The GFS is showing a little something-something down there, but takes it south and dissipates it. Nothing on the NHC site, neither currently nor on the 5 day.
"Let's work the problem, people; don't make things worse by guessing!"
Even the official season isn’t over til Nov 30th, with strong shear and now cooler gulf temps, time to put a cap on it for the gulf coast. Praying that 2022 is much quieter for Louisiana. We need years of no more hits and continue the recovery progress
Even the official season isn’t over til Nov 30th, with strong shear and now cooler gulf temps, time to put a cap on it for the gulf coast. Praying that 2022 is much quieter for Louisiana. We need years of no more hits and continue the recovery progress
Indeed. So far, so good, and conditions aren't conducive at the moment. Enjoying the cooler, dryer, weather while we have it, all while keeping one eye on the GOM.
Post by crashtestdummy on Oct 24, 2021 11:06:20 GMT -6
While lowering 'threat levels' is prudent, I'd never put a fork in the hurricane season, anymore. Given that we've had storms well into the New Year before, anything is possible, and this year we seem to be enjoying stuff from the Pacific. Who knew we'd have to watch BOTH ocean basins for tropical threats?!?
While conditions don't appear to be conducive to developing storms anytime soon, many of our biggest issues with tropical weather has been the tropical storm or TD that's come for a visit and stayed for a few days.
Post by hurricaner on Oct 25, 2021 20:37:51 GMT -6
We have an orange off the east coast.
A deepening, non-tropical low pressure system with gale-force winds is located a little more than 100 miles southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. This gale area is forecast to move north-northeastward for the next day or so, and could acquire some subtropical characteristics before it merges with a frontal system by late Tuesday. The extratropical low is then expected to meander off the mid-Atlantic and northeast U.S. coasts on Wednesday, bringing rain and wind impacts to portions of those areas. By midweek the low is expected to move eastward away from the U.S. coast, and could again acquire some subtropical characteristics by the end of the week while it moves eastward or southeastward over the warmer waters of the central Atlantic. For more information on this system, including storm warnings, see products issued by your local National Weather Service office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
Last Edit: Oct 25, 2021 20:38:24 GMT -6 by hurricaner
An unusual yellow out in the east Atlantic off the African coast.
An area of disturbed weather in the eastern tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some gradual development of this system is possible over the next couple of days or so as the disturbance moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By the middle of next week, the system is forecast to move northward over cooler waters and further development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Last Edit: Oct 30, 2021 7:24:25 GMT -6 by hurricaner
SKYSUMMIT: I keep forgetting we have a chat box down here lol
May 4, 2023 15:48:01 GMT -6
saintlybraves: where is this so called "low" supposed to develop? Any better indications with modeling today? We are going to Destin this week and of course I'd like for a more westerly setup.
Apr 10, 2023 16:04:49 GMT -6
mysterionz: hello I’m new here
Apr 3, 2023 15:56:46 GMT -6
frankp: Hey neighbor can u please send me the local Alabama weather forum that you follow, much appreciated… frank
Jan 21, 2023 13:57:45 GMT -6
frankp: Hey neighbor, can u send the the link of the Alabama weather forum you visit, much appreciated
Jan 21, 2023 13:55:49 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: I'm hoping we're shoveling snow for Christmas
Nov 16, 2022 14:58:12 GMT -6
stormydds: Thanks for your reply... as usual
Nov 5, 2022 11:37:29 GMT -6
Zack Fradella: Yea, Lezak had a paper peer reviewed and published a year or so ago.
Nov 5, 2022 9:03:24 GMT -6
stormydds: Thanks for your response. I felt that is the case. that's too bad. Has there been any peer reviewed papers on the LRC hypothesis?
Nov 4, 2022 14:01:51 GMT -6
Zack Fradella: Not sure, the LRC is something that takes a lot of work to follow and keep up with. It's not as easy as looking at the parameters and making a forecast. This deters many from even giving it a chance. Also, there is some doubt from the weather world.
Nov 4, 2022 3:38:49 GMT -6
stormydds: Zack, a friend had a meeting in Lafayette which Rob Perillo spoke.He asked him why the LRC is not used to forecast hurricanes by NOAA.His answer was that Lezak won't share the info.I saw the podcast you and David made with Gary.He seemed open.What gives?
Nov 3, 2022 14:39:19 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: Man I really hope that rain moves quickly on Saturday. I'm so pumped for 6 hours of awesome college football!
Nov 3, 2022 7:15:01 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Been unblocked. Dylan says that the station took major damage, so no idea when they'll even be able to stream again, or be on the air. Hopefully, they will at least let their employees deal with their own property issues!
Oct 2, 2022 18:17:35 GMT -6
gullywasher: Seriously, must we deal with Bruce Katz at noon, 4, 5 AND 9. ?
Sept 30, 2022 20:03:25 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: According to another met on twitter, the kitten was rescued by a producer who's adopting it. Of course that hasn't stopped the angry mob, with torches and pitchforks, who are insisting that it's a lie.
Sept 29, 2022 17:48:05 GMT -6
nolachic: Pink - he's probably blocking people he doesn't personally know to keep his cell charged and to get his head straight, and I'm sure he is beyond exhausted.
Sept 29, 2022 9:23:35 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: I sent him a message yesterday as well, but he hasn't seen it.
Sept 29, 2022 5:46:06 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Oh hell, I meant for that to be a message!
Sept 28, 2022 19:38:19 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Dylan is taking a beating on Twitter. I just tried to send him a message of support, since we've been following each other for years, and HE BLOCKED ME!!!!!! Somebody who can get to him needs to do so, pronto!!! I'm very worried about him.
Sept 28, 2022 19:37:27 GMT -6
![](https://i.ibb.co/4KSLrgx/2023-04-22-21-17-08-Window.png")
