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chloe06 GCWX Supporter Posts - 1,131 Likes - 194	Nate Discussion Thread Oct 3, 2017 4:26:10 GMT -6 via the ProBoards App Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by chloe06 on Oct 3, 2017 4:26:10 GMT -6 Well, Dylan did say we needed to watch this one! That GFS will probably catch some attention this morning. Did the Euro pick up on anything?

cajungal Category 5 Online Posts - 2,913 Likes - 1,063	Nate Discussion Thread Oct 3, 2017 4:55:29 GMT -6 via mobile Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by cajungal on Oct 3, 2017 4:55:29 GMT -6 Still looks like it will go east of us.
	60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

chloe06 GCWX Supporter Posts - 1,131 Likes - 194	Nate Discussion Thread Oct 3, 2017 5:12:54 GMT -6 via the ProBoards App Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by chloe06 on Oct 3, 2017 5:12:54 GMT -6 Oct 3, 2017 4:55:29 GMT -6 cajungal said: Still looks like it will go east of us. Even though the GFS takes it to Louisiana?

coffeecups GCWX Supporter Posts - 812 Likes - 242	Nate Discussion Thread Oct 3, 2017 5:21:05 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by coffeecups on Oct 3, 2017 5:21:05 GMT -6 It seems that all that rain we had came from that disturbance by Florida. Is that disturbance going to interact with the system by the Yucatan?

cajungal
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Nate Discussion Thread Oct 3, 2017 5:27:03 GMT -6 via mobile

Post by cajungal on Oct 3, 2017 5:27:03 GMT -6

Oct 3, 2017 5:12:54 GMT -6 chloe06 said:

Oct 3, 2017 4:55:29 GMT -6 cajungal said:

Still looks like it will go east of us.

Even though the GFS takes it to Louisiana?

When I looked at the latest models, it looks to track east of Louisiana. Looks to be just mainly a rain maker anyway.

60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

SKYSUMMIT
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Nate Discussion Thread Oct 3, 2017 6:11:05 GMT -6 chloe06 likes this

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Oct 3, 2017 6:11:05 GMT -6

Oct 3, 2017 5:27:03 GMT -6 cajungal said:

Oct 3, 2017 5:12:54 GMT -6 chloe06 said:

Even though the GFS takes it to Louisiana?

When I looked at the latest models, it looks to track east of Louisiana. Looks to be just mainly a rain maker anyway.

I think what chloe06 is referring to is that Plaquemines Parish is part of Louisiana.

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Nate Discussion Thread Oct 3, 2017 6:51:03 GMT -6 via mobile

Post by cajungal on Oct 3, 2017 6:51:03 GMT -6

Oct 3, 2017 6:11:05 GMT -6 SKYSUMMIT said:

Oct 3, 2017 5:27:03 GMT -6 cajungal said:

When I looked at the latest models, it looks to track east of Louisiana. Looks to be just mainly a rain maker anyway.

I think what chloe06 is referring to is that Plaquemines Parish is part of Louisiana.

Ok sorry. I thought it looked more like MS. My 3 year old woke me up at 4 a.m. and was still half asleep.

60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

Zack Fradella Chairman \| Founder Administrator Posts - 6,250 Likes - 3,175 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Nate Discussion Thread Oct 3, 2017 6:55:13 GMT -6 HarahanTim - Now in Covington!, SKYSUMMIT, and 7 more like this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Zack Fradella on Oct 3, 2017 6:55:13 GMT -6 After what transpired with Harvey, I would caution anyone that says it just looks like rainmaker.
	Zack Fradella Meteorologist StormCast - Gulf Coast Founder For Regular Weather Updates Like Me On Facebook Meteorologist Zack Fradella Follow me on Twitter & Instagram @zackfradellawx

roz
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Nate Discussion Thread Oct 3, 2017 7:08:59 GMT -6 justin likes this

Post by roz on Oct 3, 2017 7:08:59 GMT -6

Both the models below were showing a Florida landfall on yesterday's 12z run and both have shifted west on their 00z runs. Models may change, but since it is still a little early to tell what will transpire, it's best to keep a watchful eye.

