Post by DYLAN FEDERICO on Aug 13, 2017 20:52:59 GMT -6
Been really busy.
I can't go into detail at the moment but this is looking like a major player down the line. 91L is still far away & I would like to see more consistency from the models but from what I have seen so far is great cause for concern.
91L is a very large complex so latter development is more likely than over the next couple of days...maybe even toward next weekend. This would likely mean a more west track in the long run as the UKMET and EURO have been indicating.
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Aug 14 2017
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gert, located several hundred miles west-southwest of Bermuda.
A large and complex area of disturbed weather to the south and southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is associated with a broad trough of low pressure and a tropical wave. These systems are forecast to merge during the next day or two, and environmental conditions are then expected to be conducive for development of this disturbance later this week while it moves westward at about 15 mph over the tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.