Post by thermalwind on Apr 17, 2020 16:06:00 GMT -6
We'll make up our rain in the summer I suspect. Ridging has kept the coast pretty dry but also has let the gulf get warmer than normal. Once we get into mid June, ought to have plenty of fuel for afternoon thunderstorms.
Post by grisairgasm on Apr 17, 2020 16:19:09 GMT -6
I also expect some early weak tropical or hybrid Gulf action or some time of late season trough interaction. Also, I believe south Texas will see some direct drought tropical relief. Of course it could be a remnant from the East Pacific.
Post by grisairgasm on Apr 17, 2020 16:36:57 GMT -6
When are a small group of us getting together to chase? Sunday is tempting. I’m only half kidding. Safety and common sense only. Of course we’ll catch s**t about social distancing and being in a vehicle together but overall you are in a vehicle cocoon and relatively isolated. Make a note I said car cocoon not tomb lol!
Post by grisairgasm on Apr 17, 2020 17:31:15 GMT -6
You are totally correct. I would need to learn more about the process. Just in my mind you need a dedicated driver, navigator in the front, and 2 skilled meteorology enthusiasts working all available technology in the back. The vehicle is also an issue. I see where lots of chasers use rented vehicles because of hail damage. I’ve gotten a lot more conservative after I passed the half century mark. But I think any of us on here would luv to experience a tornado from a safe distance over non populated land. The best way right now seems to be paying a chaser company for a week or two with them as a vacation. And in the west or Midwest.
Within the next year or two I'd like to take a spotting class and take my dad into tornado alley for a week or 2. He's been an amateur photographer for longer than I've been alive, so I'd love to see what kind of shots he can get.
Post by thermalwind on Apr 17, 2020 19:06:28 GMT -6
Chase the plains. Would be a hell of a way to see storms in action and kind of see the processes. You can get a feel for the actual size of things out in the plains. A tour for a couple of weeks wouldn't be a bad way to do it.
One of these years I'm going to take my dad out and chase. He taught me to love the weather and that would be some great father/son time chasing the dryline and getting some Baum's in a random town in Western Oklahoma.
Post by grisairgasm on Apr 17, 2020 19:53:08 GMT -6
Wonderful things to think about right now.....family, science, adventure, and travel. It’ll be a little while but life will get back to these staples of humanity. On a side note, I may head up to Bassfield this week and help clear the Longleaf Trace bike path. It’s maintained mainly by volunteers. I hear it is a mess right now. Anyway, a chainsaw and a few tools can go a long way for people right now
Yeah trips have always kinda been me and my old man's thing. Growing up we would usually do a "short" trip up to Arkansas or Central TX when I was off for Easter. For senior trip, when most of my classmates were on a beach somewhere, we got lost in New Mexico for a week. Unfortunately, that's the last trip we took, so we're waaaaaaay overdue. We had a trip planned to do a food tour of the Southeast, but it was planned for the 3rd week of August 2016.
Looking at this morning's info, SELA's weather doesn't seem like it'll be bad at all tomorrow.
Yeah, waiting on NAM to update and 12z HRRR to update, but the last several runs of the NAM and other models show convection once again struggling tomorrow across southern Louisiana but not farther north. I'm very interested to see if there's still any indication of a complex of nasty storms developing later today over SE Texas and moving generally eastward or ESE across southern LA. That was looking far nastier than the weather around here tomorrow, and if the models' ideas are right on this, then today would potentially be a much wetter day than tomorrow for places along and south of I10.
Looking at this morning's info, SELA's weather doesn't seem like it'll be bad at all tomorrow.
Yeah, waiting on NAM to update and 12z HRRR to update, but the last several runs of the NAM and other models show convection once again struggling tomorrow across southern Louisiana but not farther north. I'm very interested to see if there's still any indication of a complex of nasty storms developing later today over SE Texas and moving generally eastward or ESE across southern LA. That was looking far nastier than the weather around here tomorrow, and if the models' ideas are right on this, then today would potentially be a much wetter day than tomorrow for places along and south of I10.
I was hoping to get some Shelfie pics tomorrow. Ugh!
Post by grisairgasm on Apr 18, 2020 13:09:45 GMT -6
Incredible. Out doing yard work come back in and there is the red hatch area again. GFS looks like Thursday event may be concentrated a little more to the North’s? The storm pattern stuck like this is crazy. Again, I would bet SE LA gets a part of this eventually. comments?
