Irma Discussion Thread

nolasim
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Irma Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2017 17:13:16 GMT -6 PinkFreud - Nola FQ likes this

Post by nolasim on Aug 29, 2017 17:13:16 GMT -6

Aug 29, 2017 17:10:04 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

That's not me, that's the GFS

The Euro has been trending more west with each run, but has also been showing a very deep trough that would pick it up. However if there's no trough, game is on. Then again, if there is a trough and it gets to the gulf, the north gulf coast is open for business.

Earlier GFS runs quickly organized and strengthened 93L in the short term which made it feel a weakness in the Bermuda ridge. This run keeps it weak until it's north of the Antilles and then it begins organizing.

That would totally suck on so many levels. I have a camping trip to the Smoky Mtns. planned for that week; I already canceled it once due to the deaths of two of our cats this summer. I don't want to be self-absorbed about this, however; there are millions in Houston who would trade aggravations with me.

"Let's work the problem, people; don't make things worse by guessing!"

Gene Krantz, Flight Director, Apollo 13

nolasim
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Irma Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2017 17:14:30 GMT -6

Post by nolasim on Aug 29, 2017 17:14:30 GMT -6

Aug 29, 2017 17:12:30 GMT -6 cajungal said:

Gosh mother nature what got you so mad at the gulf coast?

I think it was Deni (NDG) who mentioned a few weeks back that there was data to indicate that mid-August and September would start to have an almost La Nina pattern; if true, maybe this is the fruit of it, who knows.

"Let's work the problem, people; don't make things worse by guessing!"

Gene Krantz, Flight Director, Apollo 13

loogaroo GCWX Supporter Posts: 671	Irma Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2017 17:17:08 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by loogaroo on Aug 29, 2017 17:17:08 GMT -6 That's incredible!

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 64,796 Location: Hammond, LA Staff Member	Irma Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2017 17:21:13 GMT -6 tak5, red541, and 1 more like this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 29, 2017 17:21:13 GMT -6 Good thing is it's so far in the future....yet again, something that will keep us model watching every 4 hours and guarantee that our headaches stay in place to keep Tylenol and Advil in business.
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nolasim
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Irma Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2017 17:25:52 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT likes this

Post by nolasim on Aug 29, 2017 17:25:52 GMT -6

Aug 29, 2017 17:21:13 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

Good thing is it's so far in the future....yet again, something that will keep us model watching every 4 hours and guarantee that our headaches stay in place to keep Tylenol and Advil in business.

Well, we gotta do what we gotta do. As you have stated, it's so far away yet; anything can (and usually does) happen.

I vote for total dissipation.

"Let's work the problem, people; don't make things worse by guessing!"

Gene Krantz, Flight Director, Apollo 13

DYLAN FEDERICO Meteorologist GCWX Supporter Posts: 17,513	Irma Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2017 17:43:55 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by DYLAN FEDERICO on Aug 29, 2017 17:43:55 GMT -6 Phewwwww that got ugly!
	Twitter: @dylanfedericowx Facebook: Meteorologist Dylan Federico WINK Meteorologist

southernchelle GCWX Supporter Posts: 134	Irma Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2017 17:44:17 GMT -6 via mobile Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by southernchelle on Aug 29, 2017 17:44:17 GMT -6 good land of the living 😳😳😳😬😱😆

cplay12671 GCWX Supporter I LUV DEM TIGERS ! Posts: 422	Irma Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2017 17:54:14 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by cplay12671 on Aug 29, 2017 17:54:14 GMT -6 Aug 29, 2017 16:57:35 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said: Well Hello...first GFS run to send 93L into the Gulf:

cplay12671 GCWX Supporter I LUV DEM TIGERS ! Posts: 422	Irma Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2017 17:55:56 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by cplay12671 on Aug 29, 2017 17:55:56 GMT -6 HOLY Stupid COW! What is that cat?

