Forums – StormCast

CajunWX GCWX Supporter Posts - 8,230 Likes - 2,652 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Ten Discussion Thread Aug 17, 2017 14:14:02 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by CajunWX on Aug 17, 2017 14:14:02 GMT -6 I'll call it.. there's our first GOM major for the season. ***Don't take this post seriously
	Last Edit: Aug 17, 2017 14:37:45 GMT -6 by CajunWX

whitecap GCWX Supporter Posts - 496 Likes - 28 Social: - Facebook	Ten Discussion Thread Aug 17, 2017 14:34:43 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by whitecap on Aug 17, 2017 14:34:43 GMT -6 Where and when? General timeframe?

Wyatt Erminger Meteorologist Posts - 943 Likes - 321	Ten Discussion Thread Aug 17, 2017 14:36:37 GMT -6 via mobile SKYSUMMIT, DYLAN FEDERICO, and 1 more like this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Wyatt Erminger on Aug 17, 2017 14:36:37 GMT -6 It won't be long before we have TD10.

DYLAN FEDERICO GCWX Supporter Meteorologist Posts - 17,499 Likes - 3,447 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Ten Discussion Thread Aug 17, 2017 15:52:41 GMT -6 via mobile SKYSUMMIT and CajunWX like this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by DYLAN FEDERICO on Aug 17, 2017 15:52:41 GMT -6 Aug 17, 2017 14:36:37 GMT -6 Wyatt Erminger said: It won't be long before we have TD10. If 92L & 93L become named storms before the 22nd we would have more named storms than 2005 at this point.
	Twitter: @dylanfedericowx Facebook: Meteorologist Dylan Federico WTVM Meteorologist

CajunWX
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Ten Discussion Thread Aug 17, 2017 16:14:29 GMT -6

Post by CajunWX on Aug 17, 2017 16:14:29 GMT -6

Aug 17, 2017 15:52:41 GMT -6 DYLAN FEDERICO said:

Aug 17, 2017 14:36:37 GMT -6 Wyatt Erminger said:

It won't be long before we have TD10.

If 92L & 93L become named storms before the 22nd we would have more named storms than 2005 at this point.

This is kinda unbelievable.

hurricaner
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Ten Discussion Thread Aug 17, 2017 16:41:28 GMT -6 PinkFreud and HuRriCAnE miLeS like this

Post by hurricaner on Aug 17, 2017 16:41:28 GMT -6

Aug 17, 2017 15:52:41 GMT -6 DYLAN FEDERICO said:

Aug 17, 2017 14:36:37 GMT -6 Wyatt Erminger said:

It won't be long before we have TD10.

If 92L & 93L become named storms before the 22nd we would have more named storms than 2005 at this point.

Yeah but not the same strength we had had a cat 4 and cat 5 by this point.

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CajunWX GCWX Supporter Posts - 8,230 Likes - 2,652 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Ten Discussion Thread Aug 17, 2017 16:56:15 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by CajunWX on Aug 17, 2017 16:56:15 GMT -6

Zack Fradella Chairman \| Founder Administrator Online Posts - 6,269 Likes - 3,234 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Ten Discussion Thread Aug 17, 2017 16:57:07 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Zack Fradella on Aug 17, 2017 16:57:07 GMT -6 Just pointed out on twitter, more GFS ensembles are bringing the support once this moves into the Bahamas.
	Last Edit: Aug 17, 2017 16:58:13 GMT -6 by Zack Fradella Zack Fradella FOX 8 Meteorologist StormCast - Gulf Coast Weather Founder For Regular Weather Updates Like Me On Facebook Meteorologist Zack Fradella Follow me on Twitter & Instagram @zackfradellawx

jjc0320
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Ten Discussion Thread Aug 17, 2017 17:54:56 GMT -6 koala likes this

Post by jjc0320 on Aug 17, 2017 17:54:56 GMT -6

Love this forum, you guys are very informative. I know this storm is far away and the chance of it developing into something major isn't consistent or at least the models are much reliable lately from what I read here, lol. I live 35 miles north of Tampa.. should I have much concern for this storm and start getting my things together or is it still to soon to tell? thanks

