January 27 - 29, 2014 Winter Storm Discussion

12z NAM ends its run with an ice storm for the ages for SELA. Sheesh.

I don't want another ice storm. Our whole AC unit froze up last night and it was not fun. We were lucky we were even able to heat our house. What does it take to get snow around here? Geez

I'm not eating anything right now.  lol  Guess you could call it fasting.

It's hard to believe we're actually discussing the remote possibility of another winter storm along the gulf coast. I'm still in awe looking out the window this morning seeing all the ice and thinking to myself, "that was just an advisory, the real deal may be in a few days".

Seriously though, today is Saturday, we're talking about precipitation starting as early as Monday...whether that be rain or anything else, that's getting into the short range. All mentioning of anything frozen has also been taken out of my forecast. One thing I do not understand is most models are keeping the moisture along the immediate gulf, but Jackson has snow in their forecast starting on Monday night. I haven't seen many models put a blanket of precipitation across central Mississippi except for the NAM.

Just as I had a good feeling about yesterday's "storm", I have an even better feeling about this next one.

Goodness, this is becoming exciting and scary at the same time with each updated model.. While I would love 5 inches of snow, the thought of a thicker ice cover than we just had makes me uncomfortable with the dangerous possibilities. O_o

Our office has been watching the little piece of energy coming out of the northwest for a couple of days now.  That snow has been in the forecast since Thursday.  Our office is banking on that piece of energy combining with the Gulf disturbance to enhance precipitation over our area. The SREF emsembles, NAM, CMC to some extent and some GFS ensembles are hinting at it.  That said, the freezing layer over this area looks a little shallow in the NAM soundings, too. 

12Z GFS has begun to roll out...