Puerto Rico Weather

Deleted

Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Jun 23, 2013 4:13:36 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Jun 23, 2013 4:13:36 GMT -6

Good morning. Good weather is expected in PR today with only a few showers. Two Tropical Waves will increase the showers this week.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
501 AM AST SUN JUN 23 2013

.SYNOPSIS...MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WEST OF THE AREA WILL RELOCATE
NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA BY MIDWEEK. SUBEQUATORIAL UPPER RIDGE
WILL DOMINATE THE CARIBBEAN BASIN OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. SHOWERS
CARRIED BY THE EASTERLY TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR THE WINDWARD
SIDE OF THE ISLANDS THROUGH AT LEAST NOON AST. A PULSE OF SAHARAN DUST
IS FORECAST TO ENCOMPASS THE LOCAL AREA IN THE AFTERNOON. TWO TROPICAL
WAVES WILL BRING AN INCREASE OF CLOUDS AND SHOWERS ACROSS THE LOCAL
REGION MONDAY THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROUGH IS BRINGING LAYERS
OF HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE ISLANDS THIS MORNING. DOPPLER RADAR DATA
HAVE BEEN INDICATING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AFFECTING MOST
OF THE LOCAL WATERS AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN
PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS SINCE MIDNIGHT. THIS WET
TRADE WIND PATTERN IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. THEN...A PULSE OF SAHARAN DUST SURROUNDING BY A DRIER
AIR MASS WILL ENCOMPASS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AFTER 18Z... AND
SPREAD OVER PUERTO RICO THIS EVENING. WEATHER CONDITIONS SHOULD
START BECOMING WETTER TOMORROW THROUGH MID-WEEK AS TWO TROPICAL
WAVES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. THE FIRST WAVE WILL
BRING A MODEST INCREASE IN CLOUDS/SHOWERS ACROSS THE ISLANDS ON
MONDAY. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE ARRIVAL OF THE SECOND WAVE ON
WEDNESDAY. THE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR SQUALLY WEATHER CONDITIONS IS
ON WEDNESDAY...IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE STRONG TROPICAL WAVE. IN
GENERAL...EXPECT WETTER CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS
THROUGH AT LEAST MID-WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WITH SOME VCSH EXPECTED ON AND OFF DURING
THE FORECAST PERIOD ACROSS AL TAF SITES. BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS
WITH MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER TJMZ LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS WILL CONTINUE MAINLY EAST AT 10 TO 15 KTS
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

&&

.MARINE...MODERATE TO FRESH WINDS AND SEAS BETWEEN 3-6 FEET WILL
PREVAIL DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WINDS/SEAS WILL INCREASE
SLIGHTLY ON WEDNESDAY...WHEN A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE MOVES ACROSS
THE REGIONAL WATERS. THEREFORE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BE
REQUIRED ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 87 78 87 77 / 60 40 60 30
STT 87 80 87 80 / 50 40 60 30

Deleted

Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Jun 23, 2013 13:35:34 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Jun 23, 2013 13:35:34 GMT -6

The second wave that will move thru this week will bring plenty of rain.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
328 PM AST SUN JUN 23 2013

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PUSH INTO THE CARIBBEAN
WATERS FROM THE EAST WHILE LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN TIP OF
CUBA MOVES NORTHEAST AND OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS NORTH OF PUERTO
RICO ON WEDNESDAY. A TROUGH WILL DIG INTO THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE
IN THE WEEK AND RETROGRESS TO OVER PUERTO RICO BY THE WEEKEND.

AT MID LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE LOCATED GENERALLY IN THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC BETWEEN PUERTO RICO AND GEORGIA THROUGH THURSDAY.
SOME TROUGHING FROM THE NORTHEAST WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE AREA
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND LATE SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

AT LOWER LEVELS...A TROPICAL WAVE WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA ON
MONDAY AND WEDNESDAY. DRIER AIR WILL POUR IN OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS MOVED OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS FOR MOST OF THE DAY WITH A FEW LIGHTING
STRIKES NOTED IN WESTERN PUERTO RICO AROUND 2 PM AST. BY 3 PM SHOWERS
WERE WEAKENING. A NOTABLY DRIER AREA IS MOVING TOWARD VIEQUES AND
PUERTO RICO AND WILL ARRIVE IN SAN JUAN BY MID EVENING. SHOWERS
WILL BEGIN AGAIN AHEAD OF A WAVE CURRENTLY NEAR 60 WEST AND THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS OF GUADELOUPE. THIS WAVE WILL BRING NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO PUERTO RICO AND AT LEAST
SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. THERE MAY BE LOCALLY
GUSTY WINDS OWING TO THE DRIER NATURE OF THE AIR SURROUNDING THE
WAVE. THE WAVE WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A NOTICEABLY DUSTIER AIR MASS
ON TUESDAY. THE WAVE ON WEDNESDAY IS DEPICTED AS MORE VIGOROUS AND
SHOULD BRING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVIER RAINS
TO THE AREA. MOISTURE IS NOW BEING SHOWN TO PERSIST AS LATE AS
FRIDAY...SO WOULD EXPECT IMPROVEMENT TO THE GENERALLY SHOWERY WEEK
TO WAIT UNTIL NEXT WEEKEND. UPPER LEVEL WINDS AROUND A LOW PRESSURE
TO THE NORTHEAST ARE GENERALLY WELL POSITIONED FOR VENTILATION AND
DIVERGENCE ALOFT IN THE SECOND WAVE. THIS DIVERGENCE WILL NOT BE
FAR FROM THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS ON THURSDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WITH BRIEF -SHRA FOR TJSJ...TJMZ...AND TJBQ
UNTIL AROUND 23/22Z. ALSO BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CONDITIONS WITH
MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER TJMZ AND TJBQ UNTIL AT
LEAST 23/22Z WITH VCTS. SURFACE WINDS WILL CONTINUE MAINLY EAST AT 10 TO
15 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

