SEVERE WEATHER THREAT: 3/30/2022

Will - Ascension Parish
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SEVERE WEATHER THREAT: 3/30/2022 Mar 28, 2022 21:48:21 GMT -6 via mobile Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP likes this

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Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Mar 28, 2022 21:48:21 GMT -6

Mar 28, 2022 20:37:38 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

New data suggests non thunderstorm winds up to 60mph now.

Also, the 00z NAM soundings suggest we may be seeing the hatched area expand into the south shore.

Is there a model map for that?

philstorm91 - Greenwell Spring Category 4 Posts: 809	SEVERE WEATHER THREAT: 3/30/2022 Mar 28, 2022 22:38:43 GMT -6 ju likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by philstorm91 - Greenwell Spring on Mar 28, 2022 22:38:43 GMT -6 Not sure the last time I saw my NWS point forecast call for wind gusts up to 50 mph, outside of tropical systems. Are we on the high plains of Nebraska now?

Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP
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SEVERE WEATHER THREAT: 3/30/2022 Mar 29, 2022 0:26:51 GMT -6 via mobile

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Post by Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP on Mar 29, 2022 0:26:51 GMT -6

Mar 28, 2022 20:37:38 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

New data suggests non thunderstorm winds up to 60mph now.

Also, the 00z NAM soundings suggest we may be seeing the hatched area expand into the south shore.

You are right Sir. I just saw my area is under an enhanced risk yet again and under yet another hatched area. Deja Vu! 😳

SONS RULE

www.myspace.com/sweetestgirlinmarrero

NavyMom: WBR Parish GCWX Supporter Posts: 1,361	SEVERE WEATHER THREAT: 3/30/2022 Mar 29, 2022 4:38:15 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by NavyMom: WBR Parish on Mar 29, 2022 4:38:15 GMT -6 I was in a Slight Risk when we went to bed and in a Moderate when we woke up. 👀
	“On Christ, the solid Rock I stand. Everything else is just sinking sand.” Ambient Weather: ambientweather.net/dashboard/29355f8f3f87e2a4ec7ccc562ab0f3cf WU: www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KLAADDIS7

Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP
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Posts: 1,390

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT: 3/30/2022 Mar 29, 2022 4:53:00 GMT -6 via mobile NavyMom: WBR Parish likes this

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Post by Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP on Mar 29, 2022 4:53:00 GMT -6

Mar 29, 2022 4:38:15 GMT -6 NavyMom: WBR Parish said:

I was in a Slight Risk when we went to bed and in a Moderate when we woke up. 👀

I was under a regular slight risk myself then it got changed to a hatched enhanced risk. Hopefully these risk areas don't go any higher. 😱🤔😳😱

SONS RULE

www.myspace.com/sweetestgirlinmarrero

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 64,788 Location: Hammond, LA Staff Member	SEVERE WEATHER THREAT: 3/30/2022 Mar 29, 2022 5:22:24 GMT -6 Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP and NavyMom: WBR Parish like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Mar 29, 2022 5:22:24 GMT -6 After seeing last night's runs, I figured we'd be seeing an upgrade and expanded areas this morning.
	REALTOR - Team Geaux Realty, LLC (Let me be your Realtor!) Search homes on my website --> www.scottguidry.com/ NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

amacina - Ascension&Terrebonne Category 1 Posts: 211	SEVERE WEATHER THREAT: 3/30/2022 Mar 29, 2022 5:30:52 GMT -6 via mobile Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by amacina - Ascension&Terrebonne on Mar 29, 2022 5:30:52 GMT -6 Where are ya’ll seeing these updated maps?

SKYSUMMIT Administrator President \| Director of Operations Posts: 64,788 Location: Hammond, LA Staff Member	SEVERE WEATHER THREAT: 3/30/2022 Mar 29, 2022 5:51:12 GMT -6 Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP and roz like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Mar 29, 2022 5:51:12 GMT -6 OUCH...classic supercell sounding on this morning's HRRR. Everything right here is around 5pm tomorrow:
	REALTOR - Team Geaux Realty, LLC (Let me be your Realtor!) Search homes on my website --> www.scottguidry.com/ NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

Will - Ascension Parish GCWX Supporter Posts: 2,775	SEVERE WEATHER THREAT: 3/30/2022 Mar 29, 2022 6:34:44 GMT -6 via mobile Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP, grisairgasm, and 1 more like this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Mar 29, 2022 6:34:44 GMT -6 I’ve never seen my location go from a slight risk to almost a moderate risk in one upgrade. Holy crap!

Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP
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Posts: 1,390

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT: 3/30/2022 Mar 29, 2022 6:48:39 GMT -6 via mobile

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Post by Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP on Mar 29, 2022 6:48:39 GMT -6

Mar 29, 2022 6:34:44 GMT -6 Will - Ascension Parish said:

I’ve never seen my location go from a slight risk to almost a moderate risk in one upgrade. Holy crap!

Neither have I! 😱 I'm hoping that the current risk areas don't get yet another upgrade before tomorrow or expanding any more southward!

