HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread

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lilspud GCWX Supporter Posts - 524 Likes - 381	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:51:44 GMT -6 klstiger likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by lilspud on Sept 13, 2020 16:51:44 GMT -6 HMON says Alabama/Mississippi coast with almost no rain at all in SE Louisiana.

optimist GCWX Supporter Posts - 461 Likes - 267	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:52:58 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by optimist on Sept 13, 2020 16:52:58 GMT -6

harpman GCWX Supporter Posts - 5,568 Likes - 3,113	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:53:12 GMT -6 via mobile Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by harpman on Sept 13, 2020 16:53:12 GMT -6 Chris Franklin just said dry air may stay with this storm.
	Blowin' harp!

southernbelle Category 3 Posts - 658 Likes - 108	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:53:36 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by southernbelle on Sept 13, 2020 16:53:36 GMT -6 It looks to me like they are initializing a little too far north!!

SKYSUMMIT President \| Director of Operations Administrator Posts - 63,213 Likes - 13,252 Social: - Facebook, Twitter	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:54:06 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 13, 2020 16:54:06 GMT -6 18z HWRF stronger than the 12z and maybe just SLIGHTLY west, but still looks to be heading toward the MGC, but between hours 18-24, moving just north of due west.
	Last Edit: Sept 13, 2020 16:54:59 GMT -6 by SKYSUMMIT Freezing Days for Winter 21/22: TBD Freezing Days for Winter 20/21: 24 Wunderground ID: KLAPONCH50 - Downtown Ponchatoula NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-22

lilspud GCWX Supporter Posts - 524 Likes - 381	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:58:44 GMT -6 Will - Ascension Parish likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by lilspud on Sept 13, 2020 16:58:44 GMT -6 Did the HWRF just stall the storm at 29N 88W?

prairievilledog Category 2 Posts - 560 Likes - 439	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:58:49 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by prairievilledog on Sept 13, 2020 16:58:49 GMT -6 HWRF much, much stronger. Scary stronger.

Will - Ascension Parish GCWX Supporter Posts - 2,332 Likes - 2,450	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:58:57 GMT -6 via mobile Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Sept 13, 2020 16:58:57 GMT -6 Stationary at hours 27-30! It looks to start turning northwest at that point and toward the LA/MS border.
	Last Edit: Sept 13, 2020 17:02:05 GMT -6 by Will - Ascension Parish

Mike Naso Official Contributor Posts - 1,001 Likes - 1,104 Social: - YouTube	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:59:40 GMT -6 weatherman518 and Bayou Medic like this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Mike Naso on Sept 13, 2020 16:59:40 GMT -6 I expect slight strengthening tonight and quicker intensification tomorrow.

prairievilledog Category 2 Posts - 560 Likes - 439	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 16:59:46 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by prairievilledog on Sept 13, 2020 16:59:46 GMT -6 Noticed that stall also but just could be a glitch in the track model. Have to wait for the next point to load.

lilspud GCWX Supporter Posts - 524 Likes - 381	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 17:00:20 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by lilspud on Sept 13, 2020 17:00:20 GMT -6 Sept 13, 2020 16:58:57 GMT -6 Will - Ascension Parish said: Stationary at hours 27-30! I’d bet the northward turn starts after that at that point. Wasn't the early theory the stronger the storm the further east it would go?

mesabassman GCWX Supporter Posts - 211 Likes - 66	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 17:01:21 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by mesabassman on Sept 13, 2020 17:01:21 GMT -6 Looks like the GFS shifted East toward the MGC as well. Between hours 27 and 30 HWRF seems to have her stationary?
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HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 17:04:09 GMT -6 via mobile Mike Naso, weatherman518, and 9 more like this

Post by Zack Fradella on Sept 13, 2020 17:04:09 GMT -6

Seems like a pause on the HWRF, then it resumes its WNW motion.

All models trending stronger, could get a Cat 2 after all. Not exactly a fan of a bombing storm right there.

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mesabassman
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HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 17:04:58 GMT -6 nolasim, RowBear, and 4 more like this

Post by mesabassman on Sept 13, 2020 17:04:58 GMT -6

I would not put my guard down until this thing comes ashore... Pay attention to the NHC. I love watching all of this stuff because it is fascinating, but the NHC is the real deal along with our mets here and the ones in town.

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Cheshire Cat
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HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 17:05:57 GMT -6 mesabassman, RowBear, and 1 more like this

Post by Cheshire Cat on Sept 13, 2020 17:05:57 GMT -6

Sept 13, 2020 17:01:21 GMT -6 mesabassman said:

Looks like the GFS shifted East toward the MGC as well. Between hours 27 and 30 HWRF seems to have her stationary?

Ain't over till the fat lady, Sally, sings

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HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread

Post by lilspud on Sept 13, 2020 16:51:44 GMT -6

Post by optimist on Sept 13, 2020 16:52:58 GMT -6

Post by harpman on Sept 13, 2020 16:53:12 GMT -6

Post by southernbelle on Sept 13, 2020 16:53:36 GMT -6

Post by SKYSUMMIT on Sept 13, 2020 16:54:06 GMT -6

Post by lilspud on Sept 13, 2020 16:58:44 GMT -6

Post by prairievilledog on Sept 13, 2020 16:58:49 GMT -6

Post by Will - Ascension Parish on Sept 13, 2020 16:58:57 GMT -6

Post by Mike Naso on Sept 13, 2020 16:59:40 GMT -6

Post by prairievilledog on Sept 13, 2020 16:59:46 GMT -6

Post by lilspud on Sept 13, 2020 17:00:20 GMT -6

Post by mesabassman on Sept 13, 2020 17:01:21 GMT -6