&&

.MARINE...STEADY EASTERLY WINDS WITH GUSTS AROUND ADVANCING
SHOWERS ARE KEEPING SEAS ROUGH AND AROUND 4 TO 6 FEET IN THE
EXPOSED AREAS. WHEN THE WAVE PASSES THROUGH THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY
SEAS UP TO 7 FEET IN THE CARIBBEAN ARE EXPECTED AND SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES WILL BE LIKELY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 77 86 78 87 / 50 60 30 40
STT 78 87 79 89 / 70 60 30 30

Deleted

Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Jun 24, 2013 4:21:30 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Jun 24, 2013 4:21:30 GMT -6

Good morning. A Tropical Wave will move thru PR and adjacent islands today bringing scattered showers.A more stronger one will arrive on Wednesday bringing even more shower activity.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
522 AM AST MON JUN 24 2013

.SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR THE BAHAMAS WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH ASSOCIATED TROUGH ESTABLISHING ACROSS
THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. MEANWHILE AT MID LEVELS...RIDGE PATTERN
WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL AT LEAST THROUGH MIDWEEK. TROPICAL WAVE
TO THE EAST OF LOCAL ISLANDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE OVER
THE AREA THROUGHOUT THE DAY BRINGING PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS AS TROPICAL WAVE MOVES OVER THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN THROUGHOUT THE DAY. ALTHOUGH BULK OF MOISTURE
IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN TO THE NORTH OF FORECAST AREA...PERIODS OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS...REDUCED VISIBILITIES
AND LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE STILL EXPECTED TODAY WITH THE HEAVIEST
SHOWERS.

A SHORT BREAK IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS ANTICIPATED
ON TUESDAY...AHEAD OF A SECOND TROPICAL WAVE THAT IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE OVER THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...MORNING PASSING SHOWERS
ACROSS EASTERN PR/USVI AND AFTERNOON SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORM
OVER WESTERN PR CANT BE RULED OUT ON TUESDAY. GUIDANCE CONTINUED
TO INDICATE THAT THE WAVE...NOW LOCATED NEAR 50W...WILL REACH
LOCAL ISLANDS ON WEDNESDAY AND SHOULD BE STRONGER WITH NUMEROUS
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVIER RAIN.

LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL DECREASE SOMEWHAT ON THURSDAY...BUT THERE
IS ENOUGH TO COMBINE WITH LOCAL EFFECTS AND DIURNAL HEATING TO
PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM ACROSS W AND NW PR EACH AFTERNOON
THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY. A DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR MASS IS
EXPECTED TO ENCOMPASS THE LOCAL AREA NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR COND XCP MVFR IN OCNL SHRA AS HI MOISTURE SWEEPS
THRU REGION TDY...FM TJSJ EASTWARD DURING MRNG THEN MAINLY TJMZ/TJBQ
BY AFT WI OBSCD MTNS. COND SIMILAR AGN TUE. WIND SFC-FL150 E 14-22
KT THRU TUE.

&&

.MARINE...CHOPPY MARINE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL AS A
MODERATE TO FRESH TRADE WIND FLOW DOMINATES THE LOCAL AREA. TROPICAL
WAVE NEAR 50W WILL MOVE OVER THE REGIONAL WATERS ON WEDNESDAY AND
MAY INCREASE SEAS AND WINDS ABOVE SCA CRITERIA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 86 77 86 77 / 50 30 40 30
STT 89 79 89 79 / 60 30 30 40

Deleted Posts: 0	Puerto Rico Weather Jun 24, 2013 9:31:38 GMT -6 Quote Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Deleted on Jun 24, 2013 9:31:38 GMT -6 It has been a rainy day so far. .CLIMATE...RAINFALL OF 1.88 INCHES SO FAR TODAY HAS BROKEN TODAYS RECORD OF OF 1.68 INCHES...SET BACK ON THIS DAY IN 1951.

