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CajunWX GCWX Supporter Posts - 8,230 Likes - 2,651 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 4:12:43 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by CajunWX on Aug 14, 2017 4:12:43 GMT -6 06z GFS weaker and south

HarahanTim - Now in Covington! Director of Public Relations Moderator Posts - 3,916 Likes - 2,226	Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 4:36:52 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by HarahanTim - Now in Covington! on Aug 14, 2017 4:36:52 GMT -6 Yep, this morning's GFS really calls off the season...again! LOL
	Last Edit: Aug 14, 2017 4:37:11 GMT -6 by HarahanTim - Now in Covington! GCWX Director of Public Relations

Zack Fradella Chairman \| Founder Administrator Posts - 6,248 Likes - 3,171 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 5:59:49 GMT -6 via mobile Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Zack Fradella on Aug 14, 2017 5:59:49 GMT -6 I can see this becoming a west runner in the end. A lot depends on intensity between now and the Lesser Antilles. If EURO keeps hinting at a Gulf storm, even at 10 days, you must take note. GFS is a joke.
	Zack Fradella Meteorologist StormCast - Gulf Coast Founder For Regular Weather Updates Like Me On Facebook Meteorologist Zack Fradella Follow me on Twitter & Instagram @zackfradellawx

weatherboyy
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Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 6:12:09 GMT -6 via mobile

Post by weatherboyy on Aug 14, 2017 6:12:09 GMT -6

Aug 14, 2017 5:59:49 GMT -6 Zack Fradella said:

I can see this becoming a west runner in the end. A lot depends on intensity between now and the Lesser Antilles.

If EURO keeps hinting at a Gulf storm, even at 10 days, you must take note. GFS is a joke.

agree i think time to replace the GFS

weather geeks i don't really talk much I post image

CajunWX GCWX Supporter Posts - 8,230 Likes - 2,651 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 6:28:48 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by CajunWX on Aug 14, 2017 6:28:48 GMT -6

CajunWX
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Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 6:29:46 GMT -6

Post by CajunWX on Aug 14, 2017 6:29:46 GMT -6

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Aug 14 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Gert, located several hundred miles west-southwest of Bermuda.

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad trough of
low pressure southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has increased
since last night. Environmental conditions are expected to be
generally conducive for development of this disturbance for the next
several days while it moves westward at about 15 mph over the
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

SKYSUMMIT President \| Director of Operations Administrator Posts - 59,604 Likes - 9,209 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 6:38:06 GMT -6 weatherboyy likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 14, 2017 6:38:06 GMT -6 Yea, they should have just let the old GFS continue through the season. As horrible as it was, it seems as though it was better than the updated version.

CajunWX GCWX Supporter Posts - 8,230 Likes - 2,651 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 6:47:39 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by CajunWX on Aug 14, 2017 6:47:39 GMT -6

SKYSUMMIT President \| Director of Operations Administrator Posts - 59,604 Likes - 9,209 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 7:19:40 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 14, 2017 7:19:40 GMT -6 The overnight 00z UKMET showing 91L as the west runner approaching Belize (looks like it develops it in 48 to 60 hours in the central Atlantic). Then has a stronger system behind it in the Atlantic.

weatherboyy Category 5 Posts - 1,308 Likes - 270 Social: - YouTube	Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 9:16:22 GMT -6 via mobile Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by weatherboyy on Aug 14, 2017 9:16:22 GMT -6
	weather geeks i don't really talk much I post image

SKYSUMMIT President \| Director of Operations Administrator Posts - 59,604 Likes - 9,209 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 9:58:26 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 14, 2017 9:58:26 GMT -6 12z GFS coming out keeping 91L as two separate, weak areas of circulation through 96 hours.

SKYSUMMIT President \| Director of Operations Administrator Posts - 59,604 Likes - 9,209 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 10:06:41 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 14, 2017 10:06:41 GMT -6 Really nothing much still on the GFS through 5 days. It's hard to believe what it says though because this new version is just plain crap. It didn't pick up on Gert until after it developed.

coreyl Category 2 Posts - 512 Likes - 13	Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 10:23:40 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by coreyl on Aug 14, 2017 10:23:40 GMT -6 Where is NDG, I'm sure he will be chiming in especially after what his EURO showed last night!!

SKYSUMMIT President \| Director of Operations Administrator Posts - 59,604 Likes - 9,209 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 10:35:22 GMT -6 DYLAN FEDERICO likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 14, 2017 10:35:22 GMT -6 Yep...trashy GFS says hurricane season is over. Here's last night's EURO as coreyl mentioned. Hurricane Harvey in the Gulf and Hurricane Irene in the Atlantic:

thibodauxwx
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Harvey Discussion Thread Aug 14, 2017 10:39:28 GMT -6

Post by thibodauxwx on Aug 14, 2017 10:39:28 GMT -6

the 12 Z GFS is running, it's out to 222 hours, has nothing on 91L at all. The euro has been pretty good this year so far, It's a little frightening that it's bringing a developing storm into the gulf on August 24th. lets see if it nails this one,

Last Edit: Aug 14, 2017 10:42:21 GMT -6 by thibodauxwx

Harvey Discussion Thread

Post by CajunWX on Aug 14, 2017 4:12:43 GMT -6

Post by HarahanTim - Now in Covington! on Aug 14, 2017 4:36:52 GMT -6

Post by Zack Fradella on Aug 14, 2017 5:59:49 GMT -6

Post by weatherboyy on Aug 14, 2017 6:12:09 GMT -6

Post by CajunWX on Aug 14, 2017 6:28:48 GMT -6

Post by CajunWX on Aug 14, 2017 6:29:46 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 14, 2017 6:38:06 GMT -6

Post by CajunWX on Aug 14, 2017 6:47:39 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 14, 2017 7:19:40 GMT -6

Post by weatherboyy on Aug 14, 2017 9:16:22 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 14, 2017 9:58:26 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 14, 2017 10:06:41 GMT -6

Post by coreyl on Aug 14, 2017 10:23:40 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 14, 2017 10:35:22 GMT -6

Post by thibodauxwx on Aug 14, 2017 10:39:28 GMT -6

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