<<<10/03 00z UKMET

<<<10/03 00z EURO hrs 144-168

wave82
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Nate Discussion Thread Oct 3, 2017 8:00:02 GMT -6

Post by wave82 on Oct 3, 2017 8:00:02 GMT -6

Big fan and follower since the WWL forum days so please excuse me if this is a dumb question is anything that develops going to be the type of system where all the moisture is on one side or more like a classic tropical system and are conditions in the gulf forecasted to be favorable for major strenghthing? I understand it doesn’t have to be a hurricane or even a tropical storm to drop a lot of rain and cause major problems like what happened with flooding in 2016. Again thanks for all the valuable information all the experts on this board provides.

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Nate Discussion Thread Oct 3, 2017 8:16:25 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Oct 3, 2017 8:16:25 GMT -6

Oct 3, 2017 8:00:02 GMT -6 wave82 said:

Big fan and follower since the WWL forum days so please excuse me if this is a dumb question is anything that develops going to be the type of system where all the moisture is on one side or more like a classic tropical system and are conditions in the gulf forecasted to be favorable for major strenghthing? I understand it doesn’t have to be a hurricane or even a tropical storm to drop a lot of rain and cause major problems like what happened with flooding in 2016. Again thanks for all the valuable information all the experts on this board provides.

Upper level conditions don't look all that bad during the time frame. The good thing is it should be moving rather quickly. It won't be one of those slow movers that just sit over an area. Welcome...glad to have you

HarahanTim - Now in Covington! Director of Public Relations Moderator Posts - 3,920 Likes - 2,233	Nate Discussion Thread Oct 3, 2017 9:16:10 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by HarahanTim - Now in Covington! on Oct 3, 2017 9:16:10 GMT -6
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HarahanTim - Now in Covington! Director of Public Relations Moderator Posts - 3,920 Likes - 2,233	Nate Discussion Thread Oct 3, 2017 9:58:55 GMT -6 roz and southernchelle like this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by HarahanTim - Now in Covington! on Oct 3, 2017 9:58:55 GMT -6 The 12z GFS run, may raise a few eyebrows.
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Zack Fradella Chairman \| Founder Administrator Posts - 6,250 Likes - 3,175 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	Nate Discussion Thread Oct 3, 2017 10:00:58 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Zack Fradella on Oct 3, 2017 10:00:58 GMT -6 12z GFS looks like a SE LA hurricane hit.
	Zack Fradella Meteorologist StormCast - Gulf Coast Founder For Regular Weather Updates Like Me On Facebook Meteorologist Zack Fradella Follow me on Twitter & Instagram @zackfradellawx

roz GCWX Supporter Posts - 974 Likes - 187	Nate Discussion Thread Oct 3, 2017 10:04:16 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by roz on Oct 3, 2017 10:04:16 GMT -6

Nate Discussion Thread

Post by chloe06 on Oct 3, 2017 4:26:10 GMT -6

Post by cajungal on Oct 3, 2017 4:55:29 GMT -6

Post by chloe06 on Oct 3, 2017 5:12:54 GMT -6

Post by coffeecups on Oct 3, 2017 5:21:05 GMT -6

Post by cajungal on Oct 3, 2017 5:27:03 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Oct 3, 2017 6:11:05 GMT -6

Post by cajungal on Oct 3, 2017 6:51:03 GMT -6

Post by Zack Fradella on Oct 3, 2017 6:55:13 GMT -6

Post by roz on Oct 3, 2017 7:08:59 GMT -6

Post by wave82 on Oct 3, 2017 8:00:02 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Oct 3, 2017 8:16:25 GMT -6

Post by HarahanTim - Now in Covington! on Oct 3, 2017 9:16:10 GMT -6

Post by HarahanTim - Now in Covington! on Oct 3, 2017 9:58:55 GMT -6

Post by Zack Fradella on Oct 3, 2017 10:00:58 GMT -6

Post by roz on Oct 3, 2017 10:04:16 GMT -6

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