Deleted

Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Jun 24, 2013 11:23:28 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Jun 24, 2013 11:23:28 GMT -6

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1256 PM AST MON JUN 24 2013

PRC007-021-031-033-051-061-127-135-137-139-241900-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0156.130624T1656Z-130624T1900Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BAYAMON PR-GUAYNABO PR-SAN JUAN PR-TRUJILLO ALTO PR-AGUAS BUENAS PR-
DORADO PR-TOA ALTA PR-TOA BAJA PR-CAROLINA PR-CATANO PR-
1256 PM AST MON JUN 24 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BAYAMON...GUAYNABO...SAN JUAN...TRUJILLO ALTO...AGUAS BUENAS...
DORADO...TOA ALTA...TOA BAJA...CAROLINA AND CATANO

* UNTIL 300 PM AST

* AT 1254 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THESE AREAS
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN COMBINATION TO THE RAINFALL FROM
THIS MORNING WILL LEAD TO URBAN FLOODING AND RISES ON SMALL STREAMS
AND CREEKS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1843 6595 1828 6591 1829 6596 1831 6597
1829 6620 1830 6621 1832 6620 1833 6622
1832 6623 1835 6628 1842 6626 1847 6621
1846 6607

$$

KN

Deleted

Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Jun 24, 2013 12:40:27 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Jun 24, 2013 12:40:27 GMT -6

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
218 PM AST MON JUN 24 2013

PRC001-013-027-039-065-073-081-141-242115-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0157.130624T1818Z-130624T2115Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CIALES PR-HATILLO PR-JAYUYA PR-LARES PR-UTUADO PR-ADJUNTAS PR-
ARECIBO PR-CAMUY PR-
218 PM AST MON JUN 24 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
CIALES...HATILLO...JAYUYA...LARES...UTUADO...ADJUNTAS...ARECIBO
AND CAMUY

* UNTIL 515 PM AST

* AT 217 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THESE AREAS
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LEAD TO URBAN FLOODING AND RISES
ON SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1848 6661 1834 6659 1833 6649 1817 6655
1818 6666 1822 6672 1824 6682 1831 6689
1848 6690

$$

KN

Deleted

Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Jun 24, 2013 13:27:25 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Jun 24, 2013 13:27:25 GMT -6

Here comes the wave that will bring plenty of rain starting on Tuesday night.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
311 PM AST MON JUN 24 2013

.SYNOPSIS...AT UPPER LEVELS...A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH
WILL CONTINUE OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS NORTH OF PUERTO RICO AND
HISPANIOLA THROUGH WEDNESDAY WHILE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS WEST
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN FROM THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC. THE LOW PRESSURE
WILL CONTINUE EAST THROUGH SUNDAY WITH A TROUGH NEAR OR OVER THE
AREA THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

AT MID LEVELS...WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND WITH HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING IN FROM THE EAST NORTHEAST MID
WEEK NEXT WEEK. BEST MOISTURE WILL BE FOUND TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT.

AT LOWER LEVELS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE IN THE NORTHEAST
ATLANTIC THROUGH THE NEXT 10 DAYS. HIGH PRESSURE IN THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC WILL DRIFT NORTH NORTHEAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. A
TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY AND SUNDAY
FOLLOWED BY SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR NEXT MONDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A TRAIN OF SHOWERS...WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 11
AM...STREAMED ACROSS NORTHEASTERN PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE SAN JUAN
GREATER METROPOLITAN AREA LEAVING RECORD RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR THE
DATE AT THE LUIS MUNOZ MARIN AIRPORT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THEN
DEVELOPED OVER NORTHWESTERN PUERTO RICO DURING THE AFTERNOON.
LITTLE RAIN FELL IN THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS DURING THE DAY
HOWEVER. THE MIMIC PRODUCT IS SHOWING MOISTURE FILLING IN TO THE
EAST OF THE AREA FOR TUESDAY...SO EXPECT THAT SCATTERED SHOWERS
WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA...PROBABLY MUCH LIKE YESTERDAY. THEN
MOISTURE INCREASES AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT FROM EAST TO WEST AHEAD OF
A WAVE PASSAGE ON WEDNESDAY. THE TUTT LOW NORTH OF THE AREA
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL HAVE A WEAK JET SOUTH OF IT THAT WILL
ENHANCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA DURING THAT PERIOD.
AT THIS TIME EXPECT ONLY ISOLATED AREAS OF URBAN AND SMALL STREAM
FLOODING. THE GFS CONTINUES TO INCREASE ITS ESTIMATE FOR THE
AMOUNT OF MOISTURE THAT WILL CONTINUE ON THURSDAY...ALTHOUGH FOR
THE MOMENT THERE MAY BE BETTER...DRIER...WEATHER ON FRIDAY.
MOISTURE INCREASES AGAIN ON SATURDAY AHEAD OF YET ANOTHER WAVE ON
SUNDAY. FARTHER AHEAD... THE SUNDAY WAVE APPEARS TO BRING IN DRIER
AIR THAT WILL PERSIST INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...
EXPECT VFR COND XCP MVFR IN OCNL SHRA AS HIGH MOISTURE KEEPS
MOVING ACROSS REGION REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT...MAINLY TJMZ/TJBQ
UNTIL 24/23Z WI OBSCD MTNS. COND SIMILAR AGAIN TUE. WIND SFC-FL150
E 14-22 KT THRU TUE.

