MAJOR HURRICANE LAURA Discussion Thread

That's not a forecast track. The colored zones are simply the areas represented where a depression or storm may form. A shorter zone just means sooner organization is more likely.

By next Tuesday, 12z ICON quickly weakens the ridge to its north and has 98L as a strong Hurricane, hitting south Florida, turning north into the peninsula.

12z GFS does nothing with 98L 🙄

Invest 98L is now 80/90%.


An area of low pressure located about 1300 miles east of the
Lesser Antilles is producing a concentrated area of showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for
development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within
the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward
at 15 to 20 mph across the central and western portions of the
tropical Atlantic. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor
the progress of this system.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

might see a fujiwara!!!