MAJOR HURRICANE LAURA Discussion Thread

What an early expected mess. My takeaway looking at the graphic suggests the vast majority put both 97 and 98L in the Gulf ranging from Campeche to the W coast of the Florida peninsula. Not all but most .

I will also keep in mind that a storm will go E,W or across the Florida peninsula. An extremely rare event to have a storm run up the entire spine.

Again, the GFS doesn't do much, but looks like it tries to get 98L going just before reaching Florida, turning north around the periphery of a weakening ridge. How many more model runs we have? LOL....nothing else to do right?

00z guidance show no gom so we safe time to move on now

You're going to trust models 6 days out from even reaching Florida?

That’s a mighty tight model consensus this far out. That in itself is interesting. However, history shows time and again that being the “spot” 6-7 days out is the best place to be. It more than likely will not be there a week down the road. That being said, NHC is just nailing tracks these days.