&&

.MARINE...PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ATLANTIC WILL KEEP
EASTERLY TRADE WINDS OVER THE AREA FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE. WITH
WINDS UP TO 21 KNOTS DIMINISHING SOMEWHAT ON FRIDAY SEAS IN
EXPOSED WATERS WILL GENERALLY BE 4 TO 6 FEET. ALTHOUGH NOT
CURRENTLY IN THE FORECAST THERE IS A LOW PROBABILITY THAT
WEDNESDAYS TROPICAL WAVE PASSAGE WILL BRING 7 FOOT SEAS AND SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES TO CARIBBEAN WATERS WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 77 85 77 86 / 30 40 60 60
STT 79 88 78 88 / 30 30 70 70

Deleted

Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Jun 25, 2013 4:23:21 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Jun 25, 2013 4:23:21 GMT -6

Good morning. A Tropical Wave will affect the Eastern Caribbean beginning today and spread west towards PR tomorrow bringing scattered to numerous showers.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
448 AM AST TUE JUN 25 2013

.SYNOPSIS...TUTT NEAR THE BAHAMAS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TOWARD
THE NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MEANWHILE AT MID
LEVELS...RIDGE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO ERODE AS AFOREMENTIONED
TUTT ESTABLISHES OVER THE AREA. TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 59W IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...A DECREASE IN SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS
EXPECTED TODAY...AHEAD OF NEXT TROPICAL WAVE THAT WILL REACH THE
LOCAL AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. HOWEVER
THERE IS ENOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE EMBEDDED IN THE TRADES TO
PRODUCE A FEW PASSING SHOWERS THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS ACROSS
EASTERN PUERTO RICO/US VIRGIN ISLANDS FOLLOWED BY AFTERNOON
CONVECTION WHICH WILL BE FOCUSED ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN PUERTO
RICO AS WELL AS THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL.

GUIDANCE CONTINUED TO INDICATE NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON
AS TROPICAL WAVE...NOW LOCATED NEAR 59W...MOVES OVER THE AREA.
THEREFORE...PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS...
REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN
PR/USVI EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...SPREADING ACROSS WESTERN PUERTO
RICO LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GOOD CHANCES FOR SHOWER
ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE ON THURSDAY AS LINGERING MOISTURE COINCIDES
WITH APPROACHING TUTT.

LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL DECREASE ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...BUT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CANT BE RULED OUT EACH AFTERNOON ACROSS
WESTERN PUERTO RICO DUE TO LOCAL EFFECTS AND DIURNAL HEATING.
MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AGAIN ON SUNDAY AS ANOTHER TROPICAL WAVE
MOVES OVER THE AREA. A GENERALLY FAIR AND MAINLY STABLE WEATHER
PATTERN IS THEN EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WORK WEEK AS A DRIER AIR MASS
MOVES IN BEHIND THE TROPICAL WAVE.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR XCP MVFR IN ISOLD/SCT SHRA NR TJSJ/TIST/TNCM/TKPK
BEFORE DAYBREAK. INCR SHRA/TSRA FM TROPICAL WV WL MV INTO LEEWARD
ISLANDS NXT FEW HRS AND USVI BY NOON...CONT INTO WED. WIND BLO
FL150 E 12-25 KT THRU WED.

&&

.MARINE...CHOPPY SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL AS A MODERATE TO
FRESH TRADE WIND FLOW DOMINATES THE LOCAL AREA. SEAS MAY INCREASE
ABOVE SCA CRITERIA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

&&

.CLIMATE...A RECORD RAINFALL OF 2.37 INCHES WAS SET AT SAN
JUAN/P.R. YESTERDAY. THIS BROKE THE OLD RECORD OF 1.68 SET IN
1951. ALSO...JUNE 2013 CURRENTLY RANKS AS THE 6TH WETTEST JUNE
ON RECORD AT THE SAN JUAN AREA WITH 9.71 INCHES ACCUMULATED SO
FAR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 86 76 86 77 / 40 60 60 60
STT 88 78 88 78 / 40 70 70 70

Deleted

Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Jun 25, 2013 13:30:50 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Jun 25, 2013 13:30:50 GMT -6

Tropical Wave arrives tonight bringing plenty of rain and with some gusts.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
245 PM AST TUE JUN 25 2013

.SYNOPSIS...A TUTT LOW JUST NORTH OF HISPANIOLA THIS AFTERNOON IS
EXPECTED TO MEANDER NORTH OF THE REGION FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE REGION IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN AN
EASTERLY TRADE WIND FLOW ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 63W THIS AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
OVER THE LOCAL ISLANDS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR DETECTED NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE USVI...VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND
ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON. THIS
ACTIVITY WAS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LEADING EDGE OF A TROPICAL WAVE
JUST ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN THIS AFTERNOON. THE ACTIVITY OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG CORDILLERA CENTRAL...WESTERN AND
INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO WAS ASSOCIATED WITH DAYTIME
HEATING IN COMBINATIONS WITH LOCAL ISLANDS EFFECTS.

