Love this forum, you guys are very informative. I know this storm is far away and the chance of it developing into something major isn't consistent or at least the models are much reliable lately from what I read here, lol. I live 35 miles north of Tampa.. should I have much concern for this storm and start getting my things together or is it still to soon to tell? thanks
Post by Wyatt Erminger on Aug 17, 2017 17:55:10 GMT -6
The biggest thing affecting 92L short term is a TUTT low to its north and possibly another is a somewhat dry environment. In combination they'll keep development slow.
Last Edit: Aug 17, 2017 17:56:05 GMT -6 by Wyatt Erminger
Post by Briella - Houma on Aug 17, 2017 17:56:14 GMT -6
8PM
1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low pressure located about 1000 miles east of the Leeward Islands have changed little in organization during the past several hours. However, only a slight increase in the organization of the shower activity could lead to the formation of a tropical depression during the next couple of days before upper-level winds become less favorable for development early next week. The low is expected to move west-northwestward at about 20 mph during the next few days, and interests in the northern Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of this disturbance. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Love this forum, you guys are very informative. I know this storm is far away and the chance of it developing into something major isn't consistent or at least the models are much reliable lately from what I read here, lol. I live 35 miles north of Tampa.. should I have much concern for this storm and start getting my things together or is it still to soon to tell? thanks
It's too soon to tell at this point. By the time it approaches the Leeward Islands we should have a pretty good idea of overall direction, it not strength. Just continue to monitor and stay tuned!
"Let's work the problem, people; don't make things worse by guessing!"
![](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT02/refresh/AL022022_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/204710_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png")
