Severe Weather Discussion - 3/17/2021 (St Patty's Day)
Mar 16, 2021 20:56:42 GMT -6
Jess23 and frankp like this
Post by SKYSUMMIT on Mar 16, 2021 20:56:42 GMT -6
This update was moreso for tonight's severe weather in MS.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
954 PM CDT Tue Mar 16 2021
...OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY...
.UPDATE...
Updated for evening discussion.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Overall thinking for forecast in the short-term remains unchanged.
Did some slight tweaking of weather elements through tomorrow
afternoon to account for latest trends in guidance, but timing of
severe storms is still as outlined in prior discussion (see
below). The one caveat is in relation to additional early morning
severe storm chances. This evening's thunderstorm activity has
diminished for the most part, but a few strong storms producing
gusty winds, hail, and locally heavy downpours will continue to be
a possibility for the next several hours. Shower and thunderstorm
chances will shift northward toward the US Highway 82 corridor by
sunrise Wednesday, and the latest suite of guidance indicates that
the potential early morning severe activity will likely stay north
and west of our forecast area. There is still a Slight Risk for
severe storms for far northeast Louisiana, southeast Arkansas, and
portions the Mississippi Delta region, but again, chances look to
be shifting mainly north and west of the area through daybreak.
Chances for severe weather will increase areawide mainly after
Noon on Wednesday.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Jackson MS
954 PM CDT Tue Mar 16 2021
...OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY...
.UPDATE...
Updated for evening discussion.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Overall thinking for forecast in the short-term remains unchanged.
Did some slight tweaking of weather elements through tomorrow
afternoon to account for latest trends in guidance, but timing of
severe storms is still as outlined in prior discussion (see
below). The one caveat is in relation to additional early morning
severe storm chances. This evening's thunderstorm activity has
diminished for the most part, but a few strong storms producing
gusty winds, hail, and locally heavy downpours will continue to be
a possibility for the next several hours. Shower and thunderstorm
chances will shift northward toward the US Highway 82 corridor by
sunrise Wednesday, and the latest suite of guidance indicates that
the potential early morning severe activity will likely stay north
and west of our forecast area. There is still a Slight Risk for
severe storms for far northeast Louisiana, southeast Arkansas, and
portions the Mississippi Delta region, but again, chances look to
be shifting mainly north and west of the area through daybreak.
Chances for severe weather will increase areawide mainly after
Noon on Wednesday.