LATEST SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE ANALYSIS THIS AFTERNOON DEPICTED
TWO TROPICAL WAVES MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN BASIN...ONE WAVE
ACROSS HISPANIOLA AND THE OTHER WAVE ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
ALONG 63W. THE TROPICAL WAVE ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. CLOUDINESS...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE WILL CONTINUE
TO INCREASE ACROSS THE USVI...VIEQUES AND CULEBRA THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT AND ACROSS PUERTO RICO TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE WAVE
WILL COMBINE WITH A TUTT LOW JUST NORTH OF HISPANIOLA TO INDUCE
THE DEVELOPMENT OF NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
AREA...ESPECIALLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS...REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND LIGHTNING
STRIKES CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE WAVE PASSAGE. THE GFS
MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE
WILL LINGER ACROSS THE REGION UNTIL AT LEAST THURSDAY. PWAT VALUES
TODAY WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO 1.5 INCHES...INCREASING TO 2.0 INCHES
OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE TONIGHT...WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. MOISTURE WILL
DECREASE AGAIN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH PWAT VALUES CLOSE TO 1.5
INCHES...WHEN A RETURN TO THE TYPICAL SUMMER TIME SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.AVIATION...SCATTERED MVFR CONDS WILL SPREAD WESTWARD FROM THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS AND TAF SITES TNCM AND TKPK THROUGH TIST AND TISX
BETWEEN NOW AND 25/23Z AND INTO PR BY 25/02Z. TJSJ HOWEVER MAY NOT
SEE MVFR BEFORE 26/10Z. MTN OBSCURATIONS WILL INCREASE AFT 26/02Z
AND BECOME WIDESPREAD AFT 26/12Z. LLVL WINDS EAST 10-25 KT UP TO 20
KFT. WINDS W 40-60 KT BTWN 40-50 KFT. SHRA AND TSRA WILL INCREASE
AFT 26/10Z ACROSS PUERTO RICO THROUGH 26/20Z.

&&

.MARINE...CHOPPY SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL AS A MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADE WIND FLOW DOMINATES THE LOCAL AREA. SEAS OF 6 FEET OR LESS
AND WINDS OF 20 KNOTS OR LESS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. MARINE
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
PASSAGE OF A TROPICAL WAVE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 77 86 77 86 / 60 60 60 70
STT 78 86 77 86 / 70 70 70 70

Deleted

Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Jun 26, 2013 3:57:37 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2013 3:57:37 GMT -6

Good morning. Scattered to numerous showers will affect PR today thru Thursday as a Tropical Wave moves thru.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
341 AM AST WED JUN 26 2013

.DISCUSSION...TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT 65W EXTENDING MAINLY SOUTH INTO
THE CARIBBEAN IS MOVING WEST WITH TRAILING LOW LEVEL SOUTHEAST
FLOW ALONG WITH 1000-700 MB THETA-E VALUES EXCEEDING 340K. SOON TO
INTERACT WITH IT IS THE TUTT UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED 26N/69W AS
SHOWN ON SATELLITE WATER VAPOR LOOP...WITH A TROUGH ROTATING
EASTWARD ON ITS SOUTH SIDE. GFS SHOWS SIGNIFICANT 250 MB
DIVERGENCE RESULTING BY 18Z TODAY BUT MAINLY EASTWARD FROM THE
USVI. GFS AND ECMWF APPEAR TO TAKE THE PRIMARY THETA-E CONVERGENCE
AND RESULTING QPF ACROSS THE AREA...MAINLY OVER PR/USVI THIS
AFTERNOON THOUGH AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE WILL BE AN ISSUE. CONSIDERED A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH BUT WIDESPREAD HEAVY CONVECTION WOULD BE
RELATIVELY BRIEF. FLOODING SHOULD BE RATHER LOCALIZED...MAINLY IN
URBAN/SMALL STREAM AREAS. GFS USUALLY HAS A TOUGH TIME LOCATING
THE AREA OF BEST UPPER DIVERGENCE BUT ITS SOLUTION LOOKS PRETTY
GOOD ATTM.

NEXT TROPICAL WAVE IS CURRENTLY JUST EAST OF 40W AND DUE HERE SAT
NIGHT/SUN. THE SAME TUTT UPPER LOW CURRENTLY NORTH-NORTHWEST OF
PR WILL HANG AROUND LONG ENOUGH TO INTERACT WITH THAT WAVE TOO BUT
THE TIMING DETAILS MAKE CURRENT ADJUSTMENTS DIFFICULT.

&&

.AVIATION...PERIODS OF MVFR OR EVEN IFR CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
AT PR AND USVI TAF SITES IN SHRA/TSRA AS TROPICAL WAVE MOVES ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS. SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL BE FOCUSED ACROSS EAST PR AND USVI
THIS MORNING...SPREADING ACROSS WEST PR DURING THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON HOURS. MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ANTICIPATED. PREVAILING VFR
CONDITIONS AT TKPK AND TNCM WITH PASSING SHOWERS POSSIBLE FROM TIME TO
TIME. LLVL WINDS SE 10-25 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS NEAR SHRA/TSRA.

&&

.CLIMATE...JUNE 2013 CURRENTLY RANKS AS THE 6TH WETTEST JUNE ON RECORD
AT THE SAN JUAN AREA WITH 10.01 INCHES ACCUMULATED SO FAR. JUNE 2011
REMAINS AS THE WETTEST JUNE ON RECORD WITH 13.60 INCHES.

