HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread

grisairgasm
GCWX Supporter

Posts: 5,438

HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:21:39 GMT -6 cajungal, klstiger, and 7 more like this

Post by grisairgasm on Sept 13, 2020 16:21:39 GMT -6

Zack, having 1000 people bitching at a nightmare forecast is far better than the feeling of 1 person who can’t because they drowned. Anytime you forecast responsibly within the NHC cone is always correct. You’ll be one of the first nowcasters proclaiming a turn if it happens earlier. The absolute most important and difficult thing to do is tell a fatigued population something they don’t want to hear. Remember the 1900 Galveston “Isaac’s storm? The last thing that will ever happen is “Zack’s storm”. We feel your pain. Just do your thing and everybody here gets it.

loogaroo GCWX Supporter Posts: 671	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:23:04 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by loogaroo on Sept 13, 2020 16:23:04 GMT -6 Big blowup on sat now. www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=19L&product=vis

shonsu - Napoleonville
GCWX Supporter

Posts: 204

HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:24:31 GMT -6

Post by shonsu - Napoleonville on Sept 13, 2020 16:24:31 GMT -6

Sept 13, 2020 16:16:30 GMT -6 loogaroo said:

Thought I got banned or something lol.

Anyway...Weird looking current sat loop. It looks like she ejected a mid-level circulation and then storms started building over the low level circulation.

www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=19L&product=vis

Just looks like a swirl to me.

lightningstruck-Bogalusa GCWX Supporter Posts: 576	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:25:44 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by lightningstruck-Bogalusa on Sept 13, 2020 16:25:44 GMT -6 Question: People are mentioning that Sally could go into land in Mississippi. Is there anything official suggesting this?
	Sometimes I wonder who I was before the lightning struck and I was no more. NWS Skywarn Storm Spotter

cajungal
Category 5

Posts: 5,100

HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:26:09 GMT -6 via mobile litigator likes this

Post by cajungal on Sept 13, 2020 16:26:09 GMT -6

Sept 13, 2020 16:21:39 GMT -6 grisairgasm said:

Zack, having 1000 people bitching at a nightmare forecast is far better than the feeling of 1 person who can’t because they drowned. Anytime you forecast responsibly within the NHC cone is always correct. You’ll be one of the first nowcasters proclaiming a turn if it happens earlier. The absolute most important and difficult thing to do is tell a fatigued population something they don’t want to hear. Remember the 1900 Galveston “Isaac’s storm? The last thing that will ever happen is “Zack’s storm”. We feel your pain. Just do your thing and everybody here gets it.

I understand people are nervous. But they didn’t need to be rude. One even said stop the fear. He is stating facts is all

60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

nolacane90
Category 1

Posts: 238

HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:26:28 GMT -6 via mobile Jess23 and datnolagal like this

Post by nolacane90 on Sept 13, 2020 16:26:28 GMT -6

Sept 13, 2020 16:25:44 GMT -6 lightningstruck-Bogalusa said:

Question: People are mentioning that Sally could go into land in Mississippi. Is there anything official suggesting this?

Follow the NHC track. The storm could do a lot of things. New track/update comes out at 6pm

Last Edit: Sept 13, 2020 16:27:43 GMT -6 by nolacane90

nolanana GCWX Supporter Posts: 119	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:27:37 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by nolanana on Sept 13, 2020 16:27:37 GMT -6 Thought I lost y'all --- was freaking out!!

RadikulDude Tropical Storm Posts: 68	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:28:03 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by RadikulDude on Sept 13, 2020 16:28:03 GMT -6 Latest Sat images looks like lightning diminishing... usually a sign strengthening paused I believe. Any METS care to share their knowledge about this?

cajungal Category 5 Posts: 5,100	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:28:06 GMT -6 via mobile Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by cajungal on Sept 13, 2020 16:28:06 GMT -6 Now waiting to see if Euro will also shift East like the others. Last run it was in Lafourche
	60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

nolacane90 Category 1 Posts: 238	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:28:30 GMT -6 via mobile ju likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by nolacane90 on Sept 13, 2020 16:28:30 GMT -6 Recon is headed back out to Sally now!!

