HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread

trueblue
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Posts: 1,821
Location: Raceland, LA

HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 5, 2020 14:26:18 GMT -6 Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP likes this

Quote

Post by trueblue on Oct 5, 2020 14:26:18 GMT -6

Oct 5, 2020 14:24:01 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

Oct 5, 2020 14:20:34 GMT -6 trueblue said:

What is that limp cheerleader pompom looking thing hanging out of the side of this spaghetti plot?

😂😂😂

That's the left over models from Gamma

ohhhh...haha. that makes sense.

ndg
GCWX Supporter

Posts: 9,974

HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 5, 2020 14:27:21 GMT -6

Quote

Post by ndg on Oct 5, 2020 14:27:21 GMT -6

Oct 5, 2020 14:24:01 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

Oct 5, 2020 14:20:34 GMT -6 trueblue said:

What is that limp cheerleader pompom looking thing hanging out of the side of this spaghetti plot?

😂😂😂

That's the left over models from Gamma

Too funny, indeed.

cajungal
Category 5

Posts: 6,382

HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 5, 2020 14:28:17 GMT -6 via mobile

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Post by cajungal on Oct 5, 2020 14:28:17 GMT -6

Oct 5, 2020 14:24:18 GMT -6 NavyMom: WBR Parish said:

Oct 5, 2020 14:10:27 GMT -6 cajungal said:

As much as I don’t want to get hit, I am also praying that this doesn’t get shifted far enough west to affect Lake Charles. Some are barely even getting power back and things are still bad

Yes! My sister in-law’s house is being demolished right now. She just sent me a picture.
My MIL/FIL’s house is scheduled to be demolished this week.

My friend lost her home too. She was living in Thibodaux with her mom til just recently. She ended up having to relocate to sulphur

Last Edit: Oct 5, 2020 14:28:30 GMT -6 by cajungal

60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

cajungal Category 5 Posts: 6,382	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 5, 2020 14:29:20 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by cajungal on Oct 5, 2020 14:29:20 GMT -6 Oct 5, 2020 14:24:23 GMT -6 ndg said: Dropsonde in CoC shows pressure down to 984mb!!!! 984mb (29.06 inHg) Not good at all
	60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

ndg
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HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 5, 2020 14:30:40 GMT -6

Quote

Post by ndg on Oct 5, 2020 14:30:40 GMT -6

VDM shows it already has an eye feature.

000
URNT12 KWBC 052015
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL262020
A. 05/19:37:38Z
B. 16.14 deg N 079.23 deg W
C. 850 MB 1301 m
D. 984 mb
E. 315 deg 10 kt
F. OPEN WNW
G. C18
H. 55 kt
I. 299 deg 8 nm 19:35:36Z
J. 033 deg 55 kt
K. 299 deg 11 nm 19:34:52Z
L. 53 kt
M. 169 deg 9 nm 19:42:26Z
N. 243 deg 60 kt
O. 159 deg 12 nm 19:43:15Z
P. 19 C / 1540 m
Q. 23 C / 1541 m
R. NA / NA
S. 12345 / 8
T. 0.01 / .5 nm
U. NOAA3 0126A DELTA OB 11
MAX FL WIND 60 KT 159 / 12 NM 19:43:15Z

M. Geissler Category 1 Posts: 282	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 5, 2020 14:35:05 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by M. Geissler on Oct 5, 2020 14:35:05 GMT -6 Stronger means it will stay west and plow into the Yucatan.
	M. Geissler Live Weather Station: Slidell, LA - www.weatherlink.com/embeddablePage/show/5c08f3290b5e4551a008da8e5177f0eb/wide My CWOP Page - aprs.fi/weather/a/GW5218

shompy6411
Tropical Storm

Posts: 74

HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 5, 2020 14:37:59 GMT -6

Quote

Post by shompy6411 on Oct 5, 2020 14:37:59 GMT -6

What about the setup once Delta gets to the gulf? Will the same shear that ripped Gamma apart be waiting for Delta or will the upper level winds quiet down before she arrives? I am not wishing the storm to go anywhere, just that it weakens wherever it goes....

ndg
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Posts: 9,974

HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 5, 2020 14:41:37 GMT -6 PinkFreud - Nola FQ likes this

Quote

Post by ndg on Oct 5, 2020 14:41:37 GMT -6

Oct 5, 2020 14:37:59 GMT -6 shompy6411 said:

What about the setup once Delta gets to the gulf? Will the same shear that ripped Gamma apart be waiting for Delta or will the upper level winds quiet down before she arrives? I am not wishing the storm to go anywhere, just that it weakens wherever it goes....

