HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread

Bayou Medic Moderator Board Member Posts: 1,287 Staff Member	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 17:07:12 GMT -6 via mobile lightningstruck-Bogalusa, xty624, and 10 more like this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by Bayou Medic on Sept 13, 2020 17:07:12 GMT -6 FYI... irrelevant post are being MOVED and/or DELETED as seen necessary.
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lilspud GCWX Supporter Posts: 572	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 17:07:37 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by lilspud on Sept 13, 2020 17:07:37 GMT -6 So if the Euro stays put what does the NHC do? I know they don't like to flip flop this close to landfall.

kplaisance
Tropical Low

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HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 17:09:40 GMT -6 via mobile

Post by kplaisance on Sept 13, 2020 17:09:40 GMT -6

A somber Gov. John Bel Edwards and weather experts said Sunday Tropical Storm Sally will turn into a slow-moving, Category 2 hurricane that could arrive with winds of up to 100 miles per hour, triggering power outages and huge amounts of rainfall.

imgur.com/gallery/e70xyfX

Im trying to make the best decisions I can being in Lower Lafitte, but the information is all over the place!

cajungal
Category 5

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HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 17:10:31 GMT -6 via mobile Crafty1 likes this

Post by cajungal on Sept 13, 2020 17:10:31 GMT -6

Sept 13, 2020 16:58:57 GMT -6 Will - Ascension Parish said:

Stationary at hours 27-30! It looks to start turning northwest at that point and toward the LA/MS border.

My in-laws live right outside Slidell in Pearl River, would be horrible for them

60 miles southwest of New Orleans) Thibodaux, La

M. Geissler
Category 1

Posts: 271

HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 17:12:08 GMT -6 southpaw and heatherweather like this

Post by M. Geissler on Sept 13, 2020 17:12:08 GMT -6

Sept 13, 2020 17:10:31 GMT -6 cajungal said:

Sept 13, 2020 16:58:57 GMT -6 Will - Ascension Parish said:

Stationary at hours 27-30! It looks to start turning northwest at that point and toward the LA/MS border.

My in-laws live right outside Slidell in Pearl River, would be horrible for them

I work in Pearl River, at the fire department .

M. Geissler

prairievilledog Category 3 Posts: 646	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 17:12:48 GMT -6 harpman likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by prairievilledog on Sept 13, 2020 17:12:48 GMT -6 HWRF has a big shift eastward. Only grazes the Chandelier Islands and heads in the Miss Gulf Coast.

mesabassman GCWX Supporter Posts: 213	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 17:13:58 GMT -6 harpman likes this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by mesabassman on Sept 13, 2020 17:13:58 GMT -6 18Z HWRF 48 hr mark.
	Last Edit: Sept 13, 2020 17:14:44 GMT -6 by mesabassman "Weather fanatic that's been around since the classic WWL forum days" www.acefasteners.com

bstelly24-Pearl River, LA
Meteorology Student

Posts: 668

HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 17:14:47 GMT -6 via mobile cajungal likes this

Post by bstelly24-Pearl River, LA on Sept 13, 2020 17:14:47 GMT -6

Sept 13, 2020 17:10:31 GMT -6 cajungal said:

Sept 13, 2020 16:58:57 GMT -6 Will - Ascension Parish said:

Stationary at hours 27-30! It looks to start turning northwest at that point and toward the LA/MS border.

My in-laws live right outside Slidell in Pearl River, would be horrible for them

I live in Pearl River and I am especially worried. We have a lot of trees around here that could be knocked down quite easily. And they're forecasting about the same amount of rain or more that we had in Isaac and for Issac, the Pearl had one of its Too 5 crests. They were worried about the locks on the river failing and sending a 20ft wall of water through here.

T-man
GCWX Supporter

still watching the weather!

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HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 17:16:39 GMT -6

Post by T-man on Sept 13, 2020 17:16:39 GMT -6

Sept 13, 2020 17:09:40 GMT -6 kplaisance said:

A somber Gov. John Bel Edwards and weather experts said Sunday Tropical Storm Sally will turn into a slow-moving, Category 2 hurricane that could arrive with winds of up to 100 miles per hour, triggering power outages and huge amounts of rainfall.

imgur.com/gallery/e70xyfX

Im trying to make the best decisions I can being in Lower Lafitte, but the information is all over the place!

If it looks like it will still track this way, if it intensifies, I'm moving to higher ground tomorrow.

prairievilledog Category 3 Posts: 646	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 17:17:04 GMT -6 Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by prairievilledog on Sept 13, 2020 17:17:04 GMT -6 The last run of the HWRF that had Sally this far east was at 12Z Saturday. It could be a result of a much stronger system hence more influence of a northward turn sooner.

optimist
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Posts: 478

HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 17:17:19 GMT -6

Post by optimist on Sept 13, 2020 17:17:19 GMT -6

HWRF strong and Mississippi landfall. I know we are nowcasting and watching the NHC track but with the continual shifts of the models to the east (multiple runs of the models), the NHC will more than likely continue to move the track east.

lsukev4 (Gretna) GCWX Supporter Posts: 548	HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 17:18:56 GMT -6 Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP, sjbpgal-St. John Parish, and 3 more like this Select Post Deselect Post Link to Post Back to Top Post by lsukev4 (Gretna) on Sept 13, 2020 17:18:56 GMT -6 Sept 13, 2020 17:13:58 GMT -6 mesabassman said: 18Z HWRF 48 hr mark. The SELA shield is a real thing
	I’m in Gretna

prairievilledog
Category 3

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HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 17:19:37 GMT -6 Stephanie Carpenter, WBANK JP and NavyMom: WBR Parish like this

Post by prairievilledog on Sept 13, 2020 17:19:37 GMT -6

Zach would the NHC move the track a lot this close to landfall to the east if all of the reliable models start trending further eastward? It might give those of us in the NOLA area a sense of calm that we dodged another one.

tony2001
Category 2

Posts: 459

HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 17:19:54 GMT -6 nolasim, Cheshire Cat, and 2 more like this

Post by tony2001 on Sept 13, 2020 17:19:54 GMT -6

Better safe than sorry. Honestly this could go either way for SE Louisiana. I thought we'd have a clearer picture by this time but I don't think we do. I made my preps today and hope they're for naught. If the situation starts deteriorating over night, I'll be glad I did.

grisairgasm
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HURRICANE SALLY Discussion Thread Sept 13, 2020 17:20:29 GMT -6 via mobile trueblue, wbanklady, and 2 more like this