SONS RULE

www.myspace.com/sweetestgirlinmarrero

Will - Ascension Parish
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Posts: 2,775

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT: 3/30/2022 Mar 29, 2022 6:56:44 GMT -6 via mobile Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP, Shibumi-Mandeville I-12/Hwy59, and 3 more like this

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Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Mar 29, 2022 6:56:44 GMT -6

Honestly, I may do a first after work today. Looking at the forecast gusts for tomorrow, I think I might go gas up tonight (may have to take out a personal loan for that!) in preparation for a springtime severe weather event just in case we lose power. I live in an area that takes forever for power restoration. I’ve only gassed up in hurricane season and before an ice event. I think I can call “BINGO!” now lol!

Last Edit: Mar 29, 2022 6:57:42 GMT -6 by Will - Ascension Parish

SKYSUMMIT
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Location: Hammond, LA

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SEVERE WEATHER THREAT: 3/30/2022 Mar 29, 2022 7:00:35 GMT -6 Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP, roz, and 2 more like this

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Post by SKYSUMMIT on Mar 29, 2022 7:00:35 GMT -6

man....looked again for the evening hours when the line is approaching/passing, and it's a very close set up to last week, where we had southerly winds at the surface, southwesterly winds aloft and a VERY potent southwesterly jet stream at the upper levels. I do think we have a good chance at seeing another strong, EF-2 or greater tornado somewhere locally.

REALTOR - Team Geaux Realty, LLC (Let me be your Realtor!)
Search homes on my website --> www.scottguidry.com/
NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08
CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23

NavyMom: WBR Parish GCWX Supporter Posts: 1,361	SEVERE WEATHER THREAT: 3/30/2022 Mar 29, 2022 7:28:44 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by NavyMom: WBR Parish on Mar 29, 2022 7:28:44 GMT -6 Mar 29, 2022 5:30:52 GMT -6 amacina - Ascension&Terrebonne said: Where are ya’ll seeing these updated maps? SPC website. And FB.
	“On Christ, the solid Rock I stand. Everything else is just sinking sand.” Ambient Weather: ambientweather.net/dashboard/29355f8f3f87e2a4ec7ccc562ab0f3cf WU: www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KLAADDIS7

Will - Ascension Parish
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Posts: 2,775

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT: 3/30/2022 Mar 29, 2022 8:00:03 GMT -6 via mobile Shibumi-Mandeville I-12/Hwy59 likes this

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Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Mar 29, 2022 8:00:03 GMT -6

Mar 29, 2022 7:28:44 GMT -6 NavyMom: WBR Parish said:

Mar 29, 2022 5:30:52 GMT -6 amacina - Ascension&Terrebonne said:

Where are ya’ll seeing these updated maps?

SPC website. And FB.

Ahh, I deleted my Facebook. Every time I went on there all I saw was political stuff.

Ok, it was my own rants but still. LOL

nolasim Moderator Posts: 5,927 Staff Member	SEVERE WEATHER THREAT: 3/30/2022 Mar 29, 2022 8:00:06 GMT -6 grisairgasm likes this Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by nolasim on Mar 29, 2022 8:00:06 GMT -6 Have we always had these Spring pants-crapping severe forecasts and I have just not been paying it much focus until this year, or are they starting to get more numerous in general?
	"Let's work the problem, people; don't make things worse by guessing!" Gene Krantz, Flight Director, Apollo 13

stormydds: Thanks for your response. I felt that is the case. that's too bad. Has there been any peer reviewed papers on the LRC hypothesis? Nov 4, 2022 14:01:51 GMT -6

Zack Fradella: Not sure, the LRC is something that takes a lot of work to follow and keep up with. It's not as easy as looking at the parameters and making a forecast. This deters many from even giving it a chance. Also, there is some doubt from the weather world. Nov 4, 2022 3:38:49 GMT -6

stormydds: Zack, a friend had a meeting in Lafayette which Rob Perillo spoke.He asked him why the LRC is not used to forecast hurricanes by NOAA.His answer was that Lezak won't share the info.I saw the podcast you and David made with Gary.He seemed open.What gives? Nov 3, 2022 14:39:19 GMT -6

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT: 3/30/2022

Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Mar 28, 2022 21:48:21 GMT -6

Post by philstorm91 - Greenwell Spring on Mar 28, 2022 22:38:43 GMT -6

Post by Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP on Mar 29, 2022 0:26:51 GMT -6

Post by NavyMom: WBR Parish on Mar 29, 2022 4:38:15 GMT -6

Post by Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP on Mar 29, 2022 4:53:00 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Mar 29, 2022 5:22:24 GMT -6

Post by amacina - Ascension&Terrebonne on Mar 29, 2022 5:30:52 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Mar 29, 2022 5:51:12 GMT -6

Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Mar 29, 2022 6:34:44 GMT -6

Post by Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP on Mar 29, 2022 6:48:39 GMT -6

Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Mar 29, 2022 6:56:44 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Mar 29, 2022 7:00:35 GMT -6

Post by NavyMom: WBR Parish on Mar 29, 2022 7:28:44 GMT -6

Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Mar 29, 2022 8:00:03 GMT -6

Post by nolasim on Mar 29, 2022 8:00:06 GMT -6

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