Tropical Depression Gordon

The good thing is that it'll be moving. This should not be a stall out situation.

You can always tell the difference between a strengthening storm at landfall or a weakening one.

This one looks to be trying to organize quickly at time of landfall. Usually that means whatever wind speed the storm is at, you will at least get it in gusts.

Strengthening storms translate the wind down to the surface much more efficiently.

Good morning. Finally woke up to some sunshine here in Lakeview. Hoping our pumps hold out!

With the amount of rain possible I hope the new pumping station outside of Harahan is in working order. My street floods when someone sneezes. They've started construction on the Colonial Golf Course and have a huge trench dug to the drainage ditch out front. Hoping it doesn't clog with mud or the site drainage overwhelming our piddly drainage system on the south side of Jefferson Highway. Let's hope it all doesn't come down at one time.  I'm worried, we've only ever flooded once (May 8, 1995), it came close Aug 28/29, 2005.  

SHIPS paints a very good environment once 91L gets into the GOM, windshear under 10 knots, a very rich moist environment and SSTs near 30C, enough for modest strengthening but good thing it will not have much time to take advantage of it.

* ATLANTIC 2018 SHIPS INTENSITY FORECAST *
* IR SAT DATA AVAILABLE, OHC AVAILABLE *
* INVEST AL912018 09/02/18 12 UTC *

TIME (HR) 0 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120
V (KT) NO LAND 20 21 23 25 28 35 44 57 60 64 65 66 65
V (KT) LAND 20 21 23 25 28 35 44 57 42 32 28 27 27
V (KT) LGEM 20 21 21 23 25 29 35 43 36 29 28 27 27
Storm Type TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP

SHEAR (KT) 13 8 12 12 7 7 8 10 18 15 14 11 12
SHEAR ADJ (KT) -6 -5 -4 -7 -6 -4 -2 -2 -3 -1 -2 -5 -2
SHEAR DIR 305 266 261 279 303 265 310 291 307 310 351 328 341
SST (C) 29.2 29.2 29.5 29.8 30.0 30.2 30.2 29.8 29.4 27.7 26.8 25.9 24.9
POT. INT. (KT) 155 155 161 167 171 173 173 167 159 132 120 111 103
ADJ. POT. INT. 144 144 150 156 159 164 162 150 136 110 98 92 87
200 MB T (C) -55.6 -55.5 -55.2 -55.3 -55.5 -54.8 -54.9 -53.9 -54.5 -54.2 -55.0 -54.7 -55.4
200 MB VXT (C) -0.3 -0.4 -0.3 -0.4 -0.5 -0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.4 -0.5
TH_E DEV (C) 10 11 11 11 11 12 11 11 7 10 4 7 0
700-500 MB RH 62 62 63 60 62 63 62 62 59 61 65 70 74
MODEL VTX (KT) 4 5 6 6 7 8 9 11 9 9 8 7 6
850 MB ENV VOR -28 -22 -21 -35 -33 -21 -57 -57 -90 -39 -18 -2 1
200 MB DIV 11 15 2 -6 13 14 -4 20 13 6 -8 35 15
700-850 TADV 0 -1 -5 2 4 -2 6 14 6 11 4 6 3
LAND (KM) 89 105 94 120 129 96 250 112 -123 -300 -434 -558 -713
LAT (DEG N) 21.8 22.3 22.8 23.4 24.1 25.6 27.4 29.4 31.5 33.1 34.3 35.4 36.8
LONG(DEG W) 75.5 76.5 77.6 78.8 80.0 82.6 85.3 87.7 89.2 90.0 90.4 90.7 90.7
STM SPEED (KT) 11 11 12 13 13 15 15 14 11 7 5 6 8
HEAT CONTENT 43 49 58 48 41 32 34 22 7 7 7 7 7

It may try to ramp up quickly right before and during landfall. Seems like its only limitation will be its time over water.