Multi Day SVR WX - Discussion from the Plains to Dixie Alley

Nice rock thrower near Memphis TX

Storm near Wellington just blew up

New Orleans HWO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
512 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-241400-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO STAKE ISLAND LA FROM 20 TO
60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-
WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-
EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
512 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. THE FOG
COULD BECOME LOCALLY DENSE.

RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER PEARL RIVER AND
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT RED RIVER LANDING. REFER TO THE LATEST
RIVER FLOOD STATEMENTS FOR MORE DETAILS.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

RIVER FLOODING WILL BE ONGOING ON THE PEARL RIVER AND PORTIONS OF
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER DURING THE OUTLOOK PERIOD. REFER TO THE
LATEST RIVER FLOOD STATEMENTS FOR MORE DETAILS.

CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA STARTING MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
THIS POTENTIAL WEATHER EVENT IS STILL SEVERAL DAYS AWAY...AND THE
TIMING AND IMPACTS WILL LIKELY BE ADJUSTED IN LATER FORECASTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

Well the GFS just jumped onto the big time severe event for Monday. It's showing surface dew points near or over 70 degrees and a low level jet roaring out of the SSW. Mississippi looks like it's in the bullseye right now, but that threat will be spreading eastward into Monday evening and overnight hours.

I find this system resembles the April 14-16, 2011 event. Beginning across the Southern Plains and progressing eastward in time.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
651 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0640 PM TSTM WND GST RETROP 35.16N 99.36W
04/23/2014 M62 MPH BECKHAM OK MESONET


&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
713 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0704 PM HAIL 4 NE LAKE KEMP 33.79N 99.18W
04/23/2014 E1.75 INCH BAYLOR TX TRAINED SPOTTER


&&

I know Matt Phelps
  he's  good