We're getting close to having Christmas Day within the long range forecast, and unfortunately, I have to say it's not looking too good with a southerly flow and temps that look to be in the 70's.
The good thing is it's a LONG ways away and we have plenty of time for things to flip around.
Last Edit: Dec 24, 2012 10:38:48 GMT -6 by SKYSUMMIT
Hammond, LA NWS COOP ID: 16-7425-08 CoCoRaHs ID: LA-TG-23
Post by Zack Fradella on Dec 10, 2012 17:08:22 GMT -6
It seems as though the models are playing catch-up with this evolving pattern. The Pacific warmth has ruled the pattern for the past few weeks even with a favorable -NAO and -AO. Some of the latest runs have shown a tendancy to dig some deep troughs and develop a storm track closer to the Gulf Coast as we head towards the Christmas holiday.
Now I still do not see a long lasting +PNA ridge that would lock the cold in place but maybe that will come around by Christmas/New Years. The latest 18Z GFS is trying to develop a closed low across the Deep South early next week possibly leading to an early snow for Northern La/Ms/AL.
At the very least things will become much more exciting over the next few weeks.
Post by DYLAN FEDERICO on Dec 10, 2012 18:40:57 GMT -6
Well, we would probably see at least some flurries if this happened considering the forcing. Only a week out too. Not to mention the Euro is also trending towards this solution.
Ok, now I see it. They way they put the dates on there made it confusing. I should know better after all these years!! Gettin' old is a b!tch! hee hee.....
Well, we would probably see at least some flurries if this happened considering the forcing. Only a week out too. Not to mention the Euro is also trending towards this solution.
Don't be picking on my Euro, Dylan ;) To correct you, the Euro has been showing that cold core disturbance for early next week, something similar to the 18z GFS, since at least yesterday, is the GFS that is now catching up to the Euro's solution.
Well, we would probably see at least some flurries if this happened considering the forcing. Only a week out too. Not to mention the Euro is also trending towards this solution.
Don't be picking on my Euro, Dylan ;) To correct you, the Euro has been showing that cold core disturbance for early next week, something similar to the 18z GFS, since at least yesterday, is the GFS that is now catching up to the Euro's solution.
Oppps your right Dennis. My bad. But anyway, I'm starting to get excited with the GFS getting ready to show this solution again on the 0z run. We will know for sure in the next 20 minutes.