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SKYSUMMIT President \| Director of Operations Administrator Posts - 59,604 Likes - 9,209 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	The Historic Flood of 2016: 8/8 to 8/19 Aug 4, 2016 12:42:32 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 4, 2016 12:42:32 GMT -6 12z ECMWF is still at it:

Siker Category 3 Posts - 753 Likes - 325 Social: - Twitter	The Historic Flood of 2016: 8/8 to 8/19 Aug 4, 2016 12:45:17 GMT -6 via mobile saltmama likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Siker on Aug 4, 2016 12:45:17 GMT -6 Latest Euro develops this into a tropical storm south of Mobile at 144 hours, sends it inland at Florabama around 168 hours at 1003mb. Will post rainfall maps when the run ends.
	Last Edit: Aug 4, 2016 12:46:46 GMT -6 by Siker

Siker Category 3 Posts - 753 Likes - 325 Social: - Twitter	The Historic Flood of 2016: 8/8 to 8/19 Aug 4, 2016 13:09:15 GMT -6 saltmama likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Siker on Aug 4, 2016 13:09:15 GMT -6

weatherboyy Category 5 Posts - 1,308 Likes - 270 Social: - YouTube	The Historic Flood of 2016: 8/8 to 8/19 Aug 4, 2016 14:03:48 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by weatherboyy on Aug 4, 2016 14:03:48 GMT -6 12z uk
	Last Edit: Aug 4, 2016 14:03:55 GMT -6 by weatherboyy weather geeks i don't really talk much I post image

cajungal Category 5 Posts - 2,909 Likes - 1,062	The Historic Flood of 2016: 8/8 to 8/19 Aug 4, 2016 14:24:55 GMT -6 via mobile Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by cajungal on Aug 4, 2016 14:24:55 GMT -6 Well at least all the rain will be well to our east unless it dramatically shifts west.
	60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

DYLAN FEDERICO GCWX Supporter Meteorologist Posts - 17,499 Likes - 3,447 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	The Historic Flood of 2016: 8/8 to 8/19 Aug 4, 2016 17:01:54 GMT -6 weatherboyy likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by DYLAN FEDERICO on Aug 4, 2016 17:01:54 GMT -6 The 12z ECMWF is showing wind gusts offshore approaching 70mph with this system. It has appeared to have trended a little bit stronger with it too.
	Twitter: @dylanfedericowx Facebook: Meteorologist Dylan Federico WTVM Meteorologist

CajunWX GCWX Supporter Posts - 8,230 Likes - 2,651 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	The Historic Flood of 2016: 8/8 to 8/19 Aug 4, 2016 20:01:32 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by CajunWX on Aug 4, 2016 20:01:32 GMT -6

gulfbreeze Category 2 Posts - 500 Likes - 87	The Historic Flood of 2016: 8/8 to 8/19 Aug 4, 2016 22:32:04 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by gulfbreeze on Aug 4, 2016 22:32:04 GMT -6 Aug 4, 2016 14:24:55 GMT -6 cajungal said: Well at least all the rain will be well to our east unless it dramatically shifts west. Cajungal, it is not expected to drift west, correct?
	Not a professional forecast by any means and should not be viewed as such - just my opinion. Audrey'57, Carla'61 Hilda'64, Betsy'65, Edith'71, Carmen'74, Danny'85, Juan'85, Andrew'92, Iniki'92 (while on vacation in Kauai), Lili'02, Rita'05, Gustav'08, Ike'08, No-Name'16, Harvey'17, Barry'19.

SKYSUMMIT
President | Director of Operations Administrator

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The Historic Flood of 2016: 8/8 to 8/19 Aug 4, 2016 23:29:37 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 4, 2016 23:29:37 GMT -6

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI AUG 5 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Earl, located over eastern Mexico.

