 GMT -6

Post by DYLAN FEDERICO on Aug 14, 2017 11:55:14 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 14, 2017 11:56:42 GMT -6

Post by mudhog79 on Aug 14, 2017 12:14:09 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 14, 2017 12:49:12 GMT -6

Post by Briella - Houma on Aug 14, 2017 13:17:50 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 14, 2017 15:55:21 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 14, 2017 16:06:21 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 14, 2017 16:25:51 GMT -6

Post by PinkFreud - Nola FQ on Aug 14, 2017 18:06:54 GMT -6

Post by Mike Naso on Aug 14, 2017 21:45:45 GMT -6

Post by chloe06 on Aug 14, 2017 22:17:50 GMT -6

Post by coreyl on Aug 14, 2017 22:30:34 GMT -6

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