Delta will have much better UL conditions when it reaches the southern GOM unlike what Gamma did. But as it starts getting closer to the northern gulf coast it should start getting into some SW shear, along with cooler SSTs it should start weakening right before making landfall.

optimist
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Posts: 637

HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 5, 2020 14:42:25 GMT -6

Quote

Post by optimist on Oct 5, 2020 14:42:25 GMT -6

Oct 5, 2020 14:35:05 GMT -6 M. Geissler said:

Stronger means it will stay west and plow into the Yucatan.

I'm hearing the opposite - stronger storm will move more northerly. Guess we'll find out what the motion is once the 4:00 comes out.

Mike Naso Official Contributor Posts: 1,294	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 5, 2020 14:46:46 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Mike Naso on Oct 5, 2020 14:46:46 GMT -6 984 mb is a Cat 1 hurricane. Probably nearing that intensity this evening.

Zack Fradella
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Staff Member

HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 5, 2020 14:48:13 GMT -6 Jess23 likes this

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Post by Zack Fradella on Oct 5, 2020 14:48:13 GMT -6

I see many people making a big deal out of this stronger storm, this way or that way. Most models show a strengthening storm so they aren't wrong with what is going on right now. Now the rate of strengthening may be faster but the track is pretty solid right now.

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hurricaner
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HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 5, 2020 14:48:39 GMT -6 Mike Naso likes this

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Post by hurricaner on Oct 5, 2020 14:48:39 GMT -6

Gamma is now a TD.

Tropical Depression Gamma Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL252020
400 PM CDT Mon Oct 05 2020

...GAMMA BECOMES A DEPRESSION...
...LIKELY TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW TONIGHT...

SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.1N 88.1W
ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM ENE OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM NW OF COZUMEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 230 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

Last Edit: Oct 5, 2020 14:49:17 GMT -6 by hurricaner

GCWX Board Member

weatherboyy Category 5 Posts: 2,413	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 5, 2020 14:49:45 GMT -6 Jess23 and weatherboyy like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by weatherboyy on Oct 5, 2020 14:49:45 GMT -6
	weather geeks i don't really talk much I post image

nwgastormdawg Category 1 Broadcast Media member Posts: 112	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 5, 2020 14:55:21 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by nwgastormdawg on Oct 5, 2020 14:55:21 GMT -6 70 mph 983mb

NavyMom: WBR Parish Moderator Posts: 1,571 Staff Member	HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread Oct 5, 2020 14:57:12 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by NavyMom: WBR Parish on Oct 5, 2020 14:57:12 GMT -6 When will watches go up?
	“On Christ, the solid Rock I stand. Everything else is just sinking sand.” Ambient Weather: ambientweather.net/dashboard/29355f8f3f87e2a4ec7ccc562ab0f3cf WU: www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KLAADDIS7

HURRICANE DELTA Discussion Thread

Post by trueblue on Oct 5, 2020 14:26:18 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Oct 5, 2020 14:27:21 GMT -6

Post by cajungal on Oct 5, 2020 14:28:17 GMT -6

Post by cajungal on Oct 5, 2020 14:29:20 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Oct 5, 2020 14:30:40 GMT -6

Post by M. Geissler on Oct 5, 2020 14:35:05 GMT -6

Post by shompy6411 on Oct 5, 2020 14:37:59 GMT -6

Post by ndg on Oct 5, 2020 14:41:37 GMT -6

Post by optimist on Oct 5, 2020 14:42:25 GMT -6

Post by Mike Naso on Oct 5, 2020 14:46:46 GMT -6

Post by Zack Fradella on Oct 5, 2020 14:48:13 GMT -6

Post by hurricaner on Oct 5, 2020 14:48:39 GMT -6

Post by weatherboyy on Oct 5, 2020 14:49:45 GMT -6

Post by nwgastormdawg on Oct 5, 2020 14:55:21 GMT -6

Post by NavyMom: WBR Parish on Oct 5, 2020 14:57:12 GMT -6

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