A trough of low pressure is expected to form over the northeastern
Gulf of Mexico late in the weekend or early next week. Some
subsequent development of this system is possible as it remains
nearly stationary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

CajunWX GCWX Supporter Posts - 8,230 Likes - 2,651 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	The Historic Flood of 2016: 8/8 to 8/19 Aug 4, 2016 23:31:55 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by CajunWX on Aug 4, 2016 23:31:55 GMT -6

Siker
Category 3

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The Historic Flood of 2016: 8/8 to 8/19 Aug 4, 2016 23:50:51 GMT -6 via mobile DYLAN FEDERICO likes this

Post by Siker on Aug 4, 2016 23:50:51 GMT -6

Text output from the 00z UKMET indicates a "STRONG" storm off of the panhandle (if someone knows what WEAK, MODERATE, STRONG, etc. translate to or could link me to a text product with pressure / wind data, that would be great).

DYLAN FEDERICO GCWX Supporter Meteorologist Posts - 17,499 Likes - 3,447 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	The Historic Flood of 2016: 8/8 to 8/19 Aug 4, 2016 23:53:27 GMT -6 via mobile Siker likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by DYLAN FEDERICO on Aug 4, 2016 23:53:27 GMT -6 The question is, how offshore does it get? The further offshore it goes the stronger it could be, probably why the UKMET blows it up.
	Twitter: @dylanfedericowx Facebook: Meteorologist Dylan Federico WTVM Meteorologist

Siker
Category 3

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The Historic Flood of 2016: 8/8 to 8/19 Aug 4, 2016 23:55:36 GMT -6 via mobile DYLAN FEDERICO likes this

Post by Siker on Aug 4, 2016 23:55:36 GMT -6

I found the pressure data, it's near the bottom of this page:

meteora.ucsd.edu/weather/climate/western_atlantic.current

I can't copy and paste from if for some reason but the final point is 969mb / 72kt winds.

DYLAN FEDERICO
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The Historic Flood of 2016: 8/8 to 8/19 Aug 5, 2016 0:12:03 GMT -6 via mobile

Post by DYLAN FEDERICO on Aug 5, 2016 0:12:03 GMT -6

Aug 4, 2016 23:55:36 GMT -6 Siker said:

I found the pressure data, it's near the bottom of this page:

meteora.ucsd.edu/weather/climate/western_atlantic.current

I can't copy and paste from if for some reason but the final point is 969mb / 72kt winds.

Wow! That would be nasty!

Twitter: @dylanfedericowx
Facebook: Meteorologist Dylan Federico
WTVM Meteorologist

Siker Category 3 Posts - 753 Likes - 325 Social: - Twitter	The Historic Flood of 2016: 8/8 to 8/19 Aug 5, 2016 0:29:55 GMT -6 via mobile Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Siker on Aug 5, 2016 0:29:55 GMT -6 00z Euro keeps this inland over the Big Bend region.

The Historic Flood of 2016: 8/8 to 8/19

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 4, 2016 12:42:32 GMT -6

Post by Siker on Aug 4, 2016 12:45:17 GMT -6

Post by Siker on Aug 4, 2016 13:09:15 GMT -6

Post by weatherboyy on Aug 4, 2016 14:03:48 GMT -6

Post by cajungal on Aug 4, 2016 14:24:55 GMT -6

Post by DYLAN FEDERICO on Aug 4, 2016 17:01:54 GMT -6

Post by CajunWX on Aug 4, 2016 20:01:32 GMT -6

Post by gulfbreeze on Aug 4, 2016 22:32:04 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Aug 4, 2016 23:29:37 GMT -6

Post by CajunWX on Aug 4, 2016 23:31:55 GMT -6

Post by Siker on Aug 4, 2016 23:50:51 GMT -6

Post by DYLAN FEDERICO on Aug 4, 2016 23:53:27 GMT -6

Post by Siker on Aug 4, 2016 23:55:36 GMT -6

Post by DYLAN FEDERICO on Aug 5, 2016 0:12:03 GMT -6

Post by Siker on Aug 5, 2016 0:29:55 GMT -6

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