Post by grisairgasm on Aug 18, 2020 16:04:38 GMT -6
What an early expected mess. My takeaway looking at the graphic suggests the vast majority put both 97 and 98L in the Gulf ranging from Campeche to the W coast of the Florida peninsula. Not all but most .
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Post by grisairgasm on Aug 18, 2020 16:13:53 GMT -6
I can only hope that they somewhat cancel each other due to proximity if it comes to fruition . They don’t look large or exactly close enough for the Fujiwara effect however it is 2020. What a bizarre one two theoretical punch.
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Again, the GFS doesn't do much, but looks like it tries to get 98L going just before reaching Florida, turning north around the periphery of a weakening ridge. How many more model runs we have? LOL....nothing else to do right?
Post by grisairgasm on Aug 18, 2020 16:21:33 GMT -6
Just complete fun or misery to watch. We all fit in between there somewhere. Could this be another 2 storms that struggle until their demise? Always possible.
Post by grisairgasm on Aug 18, 2020 20:57:43 GMT -6
That’s a mighty tight model consensus this far out. That in itself is interesting. However, history shows time and again that being the “spot” 6-7 days out is the best place to be. It more than likely will not be there a week down the road. That being said, NHC is just nailing tracks these days.
I don't think I've seen a Fujiwara effect in the Gulf before. But the Icon does it and absolutely bombs out 98L into a 943mb Cat 4 heading straight into the Big Bend area.
Last Edit: Aug 18, 2020 22:34:15 GMT -6 by bstelly18
00z guidance show no gom so we safe time to move on now 
now direction of NOla
