Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18

Zack Fradella Administrator Chairman \| Founder Posts: 8,546 Staff Member	Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 12, 2018 22:03:02 GMT -6 Weatherman518 - 70047/NOLA, nem1987, and 1 more like this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Zack Fradella on Jan 12, 2018 22:03:02 GMT -6 Canadian has a much better look with the trough and thus sends us snow. This is the first Canadian run to do so.
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lsuhurricane Category 2 Posts: 552	Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 12, 2018 22:04:51 GMT -6 Weatherman518 - 70047/NOLA and PinkFreud - Nola FQ like this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by lsuhurricane on Jan 12, 2018 22:04:51 GMT -6 Canadian does a turnaround and really ramps up the precip

MobileWeatherWatcher Category 5 Posts: 3,040	Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 12, 2018 22:06:53 GMT -6 redrover, Mike T.- Chackbay,La, and 2 more like this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by MobileWeatherWatcher on Jan 12, 2018 22:06:53 GMT -6

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 67,639 Location: Ponchatoula, LA Staff Member	Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 12, 2018 22:07:16 GMT -6 Weatherman518 - 70047/NOLA likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jan 12, 2018 22:07:16 GMT -6 ...and is also very cold as well, staying at or below freezing for a very long time
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HuRriCAnE miLeS Category 1 Posts: 280	Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 12, 2018 23:18:02 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by HuRriCAnE miLeS on Jan 12, 2018 23:18:02 GMT -6 Always down and gloom with the Canadian. Hasn't even been two weeks since it showed us going back in the ice age and we all know how that played out. Not believing it one bit this go around.

Briella - Houma
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Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 12, 2018 23:23:25 GMT -6 via mobile

Post by Briella - Houma on Jan 12, 2018 23:23:25 GMT -6

Jan 12, 2018 23:18:02 GMT -6 HuRriCAnE miLeS said:

Always down and gloom with the Canadian. Hasn't even been two weeks since it showed us going back in the ice age and we all know how that played out. Not believing it one bit this go around.

GEM was also the one who called the Dec 8th snow though.

Briella
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Briella - Houma Category 5 Posts: 8,421	Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 13, 2018 0:29:39 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Briella - Houma on Jan 13, 2018 0:29:39 GMT -6
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harpman - old GCWX Supporter Posts: 6,449	Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 13, 2018 0:45:43 GMT -6 via mobile Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by harpman - old on Jan 13, 2018 0:45:43 GMT -6 Jan 13, 2018 0:29:39 GMT -6 Briella - Houma said: We get nuthin'...
	Last Edit: Jan 13, 2018 0:46:04 GMT -6 by harpman - old Blowin' harp!

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Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 13, 2018 3:59:44 GMT -6 via mobile Weatherman518 - 70047/NOLA, chloe06, and 1 more like this

Post by Zack Fradella on Jan 13, 2018 3:59:44 GMT -6

No doubt everyone gets cold enough.

It’s all about moisture again. Models will struggle for a few days on that.

Remember when it snowed along the coast a few weeks ago and the models were just showing a spec of QPF?

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Briella - Houma Category 5 Posts: 8,421	Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 13, 2018 5:46:05 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Briella - Houma on Jan 13, 2018 5:46:05 GMT -6 06z GFS 06z GFS Ensemble 06z CMC
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ndg
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Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 13, 2018 8:34:15 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Jan 13, 2018 8:34:15 GMT -6

Jan 13, 2018 3:59:44 GMT -6 Zack Fradella said:

No doubt everyone gets cold enough.

It’s all about moisture again. Models will struggle for a few days on that.

Remember when it snowed along the coast a few weeks ago and the models were just showing a spec of QPF?

Just a few days prior to the event the Euro was dropping inches of snow across your area, it ended up busting big time considering for being "king euro" lol, along with the CMC. The NAM was right all along of being a non event, with most of the precip not reaching the ground across most of SE LA.
This might be yet another event in which the Euro got you excited for nothing. I'll be in Houston next week, there chances are higher

HuRriCAnE miLeS
Category 1

Posts: 280

Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 13, 2018 8:43:19 GMT -6

Post by HuRriCAnE miLeS on Jan 13, 2018 8:43:19 GMT -6

Jan 13, 2018 8:34:15 GMT -6 ndg said:

Jan 13, 2018 3:59:44 GMT -6 Zack Fradella said:

No doubt everyone gets cold enough.

It’s all about moisture again. Models will struggle for a few days on that.

Remember when it snowed along the coast a few weeks ago and the models were just showing a spec of QPF?

Just a few days prior to the event the Euro was dropping inches of snow across your area, it ended up busting big time considering for being "king euro" lol, along with the CMC. The NAM was right all along of being a non event, with most of the precip not reaching the ground across most of SE LA.
This might be yet another event in which the Euro got you excited for nothing. I'll be in Houston next week, there chances are higher

I agree. Seems the models have definitely started the trend of drying out with less precip with each successive run since the other day. Probably will end up just like that last non event where it is just cloudy and cold and maybe some light flurries floating around

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Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 13, 2018 8:50:04 GMT -6 Weatherman518 - 70047/NOLA and Jess23 like this

Post by Zack Fradella on Jan 13, 2018 8:50:04 GMT -6

The EURO corrected itself with that event and kept most of the precip offshore which is in fact what happened. It was only like 5-6 days out it was all onboard for a snow which didn’t materialize.

You just watch every run and understand the potential is there. Just like in December everything went right leading up to the event, in many cases everything can go wrong too. Right now everything is trending drier and drier.

Zack Fradella
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ndg GCWX Supporter Posts: 9,974	Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 13, 2018 8:51:02 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by ndg on Jan 13, 2018 8:51:02 GMT -6 King NAM now starting to get within range, showing moisture drying out as it nears the gulf coast.

ndg
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Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18 Jan 13, 2018 8:54:54 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Jan 13, 2018 8:54:54 GMT -6

Jan 13, 2018 8:50:04 GMT -6 Zack Fradella said:

The EURO corrected itself with that event and kept most of the precip offshore which is in fact what happened. It was only like 5-6 days out it was all onboard for a snow which didn’t materialize.

You just watch every run and understand the potential is there. Just like in December everything went right leading up to the event, in many cases everything can go wrong too. Right now everything is trending drier and drier.

As you have mentioned before is really hard for much snow to fall across the gulf coast with a NW flow, things always tend to dry out as they reach the gulf coast, the December event was different with a potent mid level energy that approached from the west or SW and not the NW.

Winter Weather Threat 01/16-01/18

Post by Zack Fradella on Jan 12, 2018 22:03:02 GMT -6

Post by lsuhurricane on Jan 12, 2018 22:04:51 GMT -6

Post by MobileWeatherWatcher on Jan 12, 2018 22:06:53 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Jan 12, 2018 22:07:16 GMT -6

Post by HuRriCAnE miLeS on Jan 12, 2018 23:18:02 GMT -6

Post by Briella - Houma on Jan 12, 2018 23:23:25 GMT -6

Post by Briella - Houma on Jan 13, 2018 0:29:39 GMT -6

Post by harpman - old on Jan 13, 2018 0:45:43 GMT -6

Post by Zack Fradella on Jan 13, 2018 3:59:44 GMT -6

Post by Briella - Houma on Jan 13, 2018 5:46:05 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Jan 13, 2018 8:34:15 GMT -6

Post by HuRriCAnE miLeS on Jan 13, 2018 8:43:19 GMT -6

Post by Zack Fradella on Jan 13, 2018 8:50:04 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Jan 13, 2018 8:51:02 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Jan 13, 2018 8:54:54 GMT -6

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