nolasim Moderator Posts: 5,929 Staff Member	Irma Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2017 17:58:06 GMT -6 cplay12671, PinkFreud - Nola FQ, and 1 more like this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by nolasim on Aug 29, 2017 17:58:06 GMT -6 Aug 29, 2017 17:55:56 GMT -6 cplay12671 said: HOLY Stupid COW! What is that cat? Hopefully just a Cheshire when all is said and done.
	"Let's work the problem, people; don't make things worse by guessing!" Gene Krantz, Flight Director, Apollo 13

nolachic GCWX Supporter Posts: 1,213	Irma Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2017 18:01:24 GMT -6 Weatherman518 - 70047/NOLA, cplay12671, and 4 more like this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by nolachic on Aug 29, 2017 18:01:24 GMT -6 What the F ............................................... Fudge - I meant fudge.
	Thou shall not utter her name

nolabamafan - Algiers Category 1 Posts: 104	Irma Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2017 18:23:48 GMT -6 Briella - Houma likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by nolabamafan - Algiers on Aug 29, 2017 18:23:48 GMT -6 Between the tropics and weddings, it seems nothing respects the college football season anymore. In all seriousness, I hope this thing just meanders in the ocean until it dies a slow death.

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Irma Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2017 18:29:53 GMT -6 nolabamafan - Algiers likes this

Post by nolasim on Aug 29, 2017 18:29:53 GMT -6

Aug 29, 2017 18:23:48 GMT -6 nolabamafan - Algiers said:

Between the tropics and weddings, it seems nothing respects the college football season anymore. In all seriousness, I hope this thing just meanders in the ocean until it dies a slow death.

Nolabama, I am so down with that line of thinking! I've had enough for awhile. Again, I know I'm in a good place compared to our friends in Texas; I should not be bellyaching.

"Let's work the problem, people; don't make things worse by guessing!"

Gene Krantz, Flight Director, Apollo 13

DYLAN FEDERICO Meteorologist GCWX Supporter Posts: 17,513	Irma Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2017 18:54:20 GMT -6 via mobile justin likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by DYLAN FEDERICO on Aug 29, 2017 18:54:20 GMT -6 Dangerous pattern. Reminds me of Ike with that WSW track.
	Twitter: @dylanfedericowx Facebook: Meteorologist Dylan Federico WINK Meteorologist

harpman GCWX Supporter Posts: 6,419	Irma Discussion Thread Aug 29, 2017 19:01:55 GMT -6 geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex and PinkFreud - Nola FQ like this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by harpman on Aug 29, 2017 19:01:55 GMT -6 Jezuz Gawd, I can't wait for our first fantasy snowstorm!!!
	Blowin' harp!

stormydds: Thanks for your response. I felt that is the case. that's too bad. Has there been any peer reviewed papers on the LRC hypothesis? Nov 4, 2022 14:01:51 GMT -6

Zack Fradella: Not sure, the LRC is something that takes a lot of work to follow and keep up with. It's not as easy as looking at the parameters and making a forecast. This deters many from even giving it a chance. Also, there is some doubt from the weather world. Nov 4, 2022 3:38:49 GMT -6

stormydds: Zack, a friend had a meeting in Lafayette which Rob Perillo spoke.He asked him why the LRC is not used to forecast hurricanes by NOAA.His answer was that Lezak won't share the info.I saw the podcast you and David made with Gary.He seemed open.What gives? Nov 3, 2022 14:39:19 GMT -6

Irma Discussion Thread

Post by nolasim on Aug 29, 2017 17:13:16 GMT -6

Post by nolasim on Aug 29, 2017 17:14:30 GMT -6

Post by loogaroo on Aug 29, 2017 17:17:08 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 29, 2017 17:21:13 GMT -6

Post by nolasim on Aug 29, 2017 17:25:52 GMT -6

Post by DYLAN FEDERICO on Aug 29, 2017 17:43:55 GMT -6

Post by southernchelle on Aug 29, 2017 17:44:17 GMT -6

Post by cplay12671 on Aug 29, 2017 17:54:14 GMT -6

Post by cplay12671 on Aug 29, 2017 17:55:56 GMT -6

Post by nolasim on Aug 29, 2017 17:58:06 GMT -6

Post by nolachic on Aug 29, 2017 18:01:24 GMT -6

Post by nolabamafan - Algiers on Aug 29, 2017 18:23:48 GMT -6

Post by nolasim on Aug 29, 2017 18:29:53 GMT -6

Post by DYLAN FEDERICO on Aug 29, 2017 18:54:20 GMT -6

Post by harpman on Aug 29, 2017 19:01:55 GMT -6

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