&&

.MARINE...TRADE WINDS TO REMAIN MODERATE TO FRESH THIS WEEK WHICH
WILL LIKELY LIMIT SEAS TO 6 FT BUT THUNDERSTORMS NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS WILL CAUSE LOCALLY HIGHER CONDITIONS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 86 77 86 78 / 70 60 60 20
STT 86 77 86 78 / 70 70 70 20

Deleted

Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Jun 26, 2013 13:22:27 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2013 13:22:27 GMT -6

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
316 PM AST WED JUN 26 2013

PRC003-005-011-071-099-117-262115-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0163.130626T1916Z-130626T2115Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ANASCO PR-MOCA PR-RINCON PR-AGUADILLA PR-ISABELA PR-AGUADA PR-
316 PM AST WED JUN 26 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
ANASCO...MOCA...RINCON...AGUADILLA...ISABELA AND AGUADA

* UNTIL 515 PM AST

* AT 315 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THESE AREAS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH WILL LEAD TO URBAN FLOODING AND RISES ON SMALL
STREAMS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1849 6698 1839 6696 1839 6703 1834 6706
1828 6705 1826 6718 1836 6727 1842 6716
1849 6716 1852 6708

$$

KN
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
253 PM AST WED JUN 26 2013

PRC021-029-031-033-053-061-087-089-119-127-137-139-262200-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0162.130626T1853Z-130626T2200Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BAYAMON PR-CANOVANAS PR-GUAYNABO PR-SAN JUAN PR-TRUJILLO ALTO PR-
TOA BAJA PR-FAJARDO PR-CAROLINA PR-CATANO PR-LUQUILLO PR-
RIO GRANDE PR-LOIZA PR-
253 PM AST WED JUN 26 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BAYAMON...CANOVANAS...GUAYNABO...SAN JUAN...TRUJILLO ALTO...TOA
BAJA...FAJARDO...CAROLINA...CATANO...LUQUILLO...RIO GRANDE AND
LOIZA

* UNTIL 600 PM AST

* AT 253 PM AST...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED VERY HEAVY RAIN IN THE
ADVISORY AREA.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN
PORTIONS OF THE ADVISORY AREA.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1846 6617 1848 6612 1845 6602 1847 6599
1844 6583 1842 6581 1843 6579 1838 6570
1839 6562 1830 6562 1828 6568 1829 6569
1827 6570 1843 6622 1848 6621 1849 6618

$$

SNELL

Deleted

Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Jun 26, 2013 13:49:07 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2013 13:49:07 GMT -6

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
341 PM AST WED JUN 26 2013

PRC037-069-085-103-151-262245-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0164.130626T1941Z-130626T2245Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CEIBA PR-NAGUABO PR-LAS PIEDRAS PR-YABUCOA PR-HUMACAO PR-
341 PM AST WED JUN 26 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IN
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
CEIBA...NAGUABO...LAS PIEDRAS...YABUCOA AND HUMACAO

* UNTIL 645 PM AST

* AT 340 PM AST...TERMINAL DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THESE AREAS OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH WILL LEAD TO URBAN FLOODING AND RISES ON SMALL
STREAMS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1822 6566 1818 6573 1803 6584 1806 6595
1820 6589 1829 6579

$$

KN

Deleted

Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Jun 26, 2013 13:59:31 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2013 13:59:31 GMT -6

Tropical Wave will continue to bring scattered showers to PR tonight and Thursday. Next wave arrives on Sunday.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
258 PM AST WED JUN 26 2013

.SYNOPSIS...A TUTT LOW JUST NORTH OF PUERTO RICO THIS AFTERNOON IS
EXPECTED TO MEANDER NORTH OF THE REGION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE REGION IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN AN
EASTERLY TRADE WIND FLOW ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 67W THIS AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
WESTWARD TONIGHT OVER HISPANIOLA AND AWAY FROM THE LOCAL REGION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...THE TERMINAL DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR DETECTED
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS AND
THE SURROUNDING COASTAL WATERS...BUT SPECIALLY ACROSS THE
EASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...VIEQUES...CULEBRA AS WELL AS
ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON. THIS ACTIVITY WAS
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE REGION.

LATEST SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE ANALYSIS DEPICTED THE
TROPICAL WAVE AXIS JUST ACROSS EASTERN HISPANIOLA THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD TOWARD THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN ON THURSDAY. SATELLITE IMAGES DETECTED A LARGE AREA OF
CLOUDINESS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST CARIBBEAN BEHIND THE DEPARTURE WAVE. THIS ACTIVITY WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE LOCAL ISLANDS TONIGHT. GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
THAT THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE WILL LINGER ACROSS
THE REGION UNTIL AT LEAST THURSDAY. THUS...FOR THURSDAY THIS
LINGERING MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH A TUTT LOW JUST NORTH OF
PUERTO RICO...TO INDUCE THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS BUT MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN...INTERIOR AND NORTHWEST
PUERTO RICO. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...
GUSTY WINDS...REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL
BE POSSIBLE. PWAT VALUES FOR TONIGHT WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO 2.0
INCHES...DECREASING SLIGHTLY TO NEAR 1.80 BY THURSDAY AND CLOSE TO 1.60
BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...WHEN A RETURN TO THE TYPICAL SUMMER TIME
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED. ANOTHER
TROPICAL WAVE IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE REGION BY SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS REMAIN POSSIBLE AT PR AND
USVI TAF SITES IN SHRA/TSRA AS TROPICAL WAVE MOVES OUT OF PUERTO
RICO TOWARD THE WEST. SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL SPREADING ACROSS WEST PR
THIS AFTERNOON. MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 27/22Z.
PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS AT TKPK AND TNCM WITH PASSING SHOWERS AND
MVFR CONDS POSSIBLE THRU 27/22Z. LLVL WINDS ESE 10-25 KT WITH HIGHER
GUSTS NEAR SHRA/TSRA.

