Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Feb 18, 2021 20:11:31 GMT -6
I haven’t done any reading on it yet but I will now. It legitimately feels like just a month or two ago that we were settling down from (let’s see if I can remember them all) Cristobal, Laura, Marco, Delta, and Zeta.
Wow, that’s a whole lot to have affected our area. Last year was a busy one for sure. Literally the only part of the state to not be significantly impacted was the Morgan City to Baton Rouge areas.
Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Feb 19, 2021 9:05:30 GMT -6
I've never experienced the eye of a hurricane in my life. I had the core of Gustav when I lived in Donaldsonville, about 30 miles from the northern eye wall which was INTENSE, but never the actual eye. Unless you count Hurricane Issaac in 2012 but that was such a joke of a hurricane by the time it got to me that I don't really count that. I didn't even realize we were in the "eye" until after about 20 minutes and I realized it hadn't been windy in a while lol.
Yep I just read the same about 2021 being expected to be above normal but when was the last time we had a "below normal" hurricane season? 2010? 2011? It's been a while and seems above normal seasons are the norm now. In my opinion, the number of storms doesn't matter nearly as much as the unfolding steering currents. With today's technology, we're able to detect more storms developing out in the middle of nowhere which increases the overall number. What matters for us is how many of those enter the Gulf of Mexico.
My $1,000 generator is sitting in my shop, still unused, and signifies the Baton Rouge area's protection from hurricanes for the foreseeable future LOL.
Post by grisairgasm on Feb 20, 2021 17:25:46 GMT -6
Glad u got a generator my friend. Game changer. Look into the natural gas conversion. The company is US Carburetor if u have NG service. Anyway, of course many researchers are trying to understand the numerous hurricanes and ridiculous intensities. But I saw where another huge factor is now the slow movements as they approach landfall. Nothing good. I have an uneasy feeling already about this season. Of course on my bucket list was to experience a true eye. Zeta’s was just amazing. The backside winds picked up full intensity in about 30 seconds and was strangely dry. The sky colors as the sun was setting were the weirdest I’ve ever seen here. I’m finally over the deep need to experience one now. This country is desperately in need of a break. And then there is Texas tonight......sooo sad.
Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Feb 20, 2021 19:11:08 GMT -6
Yes, the sky at sunset that evening was spectacular here in Ascension Parish. Very cool colors. I don't have natural gas service at my home and because I live so far off the main highway, I've been told it would cost a few thousand dollars to have the line extended to my home so gasoline it is . It's such a great feeling of peace of mind to know I've got an 8,000 running watts generator ready to go. I can run everything in the house except the central air, just not all at the same time. I bought a little portable electric cooktop to be able to cook on since it uses much less energy than my oven/stove and with a couple window unit ac's, we should be fine for a temporary power outage. I bought it last spring and every time we were threatened last summer I had such a weird calm feeling when it came to preparing. No buying tons of canned foods and snacks since I'd be able to still cook almost as usual with the generator. I almost felt like I was forgetting something each time I prepared (which seemed like 10 times last summer lol).
Well shit those Atlantic temps reminds me of this time last year. They were well above average this time last year, too. It’s going to obviously depend on steering currents as always though. We could have 50 storms but if the steering currents set up differently then the GOM could be completely safe.
Either way, it’s going to be another “fun” season of model watching.