charitymike-Bridge City WB
GCWX Supporter

Posts: 373

HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:28:56 GMT -6 via mobile NavyMom: WBR Parish likes this

Post by charitymike-Bridge City WB on Sept 13, 2020 16:28:56 GMT -6

Sept 13, 2020 16:21:39 GMT -6 grisairgasm said:

Zack, having 1000 people bitching at a nightmare forecast is far better than the feeling of 1 person who can’t because they drowned. Anytime you forecast responsibly within the NHC cone is always correct. You’ll be one of the first nowcasters proclaiming a turn if it happens earlier. The absolute most important and difficult thing to do is tell a fatigued population something they don’t want to hear. Remember the 1900 Galveston “Isaac’s storm? The last thing that will ever happen is “Zack’s storm”. We feel your pain. Just do your thing and everybody here gets it.

Interested to know what you are reffering to. Did Zack post something before the thread got deleted?

klstiger
GCWX Supporter

Posts: 437

HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:29:28 GMT -6 via mobile

Post by klstiger on Sept 13, 2020 16:29:28 GMT -6

Sept 13, 2020 16:26:09 GMT -6 cajungal said:

Sept 13, 2020 16:21:39 GMT -6 grisairgasm said:

Zack, having 1000 people bitching at a nightmare forecast is far better than the feeling of 1 person who can’t because they drowned. Anytime you forecast responsibly within the NHC cone is always correct. You’ll be one of the first nowcasters proclaiming a turn if it happens earlier. The absolute most important and difficult thing to do is tell a fatigued population something they don’t want to hear. Remember the 1900 Galveston “Isaac’s storm? The last thing that will ever happen is “Zack’s storm”. We feel your pain. Just do your thing and everybody here gets it.

I understand people are nervous. But they didn’t need to be rude. One even said stop the fear. He is stating facts is all

Yea I had to comment on that fb post

Geaux Tigers

weatherboyy Category 5 Posts: 2,413	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:29:31 GMT -6 litigator likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by weatherboyy on Sept 13, 2020 16:29:31 GMT -6 about time for HWRF yep
	weather geeks i don't really talk much I post image

nolasim Moderator Posts: 5,930 Staff Member	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:29:46 GMT -6 geo2 - Bush/Waldheim Metroplex likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by nolasim on Sept 13, 2020 16:29:46 GMT -6 GFS for the first time is showing that 90 mph intensity upon landfall.
	"Let's work the problem, people; don't make things worse by guessing!" Gene Krantz, Flight Director, Apollo 13

mesabassman GCWX Supporter Posts: 213	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:30:33 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by mesabassman on Sept 13, 2020 16:30:33 GMT -6 Is that ULL in the western gulf having any effect on this storm? Time to take Zach and Scott out for dinner after all these years and gain some real weather knowledge!
	"Weather fanatic that's been around since the classic WWL forum days" www.acefasteners.com

HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread

Post by grisairgasm on Sept 13, 2020 16:21:39 GMT -6

Post by loogaroo on Sept 13, 2020 16:23:04 GMT -6

Post by shonsu - Napoleonville on Sept 13, 2020 16:24:31 GMT -6

Post by lightningstruck-Bogalusa on Sept 13, 2020 16:25:44 GMT -6

Post by cajungal on Sept 13, 2020 16:26:09 GMT -6

Post by nolacane90 on Sept 13, 2020 16:26:28 GMT -6

Post by nolanana on Sept 13, 2020 16:27:37 GMT -6

Post by RadikulDude on Sept 13, 2020 16:28:03 GMT -6

Post by cajungal on Sept 13, 2020 16:28:06 GMT -6

Post by nolacane90 on Sept 13, 2020 16:28:30 GMT -6

Post by charitymike-Bridge City WB on Sept 13, 2020 16:28:56 GMT -6

Post by klstiger on Sept 13, 2020 16:29:28 GMT -6

Post by weatherboyy on Sept 13, 2020 16:29:31 GMT -6

Post by nolasim on Sept 13, 2020 16:29:46 GMT -6

Post by mesabassman on Sept 13, 2020 16:30:33 GMT -6

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