REALTOR - Team Geaux Realty, LLC (Let me be your Realtor!) Search homes on my website --> guidry.realestate NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23
The 2021 National Hurricane Conference is being held in New Orleans Usually it is held the week of Good Friday. This year it will be held the week of June 14.
Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Feb 18, 2021 20:11:31 GMT -6
I haven’t done any reading on it yet but I will now. It legitimately feels like just a month or two ago that we were settling down from (let’s see if I can remember them all) Cristobal, Laura, Marco, Delta, and Zeta.
Wow, that’s a whole lot to have affected our area. Last year was a busy one for sure. Literally the only part of the state to not be significantly impacted was the Morgan City to Baton Rouge areas.
Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Feb 19, 2021 9:05:30 GMT -6
I've never experienced the eye of a hurricane in my life. I had the core of Gustav when I lived in Donaldsonville, about 30 miles from the northern eye wall which was INTENSE, but never the actual eye. Unless you count Hurricane Issaac in 2012 but that was such a joke of a hurricane by the time it got to me that I don't really count that. I didn't even realize we were in the "eye" until after about 20 minutes and I realized it hadn't been windy in a while lol.
Yep I just read the same about 2021 being expected to be above normal but when was the last time we had a "below normal" hurricane season? 2010? 2011? It's been a while and seems above normal seasons are the norm now. In my opinion, the number of storms doesn't matter nearly as much as the unfolding steering currents. With today's technology, we're able to detect more storms developing out in the middle of nowhere which increases the overall number. What matters for us is how many of those enter the Gulf of Mexico.
My $1,000 generator is sitting in my shop, still unused, and signifies the Baton Rouge area's protection from hurricanes for the foreseeable future LOL.
Post by grisairgasm on Feb 20, 2021 17:25:46 GMT -6
Glad u got a generator my friend. Game changer. Look into the natural gas conversion. The company is US Carburetor if u have NG service. Anyway, of course many researchers are trying to understand the numerous hurricanes and ridiculous intensities. But I saw where another huge factor is now the slow movements as they approach landfall. Nothing good. I have an uneasy feeling already about this season. Of course on my bucket list was to experience a true eye. Zeta’s was just amazing. The backside winds picked up full intensity in about 30 seconds and was strangely dry. The sky colors as the sun was setting were the weirdest I’ve ever seen here. I’m finally over the deep need to experience one now. This country is desperately in need of a break. And then there is Texas tonight......sooo sad.
Last Edit: Feb 20, 2021 17:35:48 GMT -6 by grisairgasm
Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Feb 20, 2021 19:11:08 GMT -6
Yes, the sky at sunset that evening was spectacular here in Ascension Parish. Very cool colors. I don't have natural gas service at my home and because I live so far off the main highway, I've been told it would cost a few thousand dollars to have the line extended to my home so gasoline it is . It's such a great feeling of peace of mind to know I've got an 8,000 running watts generator ready to go. I can run everything in the house except the central air, just not all at the same time. I bought a little portable electric cooktop to be able to cook on since it uses much less energy than my oven/stove and with a couple window unit ac's, we should be fine for a temporary power outage. I bought it last spring and every time we were threatened last summer I had such a weird calm feeling when it came to preparing. No buying tons of canned foods and snacks since I'd be able to still cook almost as usual with the generator. I almost felt like I was forgetting something each time I prepared (which seemed like 10 times last summer lol).
REALTOR - Team Geaux Realty, LLC (Let me be your Realtor!) Search homes on my website --> guidry.realestate NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23
Well shit those Atlantic temps reminds me of this time last year. They were well above average this time last year, too. It’s going to obviously depend on steering currents as always though. We could have 50 storms but if the steering currents set up differently then the GOM could be completely safe.
Either way, it’s going to be another “fun” season of model watching.