&&

.MARINE...TRADE WINDS TO REMAIN MODERATE TO FRESH THIS WEEK WHICH
WILL LIKELY LIMIT SEAS TO 6 FT BUT THUNDERSTORMS NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS WILL CAUSE LOCALLY HIGHER SEAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 77 86 77 87 / 50 60 40 40
STT 78 86 76 88 / 70 70 30 30

Deleted

Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Jun 27, 2013 4:14:56 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Jun 27, 2013 4:14:56 GMT -6

Good morning. Scattered showers will move thru PR today but diminuish by tonight. Next wave arrives by Saturday night bringing more showers.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
357 AM AST THU JUN 27 2013

.DISCUSSION...TUTT UPPER LOW 25N/66W TO DRIFT A LITTLE EAST TODAY
WHICH PLACES US UNDERNEATH NORTHWEST FLOW FROM 500 MB AND UP. BEST
RESULTING LIFT WILL BE WELL NORTHEAST...SOMETHING GFS HAS ANTICIPATED
WELL THIS WEEK. SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS HAVE REESTABLISHED
AT EASTERN PR AND ST. THOMAS...EXTENDING TOWARD NORTHWEST. THESE
COULD CONTINUE SPREADING SOME THIS MORNING BUT DRY AIR IS QUICKLY
APPROACHING FROM SOUTHEAST...ESPECIALLY IN 850-700 MB LAYER WHICH
WILL REDUCE THE NUMBER OF SHOWERS RELATIVE TO WED. ENOUGH MOISTURE
WILL LINGER ALONG WITH IMPROVING SUNSHINE TODAY TO GIVE ANOTHER
ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS TO NORTHWEST PR BUT LESS ACTIVITY ELSEWHERE.

NEXT TROPICAL WAVE CURRENTLY ABOUT 45W MOVING WEST 15 KT...TO
ARRIVE PR/USVI LATE SAT NIGHT/SUN MORNING. SO FAR IT LOOKS TO
BRING WITH IT ABOUT THE SAME AMOUNT OF PRECIPITABLE WATER BUT THE
TUTT WILL BE IN BETTER POSITION TO PROVIDE GOOD SHEAR AND KEEP THE
WAVE DISORGANIZED. LOW LEVEL THETA-E LOOKS A SHADE LOWER THAN THE
CURRENT EXITING WAVE. HOWEVER THE 250 MB JET MIGHT BE IN POSITION
TO CAUSE GOOD DIVERGENCE THAT LEVEL AND UPWARD MOTION FOR
DEVELOPING CONVECTION.

&&

.AVIATION...PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES
WITH A FEW PASSING SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND TKPK/TNCM...
TIST/TISX AND TJSJ THROUGH ABOUT 27/12Z. AFT 27/15Z...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA AND MAY
AFFECT TJMZ/TJBQ AND TJSJ. LLVL WINDS ESE 10-20 KT.

&&

.CLIMATE...JUNE 2013 CURRENTLY RANKS AS THE 5TH...10TH AND 11TH WETTEST
JUNE ON RECORD AT THE SAN JUAN AREA...CYRIL E. KING AIRPORT/IST AND
CHRISTIANSTED AIRPORT/ISX RESPECTIVELY. HERE ARE THE MONTHLY RECORDS
FOR THE MONTH OF JUNE.

SAN JUAN AREA | CYRIL E. KING AIRPORT/IST |CHRISTIANSTED AIRPORT/ISX

1) 2011 13.60" | 2010 9.51" | 1987 7.83"
2) 1902 12.22" | 1956 8.29" | 2011 7.31"
3) 1938 11.76" | 1983 6.97" | 2010 7.03"
4) 1965 10.96" | 2009 5.33" | 1979 6.34"
5) 2013 10.88" | 1973 5.00" | 1960 4.78"
6) 2009 10.37" | 1953 4.84" | 1953 4.76"
7) 1931 9.45" | 2005 4.83" | 1955 4.70"
8) 1958 9.32" | 1995 4.74" | 1988 4.58"
9) 1956 9.30" | 1960 4.72" | 1958 4.27"
10) 1970 9.26" | 2013 4.37" | 1995 4.25"
11) 2010 9.23" | 1988 4.35" | 2013 4.22"
12) 1932 8.98" | 1978 4.29" | 1956 4.18"

&&

.MARINE...MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE WILL RETREAT SLIGHTLY FARTHER NORTH...
FROM 30N TO 35N BY THE WEEKEND AND WILL KEEP MODERATE TO FRESH
TRADES AND SEAS 6 FT OR LESS FOR THE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 84 75 87 77 / 40 30 20 20
STT 87 78 88 79 / 30 20 20 30

