The GFS is showing a little something-something down there, but takes it south and dissipates it. Nothing on the NHC site, neither currently nor on the 5 day.
"Let's work the problem, people; don't make things worse by guessing!"
Even the official season isn’t over til Nov 30th, with strong shear and now cooler gulf temps, time to put a cap on it for the gulf coast. Praying that 2022 is much quieter for Louisiana. We need years of no more hits and continue the recovery progress
Even the official season isn’t over til Nov 30th, with strong shear and now cooler gulf temps, time to put a cap on it for the gulf coast. Praying that 2022 is much quieter for Louisiana. We need years of no more hits and continue the recovery progress
Indeed. So far, so good, and conditions aren't conducive at the moment. Enjoying the cooler, dryer, weather while we have it, all while keeping one eye on the GOM.
Post by crashtestdummy on Oct 24, 2021 11:06:20 GMT -6
While lowering 'threat levels' is prudent, I'd never put a fork in the hurricane season, anymore. Given that we've had storms well into the New Year before, anything is possible, and this year we seem to be enjoying stuff from the Pacific. Who knew we'd have to watch BOTH ocean basins for tropical threats?!?
While conditions don't appear to be conducive to developing storms anytime soon, many of our biggest issues with tropical weather has been the tropical storm or TD that's come for a visit and stayed for a few days.
Post by hurricaner on Oct 25, 2021 20:37:51 GMT -6
We have an orange off the east coast.
A deepening, non-tropical low pressure system with gale-force winds is located a little more than 100 miles southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. This gale area is forecast to move north-northeastward for the next day or so, and could acquire some subtropical characteristics before it merges with a frontal system by late Tuesday. The extratropical low is then expected to meander off the mid-Atlantic and northeast U.S. coasts on Wednesday, bringing rain and wind impacts to portions of those areas. By midweek the low is expected to move eastward away from the U.S. coast, and could again acquire some subtropical characteristics by the end of the week while it moves eastward or southeastward over the warmer waters of the central Atlantic. For more information on this system, including storm warnings, see products issued by your local National Weather Service office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
Last Edit: Oct 25, 2021 20:38:24 GMT -6 by hurricaner
An unusual yellow out in the east Atlantic off the African coast.
An area of disturbed weather in the eastern tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some gradual development of this system is possible over the next couple of days or so as the disturbance moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By the middle of next week, the system is forecast to move northward over cooler waters and further development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Last Edit: Oct 30, 2021 7:24:25 GMT -6 by hurricaner
![](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT02/refresh/AL022022_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind+png/204710_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png")