SKYSUMMIT: I keep forgetting we have a chat box down here lol
May 4, 2023 15:48:01 GMT -6
saintlybraves: where is this so called "low" supposed to develop? Any better indications with modeling today? We are going to Destin this week and of course I'd like for a more westerly setup.
Apr 10, 2023 16:04:49 GMT -6
mysterionz: hello I’m new here
Apr 3, 2023 15:56:46 GMT -6
frankp: Hey neighbor can u please send me the local Alabama weather forum that you follow, much appreciated… frank
Jan 21, 2023 13:57:45 GMT -6
frankp: Hey neighbor, can u send the the link of the Alabama weather forum you visit, much appreciated
Jan 21, 2023 13:55:49 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: I'm hoping we're shoveling snow for Christmas
Nov 16, 2022 14:58:12 GMT -6
stormydds: Thanks for your reply... as usual
Nov 5, 2022 11:37:29 GMT -6
Zack Fradella: Yea, Lezak had a paper peer reviewed and published a year or so ago.
Nov 5, 2022 9:03:24 GMT -6
stormydds: Thanks for your response. I felt that is the case. that's too bad. Has there been any peer reviewed papers on the LRC hypothesis?
Nov 4, 2022 14:01:51 GMT -6
Zack Fradella: Not sure, the LRC is something that takes a lot of work to follow and keep up with. It's not as easy as looking at the parameters and making a forecast. This deters many from even giving it a chance. Also, there is some doubt from the weather world.
Nov 4, 2022 3:38:49 GMT -6
stormydds: Zack, a friend had a meeting in Lafayette which Rob Perillo spoke.He asked him why the LRC is not used to forecast hurricanes by NOAA.His answer was that Lezak won't share the info.I saw the podcast you and David made with Gary.He seemed open.What gives?
Nov 3, 2022 14:39:19 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: Man I really hope that rain moves quickly on Saturday. I'm so pumped for 6 hours of awesome college football!
Nov 3, 2022 7:15:01 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Been unblocked. Dylan says that the station took major damage, so no idea when they'll even be able to stream again, or be on the air. Hopefully, they will at least let their employees deal with their own property issues!
Oct 2, 2022 18:17:35 GMT -6
gullywasher: Seriously, must we deal with Bruce Katz at noon, 4, 5 AND 9. ?
Sept 30, 2022 20:03:25 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: According to another met on twitter, the kitten was rescued by a producer who's adopting it. Of course that hasn't stopped the angry mob, with torches and pitchforks, who are insisting that it's a lie.
Sept 29, 2022 17:48:05 GMT -6
nolachic: Pink - he's probably blocking people he doesn't personally know to keep his cell charged and to get his head straight, and I'm sure he is beyond exhausted.
Sept 29, 2022 9:23:35 GMT -6
SKYSUMMIT: I sent him a message yesterday as well, but he hasn't seen it.
Sept 29, 2022 5:46:06 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Oh hell, I meant for that to be a message!
Sept 28, 2022 19:38:19 GMT -6
PinkFreud - Nola FQ: Dylan is taking a beating on Twitter. I just tried to send him a message of support, since we've been following each other for years, and HE BLOCKED ME!!!!!! Somebody who can get to him needs to do so, pronto!!! I'm very worried about him.
Sept 28, 2022 19:37:27 GMT -6
![](https://i.ibb.co/2Yxzx1Z/2023-04-22-21-17-08-Window.png")
. It's such a great feeling of peace of mind to know I've got an 8,000 running watts generator ready to go. I can run everything in the house except the central air, just not all at the same time. I bought a little portable electric cooktop to be able to cook on since it uses much less energy than my oven/stove and with a couple window unit ac's, we should be fine for a temporary power outage. I bought it last spring and every time we were threatened last summer I had such a weird calm feeling when it came to preparing. No buying tons of canned foods and snacks since I'd be able to still cook almost as usual with the generator. I almost felt like I was forgetting something each time I prepared (which seemed like 10 times last summer lol). 