Wyatt Erminger Meteorologist Posts - 943 Likes - 321	Ten Discussion Thread Aug 17, 2017 17:55:10 GMT -6 via mobile DYLAN FEDERICO likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Wyatt Erminger on Aug 17, 2017 17:55:10 GMT -6 The biggest thing affecting 92L short term is a TUTT low to its north and possibly another is a somewhat dry environment. In combination they'll keep development slow.
	Last Edit: Aug 17, 2017 17:56:05 GMT -6 by Wyatt Erminger

DYLAN FEDERICO
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Ten Discussion Thread Aug 17, 2017 17:55:58 GMT -6 via mobile VERticalnoGO and PinkFreud like this

Post by DYLAN FEDERICO on Aug 17, 2017 17:55:58 GMT -6

Aug 17, 2017 16:41:28 GMT -6 hurricaner said:

Aug 17, 2017 15:52:41 GMT -6 DYLAN FEDERICO said:

If 92L & 93L become named storms before the 22nd we would have more named storms than 2005 at this point.

Yeah but not the same strength we had had a cat 4 and cat 5 by this point.

Of course not! ACE is not even close! But it's still extremely impressive to have this much activity this early in the season.

Twitter: @dylanfedericowx
Facebook: Meteorologist Dylan Federico
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CajunWX
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Ten Discussion Thread Aug 17, 2017 17:56:14 GMT -6

Post by CajunWX on Aug 17, 2017 17:56:14 GMT -6

8PM

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low
pressure located about 1000 miles east of the Leeward Islands have
changed little in organization during the past several hours.
However, only a slight increase in the organization of the shower
activity could lead to the formation of a tropical depression during
the next couple of days before upper-level winds become less
favorable for development early next week. The low is expected
to move west-northwestward at about 20 mph during the next few
days, and interests in the northern Leeward Islands should monitor
the progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Last Edit: Aug 17, 2017 17:56:37 GMT -6 by CajunWX

nolasim
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Ten Discussion Thread Aug 17, 2017 18:06:16 GMT -6

Post by nolasim on Aug 17, 2017 18:06:16 GMT -6

Aug 17, 2017 17:54:56 GMT -6 jjc0320 said:

Love this forum, you guys are very informative. I know this storm is far away and the chance of it developing into something major isn't consistent or at least the models are much reliable lately from what I read here, lol. I live 35 miles north of Tampa.. should I have much concern for this storm and start getting my things together or is it still to soon to tell? thanks

It's too soon to tell at this point. By the time it approaches the Leeward Islands we should have a pretty good idea of overall direction, it not strength. Just continue to monitor and stay tuned!

"My name is Jim, but my friends call me...............Jim."

CajunWX GCWX Supporter Posts - 8,230 Likes - 2,652 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Ten Discussion Thread Aug 17, 2017 18:10:02 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by CajunWX on Aug 17, 2017 18:10:02 GMT -6

CajunWX GCWX Supporter Posts - 8,230 Likes - 2,652 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Ten Discussion Thread Aug 17, 2017 18:13:02 GMT -6 VERticalnoGO likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by CajunWX on Aug 17, 2017 18:13:02 GMT -6 Sure looks like a TD.
	Last Edit: Aug 17, 2017 18:14:05 GMT -6 by CajunWX

Ten Discussion Thread

Post by CajunWX on Aug 17, 2017 14:14:02 GMT -6

Post by whitecap on Aug 17, 2017 14:34:43 GMT -6

Post by Wyatt Erminger on Aug 17, 2017 14:36:37 GMT -6

Post by DYLAN FEDERICO on Aug 17, 2017 15:52:41 GMT -6

Post by CajunWX on Aug 17, 2017 16:14:29 GMT -6

Post by hurricaner on Aug 17, 2017 16:41:28 GMT -6

Post by CajunWX on Aug 17, 2017 16:56:15 GMT -6

Post by Zack Fradella on Aug 17, 2017 16:57:07 GMT -6

Post by jjc0320 on Aug 17, 2017 17:54:56 GMT -6

Post by Wyatt Erminger on Aug 17, 2017 17:55:10 GMT -6

Post by DYLAN FEDERICO on Aug 17, 2017 17:55:58 GMT -6

Post by CajunWX on Aug 17, 2017 17:56:14 GMT -6

Post by nolasim on Aug 17, 2017 18:06:16 GMT -6

Post by CajunWX on Aug 17, 2017 18:10:02 GMT -6

Post by CajunWX on Aug 17, 2017 18:13:02 GMT -6

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