Deleted

Posts: 0

Puerto Rico Weather Jun 27, 2013 10:34:50 GMT -6

Quote

Post by Deleted on Jun 27, 2013 10:34:50 GMT -6

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1128 AM AST THU JUN 27 2013

PRC003-005-013-017-027-039-054-065-071-081-091-099-115-117-131-141-
271830-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0166.130627T1528Z-130627T1830Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BARCELONETA PR-CIALES PR-FLORIDA PR-HATILLO PR-LARES PR-MANATI PR-
MOCA PR-UTUADO PR-SAN SEBASTIAN PR-ARECIBO PR-RINCON PR-AGUADILLA PR-
ISABELA PR-CAMUY PR-AGUADA PR-QUEBRADILLAS PR-
1128 AM AST THU JUN 27 2013

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BARCELONETA...CIALES...FLORIDA...HATILLO...LARES...MANATI...
MOCA...UTUADO...SAN SEBASTIAN...ARECIBO...RINCON...AGUADILLA...
ISABELA...CAMUY...AGUADA AND QUEBRADILLAS

* UNTIL 230 PM AST

* AT 1123 AM AST...TERMINAL DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE ADVISORY AREA. THESE AREAS OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH WILL LEAD TO URBAN FLOODING AND RISES ON SMALL
STREAMS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1852 6701 1849 6691 1850 6678 1848 6674
1850 6667 1849 6652 1828 6660 1835 6727
1839 6724 1842 6717 1847 6718 1852 6714

$$

FIGUEROA

Shoutbox

northshoreelise: not on the 12z... Oct 10, 2024 12:15:21 GMT -6

lencast: Really would appreciate it. Thank you, Lena Sept 27, 2024 5:20:46 GMT -6

lencast: I am in Jacksonville, and trying to drive back to New Orleans. Does anyone here know if the I-10 is passable in Lake City and Tallahassee. Sept 27, 2024 5:19:03 GMT -6

tcane: This sure looks like it dies quickly. maybe falling apart before metro New Orleans? Just looking at the lat dozen posts and images here. Sept 10, 2024 11:26:27 GMT -6

rebekahb-Metairie: Looks like it but I wait for the better trained eyes on the forum to respond. Sept 9, 2024 18:52:32 GMT -6

jdschlum-bedico/village of bo: Look further east than the 12z plots don’t it Sept 9, 2024 18:49:34 GMT -6

SKYSUMMIT: Oh sorry guys! I didn't eve see these new messages down here lol Jul 26, 2024 13:14:47 GMT -6

jenniqtip: Just as soon as* sry fat finger Jul 7, 2024 12:53:35 GMT -6

jenniqtip: I donate every year. 😀ju sry as soon as the first area of interest pops up!! I rarely post though so the tag isn’t necessary. Just know I appreciate everything you do!! Jul 7, 2024 12:53:12 GMT -6

larcat: SKYSUMMIT You can slap one on me

Jul 7, 2024 12:12:03 GMT -6

SKYSUMMIT: Thanks laismyhome ! Also, if there is anyone who has donated that has not been given the Supporter tag, please let us know. Jul 7, 2024 4:00:50 GMT -6

laismyhome: Here's a friendly reminder to go make a donation to support this forum that is so full of valuable reliable info. Link to donate is on homepage Jul 2, 2024 9:55:24 GMT -6

Deleted: Ernesto gonna mog hard.
I'm voting Alberto, Ernesto, Rafael and Deshawn Apr 1, 2024 19:15:21 GMT -6

SKYSUMMIT: ShanaBanana Yes...just click the link and then send a PM to either TIgergirl or myself. I can then shoot her a text letting her know and I'll add your supporter tag. THANK YOU!!!! Sept 23, 2023 16:08:37 GMT -6

ShanaBanana: At the risk of this being a dumb question. In order to donate, do I follow the instructions when I click “donate”, and then message tigergirl? I see people comment here that they donated, so I wasn’t sure if that had changed. Sept 20, 2023 10:54:40 GMT -6

SKYSUMMIT: Great to have you back! Sept 11, 2023 12:20:30 GMT -6

virginialee: Hi Skysummit: I was part of this back at the beginning. So happy to be back. Sept 8, 2023 5:08:12 GMT -6

SKYSUMMIT: Thanks to everyone who has recently donated! If I missed anyone and you still need a Supporter Tag, let me know. Sept 7, 2023 13:20:10 GMT -6

akeller11: Just donated Sept 6, 2023 11:11:36 GMT -6

SKYSUMMIT: Thanks guys and gals! You're very much appreciated! Aug 30, 2023 11:48:38 GMT -6

Puerto Rico Weather

Post by Deleted on Jun 23, 2013 4:13:36 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Jun 23, 2013 13:35:34 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Jun 24, 2013 4:21:30 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Jun 24, 2013 9:31:38 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Jun 24, 2013 11:23:28 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Jun 24, 2013 12:40:27 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Jun 24, 2013 13:27:25 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Jun 25, 2013 4:23:21 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Jun 25, 2013 13:30:50 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2013 3:57:37 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2013 13:22:27 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2013 13:49:07 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Jun 26, 2013 13:59:31 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Jun 27, 2013 4:14:56 GMT -6

Post by Deleted on Jun 27, 2013 10:34:50 GMT -6

Shoutbox

Welcome All Members & Guests

Supporter Us & Donate for the 2024 Season

Hurricane Season 2024

Tropical Outlook

Regional Radars

Today's Convective Outlook

Today's Weather

Watches and Warnings